Guo Cuiri

In the context of Sino -US trade friction, the US government claims to fight for direct talks with Chinese leaders on the one hand, and threatened to impose more tariffs on Chinese products.The aggressive gesture of the US Trump authorities has made many public opinion more and more concerned about the prospects of Sino -US relations. Some believe that China and the United States have opened up the comprehensive competition of economic, politics, diplomacy, military, and even ideology.The transition into confrontation, some believe that China and the United States will slide into the new cold war, and it will not even rule out the danger of wiping guns.

It should be said that the huge obstacles and problems in Sino -US relations are objective.However, from a macro and long -term perspective, Sino -US relations are still dark, and it is expected to have a more bright and beautiful future.Sino -US construction is still a promising prospect that is worthy of pursuing the pursuit.

This is because the United States comprehensively curbs China's road, and it is ultimately unreasonable. China and the United States still have a high probability that it will not slip into a comprehensive confrontation. There are at least three reasons.

First of all, China has no intention.That is, China itself adheres to the path of peaceful development, and sincerely does not want to fight with the United States.The peaceful development is written into the party constitution of the Communist Party of China and the Chinese constitution. Therefore, it is not only a political commitment, but also the highest legal requirements, and is authoritative.

In addition, although the leader of Chinese leaders is a firm patriot and has a firm pursuit of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, he is obviously not a narrow nationalist, and he will not publicly declare that the United States prefer to seek priority to seek priority in the United States.China is the first, but it has firmly promoted the Belt and Road Initiative, advocated the construction of a community of human destiny, and promoted the construction of a harmonious world of lasting peaceful and common prosperity.In other words, Chinese leaders have deep feelings and humanistic spirit.

There is a saying in China: a slap can not be shot.Because China adheres to peaceful development, although the Trump authorities have repeated impermanence and more provocations, China will not dance with it, and will not seek comprehensive confrontation with the United States.Although in the face of the trade friction from the United States, China will have to resolutely fight against resistance, but because China essentially pursues peace and unintentional confrontation, as long as the opportunity will appear, Sino -US relations will return to the right track.

Second, the United States is weak.From the perspective of the United States, it is difficult for the United States to continuously choose to comprehensively compete with China and curb China's route.If the United States insists on comprehensively curbing China and choosing a confrontation, there is a high probability that it is internal and foreign internal and foreign. As far as the internal is concerned, Sino -US cooperation exchanges for nearly half a century.It all makes the overturning of the United States and China be exchanged for its great pain.

For example, the result of Trump's tariffs on Chinese -American transmission of goods will inevitably include the increase in American public expenditure and the weakening of American companies in the world's largest market.This kind of pain can make it difficult for any American politicians to continue to bear, especially when the election arrives.

In terms of external concerns, although the United States is the most powerful country in the world, the maintenance of its hegemony needs to continue the existence of global existence, which will inevitably lead to defense everywhere, prepare more and effort.EssenceThe Trump authorities may try to imitate the Lianjing strategy of Qin State in the history of China. With its hegemony, it has settled in other countries to form an anti -China Alliance. However, the problem is that although the United States won the Soviet Union in the Cold War, it could not completely eliminate Russia'sGreat potential.

If the United States is fighting against China, the result is more likely that Russia has taken the opportunity to rise again. With Russia's richer land resources and stronger military forces than China, the United States, which is exhausted due to curbing China, will be even more unbearable.

Therefore, the United States comprehensively curbing China will only be the seven -injury fist described by Mr. Jin Yong, who has just died, and seriously hurts themselves while hurting China, or as the Chinese military law says: kill the enemy a thousand, damage 800 self -harm 800EssenceOf course, China will suffer huge losses, and the United States will not be beneficial. It can be described as disadvantaged, so it cannot continue for a long time.

Finally, the international community has no sense.The international community, including many allies in the United States, will not feel like dealing with the Soviet Union during the Cold War. Following the United States to comprehensively curb China will bring themselves real benefits.Because China is not the Soviet Union, it is not intended to expand hegemony, and China's culture is far more aggressive than the Soviet Union's ideology.

China is a locomotive of the world economy. It is an important trading partner or even the largest trading partner in many countries in the world. It brings markets, cooperation and opportunities to various countries.The prosperous China is beneficial to most countries in the world. Following the United States to curb China will only bring uncertain dangerous prospects.

Without a mild and powerful force such as China to balance and the world really falls into a single -pole structure in the United States, it will be a stealing of all other countries and nations.This is humiliation and nightmare. No country has feelings and visionary politicians.If the lack of allies follow, it is even more impossible for the United States to curb China.

Just in October, the 12th Asia -Europe Summit issued a statement when the closing ceremony on the 19th of the Asia -Europe Summit emphasized that in the context of strengthening protectionist policies in the United States, it is necessary to advocate to ensure freedom and open trade, promise and all forms of protectionism.struggle.In late October, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visited China, signed dozens of agreements in China and Japan, and confirmed that he would seek cooperation in a third -party market.

Peaceful development and win -win cooperation are the mainstream consensus of the international community and the trend of the times. Trying to seek the attempt of the US single -pole hegemony against the trend.side.

In summary, since the United States has comprehensively curbing China for a long time, no matter how aggressive it is at present, it must be in the long run and hit the south wall.The United States believes in realism. After discovering this road, it is necessary to choose to turn back, just as it had to draw from the Korean Peninsula and Vietnam from the time of the year.

As a result, Sino -US relations must be better after all, and the United States will eventually choose to accept a strong and peaceful China.Of course, the Pacific is wide enough to accommodate China and the United States, which is also what the international community is happy.

The author is Chinese current affairs commentator

From a macro and long -term perspective, Sino -US relations are still dark and beautiful, and it is expected that there is a bright and beautiful future. Sino -US construction new -type relationships with mutual respect and win -win cooperation partnerships are still the prospects worthy of pursuing.Essence