Ring time: the collapse of the US abolition of the treaty treaty or the troops control

US Secretary of State Pompeo announced on February 1 that the United States will suspend the performance of the guidance treaty from the 2nd and start the half -year exit treaty process.Russian President Putin said on the 2nd that Russia's response also suspended the implementation of the guidance treaty, and will not first propose suggestions to reduce weapons.Putin also said that because the United States is conducting (new weapons) research and development and test design, Russia will also take corresponding actions.

Although Washington retains the missile system if Russia destroyed its breach of contract in a verda, the United States will restore the live talk of the Treaty of the Treaty, but analysts generally do not hope for such a turnaround.When the United States proposed the abolition of the Treaty of the Division three months ago, it actually pushed it into the living pit, and filled the soil on its head.

The abolition of the guidance treaty may become the beginning of the collapse of the entire military control system.A new round of new arms competitions will become a high probability event.

In the late Cold War, the United States and Soviet Union reached a series of military control agreements, which not only suppressed the military reserve competition to a certain extent, but also produced the political effect of soothing people.The United States withdrawn the Treaty of the United States will allow the entire human expectation to produce a major negative parameter for the 21st century.

When the China Guidance Treaty was signed, the United States faced the strong challenges of the Soviet Union, and the Huayo and the NATO triad resisted.The overall military advantage of the United States today is undoubtedly more obvious and stronger than that period.But at that time, it was not because the US military power was not as good as that of more than 30 years ago, but today Washington's security thinking is more extreme and greedy.

Although the United States in Reagan had plans to plans the Star Wars, it was at that time that it could accept the average concept of security.What the United States wants today is the absolute security based on overwhelming advantages. Other countries have even enhanced strategic defense methods to enhance Washington.

In recent years, the United States has continuously preached the aggressive threat of Russia, and Russia's strategic deterrence is obvious than that of the Soviet Union.Washington seems to want Russia's level of power to Iran, as if it can make it feel at ease.The coordinates of the implementation of strategic squeezing in the United States are changing, and it is very much like to chase the leftovers.

Midea complains that China's development of missile power has no reason.The Chinese nuclear deterrence level and the United States and Russia are not on the same level. They are described as part of the military and China development military forces. This is to confuse the basic concept and give the premium to the construction of China's legitimate defense construction.

After the China -Guidance Treaty is abolished, a major country will re -evaluate the risk of security. Among them, the missile power competition will increase and accelerate the upgrading period.What is security between big powers will redefine, and the entire international relations may be implicated.

For example, such an atmosphere will mostly have a negative impact on the end of the nuclear crisis of the Korean Peninsula, and other regions will increase the incentives of geopolitical shocks.

For China, there may be two most direct negative effects.The first is that Washington has moved the idea of multilateralization of the US -Russian -China guidance treaty. This idea may become a new cause of pressure on China.The second is that after Midea lost the treaty constraint, it is estimated that it will intensify the deployment of offensive missiles and anti -missile systems around China, further increasing China's strategic security challenge.

Beijing must not be able to accept any of the multilateral mouths of the China -Guidance Treaty, but to resolutely reject Washington's requirements in this regard.At the same time, China should accelerate the diversification of the strategic nuclear force system, and we must not rely too much to rely on land -based missiles to maintain national security.We cannot wait for the United States to make various requirements. China's nuclear deterrence needs to accelerate the formation of diverse fulcrum. These tasks should be urgent.