Jianhu Yaobang statue shows the determination of official reform and opening up?

Deng Yanwen: Although some things have a strong symbolic significance on the surface, if you analyze it carefully, there is no policy steering meaning, nor is it to show some kind of gesture.

People who observe the political situation in China will find that the official Chinese official has recently held a small -scale Hu Yaobang statue of the statue of Hu Yaobang in Liuyang, Hunan, Hunan, Hunan, Hunan.The leaders of the Hunan Provincial Party Committee and the Changsha Municipal Party Committee, as well as Hu Deping, the eldest son of the Changsha Municipal Party Committee.According to local official media reports, Hu's statue was established by the Party Central Committee and the State Council.

In view of the in recent years, China's senior officials have rarely agreed to establish a statue for the former leaders. Some analysts believe that when the 40th anniversary of the reform and opening up is coming to establish a statue of Hu Yaobang, a general, the official is intended to show the government's determination to continue to promote reform and opening up.

I am doubtful about this statement.The complexity and subtle of Chinese political situation often make people look at the truth from the clues of some politicians, which has become the habit of observing and judging high -level dynamics by many people.For special politicians such as Hu, although they have died for many years, and around them, people always hope to interpret something or trend that is conducive to interpreter's personal tendency.In other words, Hu's enlightened image makes it easy for people to believe that no matter how the official treats Hu, it has certain policy meanings, especially considering this specific timing at the moment.

The perspective of looking at the problem is not that it must be wrong.From the past, the handling of some political and controversial figures and events, such as the rehabilitation of political leaders and events of a villain, means political easing or tolerant. On the contrary, it means political tightening.EssenceChina's reform itself was opened from the case of unjust and false cases during the Cultural Revolution.However, this is not absolute.In some things, although it seems to have a strong symbolic meaning on the surface, carefully analyzing does not actually have the meaning of policy steering, nor is it to show or indicate a certain posture.Here we still need to be judged in combination with specific stages and backgrounds.

Taking the statue of Hu Yaobang as an example, interpreting the measure as a determination to show the official promotion of reform and opening up, it is a bit reluctant.Yes, China is currently in the future to continue to deepen reform and opening up, or re -strengthen the state -owned economic status and the state's control of economic and society. This dilemma and stage.As the former general secretary of the Communist Party of China, Hu's statue can be completed in his hometown, which reflects the official goodwill of him, helps to enhance the confidence of the party's reform faction, and make more people in the society change.

But this can only be the objective result brought by this move, not necessarily the intention of high -level executives.It can be explained from the following three points.

First of all, from time, high -level approved the establishment of Hu's statue at least half a year or a year ago.The completion of a large statue, from the selection of materials to sculpture, it takes half a year.If the approval is added, it will be longer.Politicians like Hu, when the Hu family or his birthplace government proposes to build a statue for him, the senior management must consider. According to the Chinese official reporting process, it can not be made in a short period of time.

In this way, from the proposal to the approval to the completion of the statue, it is not enough for a year.Therefore, it must not be approved by the high -level recently. The completion of it now should be regarded as a coincidence of time, without specific significance.

Secondly, in addition to his hometown of Liuyang in Hunan, the statues of Hu are also built in the Qingcheng and Dachen Island of Zhejiang.The latter two are where they have a special relationship with Hu, of which the Communist Youth League is still Hu's ashes.The bronze statue of Dachen Island in Zhejiang was unveiled on January 6, 2013.This time is worth playing because it is the new leader shortly after the stage.

As mentioned above, it takes time for approval and completing the statue, so the bronze statue of the houses in Dachen Island should be agreed by the previous senior officials. Of course, this senior management includes the highest leader now.It is unlikely that the bronze statue of Hu is unlikely to be established in Dachen Island shortly after the eighteenth.

The above two points preliminary explanations that there is no special background in the statue of Jianhu in Liuyang, Hunan. It should not be linked to the commemorative hook of the 40th anniversary of reform and opening up, so as to give the actions a specific policy meaning, that is, the reform meeting shows that the reform meeting shows the reform meeting.Continue to move forward.Because this interpretation is correct, should the bronze statue of Hu in 2013 be interpreted as the official signal of the official promotion of reform and opening up?

But from a small hour or from a large period of time, that is, the half -year after the completion of the bronze statue or the whole five years in the past five years, the reform of China is just optimistic.This involves the third point I want to elaborate, that is, how to view and identify China's official policy signals.

Taking Hu Yaobang as an example, although he was regarded as a symbol in China in China, since the period of the post of public opinion in Hu Jintao, his sensitivity and symbolicity are not as strong as before.The official evaluation of him is that the long -tested loyal communist soldiers, the great proletarian revolutionary, politician, outstanding military political workers, and outstanding leaders of the party's important leadership.This evaluation shows that the Chinese Communist Party has incorporated Hutch in its inheritance and is a positive symbol of the CCP.

Nevertheless, in view of Hu's relatively enlightened attitude in political reform, and connecting the specific historical section of Bayi, if high -level use Hu as a reform signal, he will be cautious to prevent the people from excessive interpretation of it and slip towards it.Political reform, unless the senior management does start the idea or idea of starting political reform.Therefore, in order to prevent the people from using Hu to make articles, high -levels generally do not use Hu as a signal.Some of the processes of Hu now should be based on the requirements of family members, or the common practice of treating the late leaders within the party.

For example, the statue of the statue in Liuyang this time should be the suggestion of Hu's house or other people. The senior management feels that this requirement is not too much, and it may be the same.If it derives other meanings, it is another matter.

This year marks the 40th anniversary of China's reform and opening up. Faced with this time window, under the pressure of the US -China trade war, Chinese society has formed a consensus on resolving stress through further deepening reform and opening up.Near the celebrations must have expressed some explanation of reform and opening up in response to social expectations. As analyzed earlier, Hu Yaobang will not play the card of Hu Yaobang.The determination of reform, its policy signals are far more obvious than the statues of Ligo.

As for China after 40 years of storm, will it continue to promote the problem of reform and opening up? I insist that under the extreme pressure of internal and external problems, the senior executives will speed up in economic reform, and the efforts will be strengthened. The social field will be strengthened.The control may also have a certain degree of relaxation, but the politics will still be tightened.In short, except for the private economy, the overall reform will not make much breakthrough.

(Note: The author is an independent scholar, a researcher at China Strategic Analysis Think Tank. This article only represents the author's personal point of view.