Before the United States and China were preparing to launch a third round of trade negotiations in Beijing, US President Trump suddenly announced that he would not have the Chinese President of China before the March 1 -March 1 trade war.Trump's outlet adds variables to the US -China trade agreement that was very likely to be very likely.

Trump and ... in early December last year agreed to the trade war for 90 days, until March 1st.The two countries formally reached an agreement before the final period. If an agreement cannot be reached at that time, the United States will increase Chinese goods from the original 10%tariff to 25%.In early January this year, the deputy ministerial officials were dispatched to Beijing for the first round of trade negotiations. It mainly exchanged opinions and did not make specific progress.At the end of January, China Vice Premier Liu He led a group with the US trade representative Leitheizer and Treasury Minister Mu Nuchin.

On February 8th, the White House announced that the United States and China will conduct deputy ministerial talks on the 11th. The deputy trading representative Greis will be led by the deputy trading representative, and the ministerial talks will be held from 14th to 15th.The third round of trade negotiations with the Chinese team led by Liu He.

After the second round of trade negotiations, Trump repeatedly emphasized that he would finalize the trade agreement with ... before March 1.However, Trump's suddenly changed his mind on February 7, which surprised all countries around the world and caused a global stock market to fluctuate.However, judging from the currently known information, the US and China will still reach a trade agreement at the last moment.Because first of all, China has agreed to increase the purchase of US $ 1.2 trillion in US agricultural products, industrial products, energy and services.This major concession in China is the basis for the two parties to reach a trade agreement at the last moment.

Secondly, due to the sincerity of the Chinese side, the issues that had to be determined by special and Xi Dangdang have gradually decreased.The representative of the United States will require China to carry out structural reforms, especially in terms of smart property rights, forced technology transfer, market access, and Chinese manufacturing 2025 plan to cool down and slow down.

Third, during the early March of the People's Congress and the CPPCC, China will be legislated by the People's Congress legislation through the promotion of smart property rights, forced technology transfer, market access, and manufacturing 2025 plan.Fourth, in order to report the peaches, the United States decided not to put Navaro, a White House trade consultant who often severely criticized the mainland on the list of the delegation.Fifth, Trump announced on the 7th of the National Love Counseling that he would hold a specialties in Vietnam on February 27 and 28 on February 27 and 28.At that time, from the sincerity and concession of Kim Jong -un, Trump can also decide whether the United States and China will sign a trade agreement.

In short, this time Trump and ... the king did not say that the two countries could not reach a trade agreement. The two could also communicate through the phone, including signing a trade agreement, or the period on March 1st.Delays.If Trump believes that the trade negotiations between the two parties have made significant progress, they may also arrange separately and ... meeting.

(The author is a lecture professor at the Department of Political Science of China Cultural University)