Author: Zhang Yazhong
The DPP has ushered in the greatest comprehensive frustration in more than two years.Cross -strait relations are not the main axis of local elections, but it is the key to the DPP's election strategy.In the 2020 election, cross -strait relations must be a major issue. Can the DPP change their cross -strait discussion in order to win?
In addition to the poor governance capacity of the DPP, in addition to the poor governance capacity and the people's grievances, another important reason is the intervention of the dark green power.Politics and correct deep green cannot accept Ke Wenzhe's family on both sides of the strait is the most important source of white and green households. This strategic change has caused the DPP to lose a large number of young netizens and put the DPP internal disputes.Ignoring external changes has also become an important factor in making the DPP's comprehensive defeat.
Xu Xinliang, who has been paying attention to cross -strait relations for a long time, is also the chairman of the government think tank that cross -strait relations must be improved. This is also what the Democratic Progressive Party is deeply recognized by this election. However, will the DPP adjust?Can you adjust it?
The answer is pessimistic. The reason is not subjective position analysis, but objective logical reasoning.The DPP's Taiwan independence party platform is destined to be limited to its future development.When the Democratic Progressive Party was in the wild, the Taiwanese independence party's outline could be regarded as a must -have, but when Taiwan independence was fully governed and unable to implement Taiwan independence, it became an illusory dream and deceiving slogan.This time, the DPP, which was fully governed by the DPP, promoted by the deep green, reflects the comprehensive governance, and faced the dilemma of the right and political referendum in the face of political correct referendum and political reality.
Political parties should be a group of people with a common concept, but there are also power to compete.The Taiwan independence party is the core discussion of the DPP and the root of the DPP. Therefore, all the premise of all discussions on cross -strait discussion is that it cannot violate Taiwan independence discussions.The DPP's insight understands that Taiwan independence is not feasible, and since 1999, he has been trying to pack Taiwan independence.Taiwan's future resolution is temporarily put on the Taiwan independence of the constitutional constitution, and chose to go public unique.After Cai Yingwen came to power, he actively promoted cultural Taiwan independence, but he also chose the independent route in rationality. The maintenance status of Dafa Ma Ying -jeou, but Cai's maintenance status was to maintain the status quo of one country on both sides of the strait.
The basic doctrine of Taiwan independence cannot accept independent discussions, not only emotionally unacceptable. They know that this is not the real Taiwan independence, but they just talk about the Taiwan independence that they speak and listen to themselves, so they will not give up.The referendum of the East Olympic name is their persistence and anti -rumor.
Will the DPP change?Cause and effect actually gave the answer.The DPP has fallen into a dilemma. If it abandons Taiwan independence, its core discussion is a comprehensive disintegration. The basic doctrine will not hesitate to choose to break up.For the referendum of the East Olympics, which has failed, more than 4.76 million people still support this independence of Taiwan independence, and the DPP cannot give up these tickets.If the DPP does not give up Taiwan independence claims, the competition of internal routes is inevitable. The 2020 election must accept several proposals of the basic doctrine, which makes cross -strait relations become a problem that the DPP cannot be resolved. Of course, it will affect the election of the election.result.
Another Democratic Progressive Party must also think about the problem that even if the DPP has formed independent consensus, it is difficult to accept it in Beijing. In the past two years, even the Kuomintang's one -China table has determined that it cannot solve the political difficulties of cross -strait Taiwan.Moreover, the DPP's unique discussion.
Of course, another important reason is that the DPP does not think that the local elections are caused by its cross -strait policy. From the short speeches of Cai Yingwen's defeat, it can be seen that the DPP government has no signs of adjusting cross -strait policies.
The Democratic Progressive Party is taking the Kuomintang 4 years ago. Without the re -frustration of the presidential election, it will not see their own problems.
(The author is a professor at the Department of Political Science and Sun Wen School of the National Taiwan University)
