The wrong strategic thinking, misjudgment international situation, illusory diplomacy, plus the desperate decision -making, destined President Tsai Ing -wen under the government, and fell into the mud.More seriously, the only time in the past three years has relying on the cards, but it is like drinking thirst, causing hostile spirals on both sides of the strait to rise. It has to continuously increase national defense budgets and form a disguised price protection fee.
The innovation record of the number of countries, the participation of the regional economic integration organization, the compression of the international space, the success of the bilateral free trade agreement, and the new southbound policy of the policy. This is the current situation of Taiwan's foreign relations, but the DPP government is complacent.In the United States and the United States, the United States and Anti -China and pro -beauty can play a role in competing against the stress of the Communist Party of China. I do not know that the black swan and the gray rhinos are coming.
The US strategy after World War II can be summarized to consolidate the security of the allies, enhance the prosperity of open global economic systems, and widely support democracy, the rule of law and human rights.Under this principle, the president of the United States promised to fulfill the Taiwan Security Law and six guarantees, adheres to the Taiwan issue by the people on both sides of the strait, and continue to care about human rights issues in mainland China.Trump was the first president of the United States to subvert the traditional value of diplomatic after World War II. He gave up the worldist belief and the role of the world police; he closed his mouth without discussing democratic human rights; embracing nationalism, having disgusted multilateralism; opposition to free trade, self -awareness of friendship and opponents of friends and opponents.Course tariffs; criticize the US allies to enjoy the free defense of the United States.
The latest issue of the quarterly issue of diplomatic affairs has raised a key issue for Taiwan to the same: if the US -China trade war is resolved, the CCP leaders ... expand the volume of the issue of Taiwan, if they strive for a significant concession, TrumpWill you fight against China for Taiwan?In other words, Trump may be a black swan in Taiwan on the Taiwan issue.
For Taiwan, mainland China has a long -established gray rhino, but the Taiwanese have always believed that the mainland cannot and dare to achieve unified goals on Taiwan.However, as Taiwan's politicians refused to accept the 1992 consensus, the CCP's goal of the Communist Party of China became more clear.... Recently, we do not promise to give up the use of force and keep all the necessary measures to talk about everything.
Under the severe situation, President Tsai Ing -wen's resistance to resisting mainland China intensified, and cross -strait relations are basically difficult to recover. Tsai Ing -wen only hopes that US -China relations will continue to deteriorate.Ma Qian died, among which the advanced weapon system, which is mainly based on US military procurement, is one of the means.With the current disparity of the military forces on both sides of the strait, no matter how many resources in Taiwan have invested, it is impossible to change the gap between military power, and it is impossible to completely deceive the attempts of the mainland's criminals. Increasing the national defense budget is only paying protection fees.
The national defense budget in 2019 was 346 billion yuan, an increase of 13.8 billion yuan over the previous year, accounting for 2.16%of GDP.President Tsai emphasized that we are committed to improving national defense and obstacles. In the future, we will continue to increase national defense expenditures based on actual needs and GDP growth. At the same time, we are promoting the independent defense industry.
The United States is obviously dissatisfied with Taiwan's defense budget and believes that Taiwan should pay more, especially the long-discussed submarine country creation and recently proposed major plans such as the purchase of F-16V fighters.There are almost no techniques and equipment for the submarine country to build Taiwan. From the hull load, the promotion system to the combat system, many naval retired officers are highly suspected of their feasibility. Even if everything goes well, the cost of each ship is 50 billion yuan.Take off, such as 7 ships will be as high as 350 billion, and will eat most of the naval military investment budgets in the next 20 years.
As for the F-16V fighter procurement case, it is also a sky-high price. The total price of 66 is as high as US $ 13 billion. The price is approaching the latest type of F-35 fighter unit price of 150 million US dollars.In addition, whether the F-16V performance can compete with the CCP's hiding F-20 fighters still must be evaluated.Where does this huge budget come from?How many public construction and social benefits will be squeezed?
US military experts suggest that Taiwan should adopt hedgehog tactics. Do not pursue large warships or fighters. Instead, they should use short -capacity, cheaper and more motorized weapons to gradually warn the Binhai PLA.Based on this strategy, the best priority requires smart mines, unmanned planes and missiles.
As far as the DPP government is concerned, in addition to considering the defense needs of themselves, the construction of military reserve must also meet the needs of the United States. It is hoped that the United States' commitment and support for Taiwan ’s security on Taiwan will be strengthened through expensive military sales cases.Some people describe the characteristics of Trump diplomacy is a narrow trading diplomacy. Although he has signed a number of Youtai bills during his tenure, whether it is a trade war on mainland China and the military sales against Taiwan.U.S. preferred real -time effect.
