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Although there is still a week before the annotation of the nine -in -one election and invoicing of Taiwan, the power of blue -green and white has been seen, and the outline can be seen.
From the perspective of the six most important municipalities, unless explosive incidents occur in seven days, the DPP should keep Taoyuan, Taichung and Tainan. It should not be a problem.In Taipei, the capital of Shouzhuo, Yao Wenzhi, a DPP candidate who resorted to the China Polytees, has been unable to open up the source of the votes; although the Kuomintang candidate Ding Shouzhong, who is boring but doing things, is caught up, his conservative position against marriage is not allowed to youth.Happy; although Ke Wenzhe, who claims to be in a hurry, is not as popular as that year, has always been with Green Camp, it is still the biggest convention of middle voters, so he is re -elected.
New North adjacent to Taipei has obvious victory.Even if there is no opponent's argument, the Kuomintang candidate Hou Youyi is steadily fighting. The loyalty and justice of the alarm and the image of justice are deeply rooted in people's hearts.Su Zhenchang, the old man, may be really miserable this time.
As for Kaohsiung, the most treacherous city, although the Democratic Progressive Party has been tough, claiming that candidate Chen Qimai is still stabilizing the Kuomintang to sell Cai Lang Korea Yu, but according to several field visits according to this newspaper, the people's minds have become strong.It has become irreversible.According to the Democratic Progressive Party Secretary General Hong Yaofu, he did not lose. He won the logic of the victory of New Taipei.
But defeating does not mean a forever.Regardless of winning or losing, this election brings opportunities for changes to the blue -green camp.
Let's talk about the Democratic Progressive Party first.Tsai Ing -wen, who has worked hard everywhere at this time, has always believed that the main reason for the people's dissatisfaction with the ruling party is that we have different views on the speed and amplitude of the reform. In addition, the DPP's unprepared communication responsibilities have caused the people to understand the people.However, looking at the public opinion survey in the past two years, what really stimulates the reform of the Cai government is the reform content and order of the Tsai government.
After the Democratic Progressive Party came to power in the second time, its reform flag took the lead in inserting various social organizations.Regardless of whether it is the township and city chiefs, the farmland water conservancy officials, or even the appointment of the president of Taiwan University, it is deemed to be a move to remove the Kuomintang's grass -roots power.
Furthermore, the Democratic Progressive Party has also weakened to weaken in the field.Former Democratic Progressive Party Chairman and the current Presidential Palace Yao Jiawen revealed during the meal with foreign media that Tsai Ing -wen has always regarded the Kuomintang as the biggest stumbling block for reform.EssenceAs a result, the regulations of improper party property and promoting transformation justice have emerged, allowing the Kuomintang to cut off the feet.
However, for voters who value economic development, these political reforms have never been a top priority.Although the Tsai government has launched a new southbound policy, forward -looking infrastructure, and 5+2 industrial innovation plans, the results are not immediate, the results are not immediate.To put it bluntly, the people enjoyed the economic fruits of cross -strait exchanges during the Ma Ying -jeou government period, and naturally felt dissatisfied with the DPP's governance of the DPP, which rejected the 1992 consensus.
The former Secretary -General of the National Security Council, who invented the word 192 that year, said at a symposium last week that if the DPP will lose next week, it represents the changes in Taiwan's hearts, especially in terms of cross -strait relations.He believes that the DPP's self -rescue is to re -examine the new continental policy of the China -US Change Bureau, and the key first step is to first condense the new consensus within the party.
Although the DPP once again regards mainland China as a political withdrawal machine for elections, and accusing the other side of the opposite shore intervene in democracy in Taiwan, in fact, there is no lack of pragmatic and rational voices in the DPP.The constraints of ideology are hoping to seek breakthroughs in cross -strait relations in a more flexible way.However, whether these pragmatic factions can survive the pressure of independence and promote the formation of new consensus, the outside world dare not optimistic.
Compared to the Democratic Progressive Party, the Kuomintang, which can be able to open up the sorrowful and fog under the Hanliu effect, is more urgent.After the defeat of 2014 and 2016, the Kuomintang should have a profound review and improved, but it still has no achievements.Like Han not like Lan. Regardless of whether South Korean Yu can break through in Kaohsiung, if the Kuomintang cannot get rid of the elite image, if the power continues to control the old king who is unwilling to play, if the cross -strait route cannot reach the party's consensus as the Democratic Progressive Party, then it will be heavy.After all, it is only a slogan to return to the governance, and the Kuomintang will not be popular after all.
Tsai Ing -wen has often said that reform is to change the long -term problems. These problems often have accumulated a long time and are very difficult, so it is inevitable that there is pain. This is the only way to reform.After the hustle and bustle of the election campaign, the painful period of blue -green is about to begin.