Author: Hu Fengying
From April 9th to 10th, the 5th International Arctic Forum was held in St. Petersburg.Russia, Norway, Finland, Sweden and Iceland have attended.Russia takes the Arctic strategy as the extension of the Far East strategy, and is a key project for Russia to get rid of Western economic crosses and seek international investment. As the biggest strategic partner of the Russian Far East, China will inevitably accelerate the development of the Arctic Ice Channel.
The rejuvenation of Russia has stimulated the return of American realism, especially after the Ukrainian coup in 2014, Crimea broke into Ukraine into Russia, which greatly stimulated the revival of ground politics.After the Cold War, the rise of the Soviet Union and China made American liberals once believed that single -pole world was the best guarantee for the United States to survive.However, regional conflicts caused by the spread of terrorism and the upgrade of nuclear weapons forced the United States to reflect on the adjustment of foreign policy.After getting out of Russia, Trump will accelerate the military expansion of the United States to abandon unilateral operations.
American political scholar Mi Xiamo believes that unilateral military operations in the United States after the Cold War have caused themselves to fall into a dual dilemma of security and economy; he believes that the West in NATO East East expansion, let Eastern Europe and Ukraine be in a wishful thinking that it can be considered that there is no need to consider it.Russia's interests determine the country's direction.Michamo believes that Western liberal foreign policy has angrily angrily furiously, and strengthened the reasonable motivation to defend sovereignty and regime by Russia to defend sovereignty and regime.As a major regional country, Russia will never tolerate neighboring countries, from geographical buffer to the front line of NATO's deployment missiles.
Regardless of Russia or China, it has a common language with realistic theoreticals in geopolitical concepts, including power balance or nuclear military control in the Cold War.In other words, the polar or multi -pole system is a geopolitics proposition that a large country can accept. It is a mode of reducing direct conflict between the boundary and power balance of sovereignty.
Therefore, Trump, who adheres to realism, has been appreciated by China and Russia at the same time, and believes that the United States should propose specific practices, including withdrawal from Afghanistan and Syria, and avoiding military interference countries.In particular, Putin believes that the interests of geopolitics cannot be ignored. It is unacceptable to Russia with a liberal flag to carry out color revolution or military enclosure.In this way, Trump and Putin think about how to avoid military reserve competitions at the same time as strong military forces, becoming the basis for the US Russia's future nuclear weapons control.
The expansion of the geopolitical influence of the Arctic and the influence of the EU and NATO may become the consensus of the US Russia reconciliation.
As a major imported natural gas importer, China has actively cooperated with Russia to laid the Siberian natural gas pipeline and cooperate with the processing and transportation of liquefied natural gas.In other words, if Russia successfully develops the Arctic channel, the Eurasian economic integration of China and Russia will break the myth of democracy and equity in the United States.
The big country's return to the country's interests is suprematic, and the concept of the boundary of the great power is recognized. The self -willingness of the small country will no longer be valued, and the possibility of relying on the military aid of the great power will be greatly reduced.
The author is a assistant professor at Yuanzhi University (Taoyuan City)
