Ming Pao News Agency
After 20 months of complex and difficult negotiations, the United Kingdom and the European Union finally reached a temporary agreement on Brexit. Prime Minister Wen Cuishan will seek a temporary agreement in Congress.Moreover, the Conservative Party was very different, and many cabinet members jumped off their boats and expressed their opposition, and many members conspired to ask Wen Cuishan's dismissal motion.There are still some trade differences in the United Kingdom and the European Union that have not reached consensus. After officially separated from the European Union on March 29 next year, there is still a 21 -month transition period. Continue to negotiate and negotiations are full of variables., British prospects are full of thorns.
Since the results of the Brexit in 2016 have results in Brexit, Brexit will be soft or hard, and has been lingering in the hearts of the British, and so far has not fully relieved doubts.The so -called soft landing is an agreement that the Brexit arrangement of Brexit and the European Union to some extent. On the contrary, there is no agreement with no agreement at all.The temporary agreement reached by the British and the European Union this time also needs the parliament of both parties. If the British parliament opposes the temporary agreement, there are two possibilities. One is to re -negotiate or vote within 21 days. If the EU refuses to re -negotiate,Or if the British Congress rejected the agreement again, there will be hard landing; if the British Parliament and the European Union Parliament have passed the agreement, soft landing will occur.Or the European Union is willing to re -negotiate, all controversy pushed down, I do n’t know how it will last long, but there is another possibility that Wen Cuishan is pushed down and Britain needs to hold a general election.If you refuse to accept it, there will also be hard landing.Or the British Parliament suggested that there are unknown referendums on Brexit again.
Soft landing or hard landing in the UK lingering up and down my heart
Brexit is destined to have a lot of fate. The proportion of referendum in favor of and opposition is 52%of 48%, and the weak majority shows the fragile foundation of consensus.The United Kingdom has formed an alliance for more than 40 years, but the controversy of leaving Europe and Brexit has not stopped. Now it seems that Brexit is still an immature decision. Police investigation believes that the proportion of Brexit decisions is increasing.%Believe that the decision is wrong, and the highest percentage of referendum is 80 %, and the latest poll results are 50 %.The internal internal in Britain is not the same. In addition to the wrestling between the ruling party and the opposition party, there are also two different forces within the Conservative Party.Several cabinet members also resigned to show their opposition.
At the same time, the opponents of Brexit negotiations are 27 member states of the European Union, and they will inevitably have divergent opinions. During the negotiations, they also encounter French and German elections. The EU's position will inevitably change.The European Union proposed £ 52 billion, which later increased to 92 billion pounds, and Britain was worth 18 billion pounds.
The biggest problem is the border issue. There are no customs and border inspections between EU member states, and the border becomes blurred. Brexit needs to re -establish border facilities.If you need border inspections, it will inevitably stimulate the independent demands of Northern Ireland to rekindle. The terrorist activities in the British that year will be reproduced like a nightmare.
The European Union and the European Union are closely separated from Hong Kong and Guangdong cooperation to be strengthened
Whether the Brexit problem can be solved smoothly, it affects the world. Britain's economic growth will slow down, regardless of whether there is an agreement or not, and the EU will be affected.Countries outside the European Union, such as the temporary agreement, stipulate that the United Kingdom cannot formulate the laws of retrogression, that is, it cannot implement competition conditions lower than the European Union after Brexit.
Whether the Brexit temporary agreement can be passed, it still has to be seen, but the revelation of Brexit's enlightenment to Hong Kong is also worth discussing.After more than 40 years of close relationships with the European Union, the supply of food affects millions of households. The registered conditions for nurses will affect the future nurses of the British hospital.Brexit will have a lot of losses to both sides.
The difficulty of the Brexit agreement shows that the British and other EU member states are already closely difficult.On the other hand, the relationship between Guangdong and Hong Kong is far less than the British -Europe relations in the same country. EU member states are independent countries. They can adopt the same set of standards within an alliance.It is different from the social and judicial systems of Guangdong, but why can't it be more closely related in the long run?The Guangdong -Hong Kong -Macao Greater Bay Area pointed out the direction of cooperation between Guangdong and Hong Kong. It should conscientiously consider how to implement it, mutual benefit and win -win, and further improve people's livelihood and promote the economy.
