Zeng Fusheng: Trumps shocking bomb China and the United States are difficult

Author: Zeng Fusheng

U.S. President Trump suddenly tweeted on May 5th. From May 10th, tariffs on US $ 200 billion in US -US exports from 10%to 25%, another US $ 325 billion in China, which has currently unbelievable tariffs,It will soon be levied by 25%tariffs on the US -US commodity, throwing a shocking bomb directly against the US -China trade war, which not only makes the international community anxious, but also allows Liu He, the Vice Premier of Mainland China on May 8th.Test ... calmness and strain skills.

Over the past, the Trump administration regards China as its number one strategic competitor, and has launched a successive economic, trade, diplomatic and security policy, launching tariffs, trade wars, scientific and technological warfare and spy wars on Beijing, and announced the abolition of the restricted medium -range nuclear core signing with RussiaThe missile treaty, laid the way for the layout of the missile coalition, also prepared to increase the protection fee of the US garrison, requiring NATO, Japan, and South Korea to increase the safety cost.On May 3rd, the United States Unioned NATO, Japan, Australia, and other more than 30 countries, in Prague's Global 5G Security Conference, tried to limit the use of Huawei 5G communication equipment throughout the 5G network security standards with unreasonable 5G network security standards.The United States also warns allies such as Britain, Germany and Israel, and if Huawei 5G communication equipment is adopted, the United States will suspend intelligence cooperative relationships.

The Trump administration promotes the US priority policy, intends to consolidate international advantages at the lowest cost, and emphasizes that it will take the strategic layout of the bar as the main axis to maintain the leadership of the United States in the Indo -Pacific region.At present, the United States has launched a comprehensive competitive mechanism with China, and believes that the two countries will play a science and technology and financial battle sooner or later, and fighting early is more beneficial to the United States.The Trump Guoan team advocates that the United States starts with a high chance of winning, so there is no need to be soft for Beijing.At the same time, the mainstream opinions of the US government and the opposition to the country believe that China has a long -term strategic layout and intends to challenge the US world leadership. Therefore, it must immediately use the expansion of China's forces.

Trump's shot to curb China

On May 3rd, Trump and Russian President Putin telephone hotline discussed international security and reduction of nuclear military arms forces, and researchers invited Beijing to join the nuclear negotiation.Trump believes that the United States is necessary to make China a multi -efficiency from geopolitics and military, and cannot compete with the United States. At the same time, the United States also responds to the prestige of the Allies and the strategy.China.In early June, the US Minister of Defense Xia Naham will release the U.S. Indo -Pacific Strategic Report at the Shangri -La Security Forum in Singapore, explaining how the United States will build a free and open Indo -Pacific strategy and restrain the Chinese area of ChinaIn the Indian Ocean, the United States must sacrifice countermeasures.

A few days ago, US Vice President Pence and Secretary of State Pangpeo have pointed out that President Trump's position is very firm and requires China to improve the issue of US -China trade imbalances and measures such as smart property rights, state -owned enterprise subsidies, and forced technology transfer.Structural reforms; at the same time, President Trump also stated that the chairman stated that whether it is the debt diplomacy of the Belt and Road Initiative, the militaryization operation of the South Island Reef, interfere with other domestic politics, or steal information and technology around the world, etc.Behavior must change and link to trade negotiations with the United States and China. In addition, Trump believes that the United States is in a strong position. If the United States cannot reach a trade agreement, the United States will impose more tariffs on China, and the cancellation tariff will also be revoked.Become a part of the supervision and execution mechanism.

President Trump recently said that the United States will not rush to sign a trade agreement with China, warning that the US -China trade negotiations are not satisfied enough, he may give up the opportunity to reach a trade agreement.At the same time, Trump emphasized that in case the United States and China cannot reach a trade agreement, it may be better for the United States because the United States can get more tariff income.Obviously, President Trump has decided to pull up the gesture of the bar and let the US -China trade negotiations held in Washington held in Washington on May 8th and 9th, and once again covered the shadow of breaking the situation.

Trade negotiations are covered with shadows

Overall, the Beijing authorities have already felt that the American bar is coming. President Trump is ... Special envoy Liu He led a hundred people to delegate to set off on the eve of the version of the trade agreement to set off on the eve of the trade agreement.Tariffs in high schools and US exports to the United States should still be calm and use strategic patience to continue to maintain trade negotiation with the United States.The current Trump has just opened the threat of Russia's prosecution and decided to start a full -scale Chinese strategy.However, most countries including the European Union, Japan, Russia, ASEAN, etc. still tend to maintain a balanced strategy and are unwilling to cooperate with the cost of being associated with Beijing.Therefore, ... calmly dealing with Trump's fierce recruitment should be unbeaten.(The author is a consultant for the National Security Group of the National Policy Research Foundation)