Ming Pao News Agency
US President Trump announced last week that he will withdraw from the medium -range missile treaty signed with the Soviet Union in 1987, because Russia has violated the treaty, and China who has not joined the treaty has accounted for a lot of cheapness.Middle missile.
Although Europe was deeply worried about the US withdrawal treaty, Russia's response was not as strong as expected. US national security adviser Bolton visited Russia and reached a consensus between Trump and Putin in Paris next month.
China ’s response to the United States is that it is not necessary to talk about China (for excuses), and it is calm.Although there are analysis, the United States means that in the new round of military reserve competitions in China, and even separated from Sino -Russian relations, the deepening contradictions of the United States and Russia, the relationship must ease the difficulties.However, China must be alert to the clamor of the various wars of the United States, and avoid repeating the same mistakes that the Soviet Union was dragged down by the American Star Wars plan.
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The Intermediated-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) prohibits the R & D and deployment range of land-based conventional missiles and nuclear missiles from 500 to 5,500 kilometers, which is regarded as the cornerstone of European security. Thereforedissatisfied.German Foreign Minister Mas said that INF is related to the core interests of Europe, and Germany will do its best to maintain the treaty.Because of the interests of many parties, where the treaty goes, it must also depend on the results of all parties.
Trump wants to withdraw from INF, one of the reasons is not much time from the midterm election. I hope to wash the long -term Russia allegations for a long time.Facial Milital-Inndustric COMPLEX (MIC).
Last week, the National Security Consultant Bolton visited Russia to meet Russian President Putin and the Secretary of the Federal Security Conference Patrushev, Foreign Minister Lavrov, and the Defense Minister Shohgu to explain to the Russian reason to consider the withdrawal of INF.It has not strongly condemned the United States, showing that Russia has been psychologically prepared for this.
Instead, the two sides will reach a consensus. The US -Russian President will hold a summit during the end of the World War I of China next month at the end of the World War I. Trump and Putin and the second Summit of the United States and Russia since the Herboni Summit of Finland in July.
At the same time, Russia and the United States also agreed to maintain communication and cooperation on the Syrian issue. At the end of this year, the deputy foreign ministerial anti -terrorism consultation will be held, and business exchanges will be held next year. No wonder Bolton praises the constructiveness of the furniture with Russia.
Since Trump and Putin's July Summit, US -Russian relations have not only improved significantly, but have appeared frequently.The United States has committed new sanctions on Russia on the grounds that the British drug decision cases and cyber attacks and other incidents; Russia also sells S-300 air defense missile systems to Syria regardless of US opposition.NATO launched the largest military exercise after World War II last week, highlighting the confrontation of the United States and Russia.
On the one hand, Trump hopes to maintain a good relationship with Putin, but on the other hand, to avoid Tong Russia.Under the surrounding anti -Russian traditional politics with deep roots, surrounded by European partners countries, the Special and Puyue Summit is only symbolic for bilateral relations. It is difficult to maintain the current cold and peaceful state.It has fundamentally improved.
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Since China is not an INF signing country, it is not restricted by the treaty. For many years, various medium -range ballistic missiles have been developed, such as the famous Dongfeng 26 and Dongfeng 21D.Killer forms asymmetric advantages in the United States in this regard.
This time the United States withdrawing in INF, especially treating China as a target, means that it will deploy traditional tradition missiles that are easy to hide in Japan or Guam and other places, which will weaken China in the Western Pacific anti-intervention/region (Anti-ACcess/AREADenial, A2/AD) capabilities.Some analysts pointed out that the US move is to compete with Chinese military reserve.
The United States has frequently implemented a marginal policy of war on China. Battleship fighters cross the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.HODGES) predicted at the Warsaw Safety Forum last week that after 15 years, China and the United States are likely to be a war outbreak of the Pacific interest conflict.
It is still remembered that in a speech in 1983 in the late Cold War, the US President Ligan proposed the Strategic Defense Initiation (SDI) for the first time, also known as Star Wars Program.So the Soviet Union was dragged into a huge arms competition.With the exposure of the Central Intelligence Agency after the Cold War, the plan was considered a thorough scam, but the propaganda method adopted by the United States to drag the Soviet Union.
Today, in the face of the war in the US military and political circles, China must be vigilant, do not be deceived by strategic deception, and avoid repeating the prison of the former Soviet Union.
In the Romance of China, the United States and Russia, China and the United States have now become the main contradictions. Next month, the Tarpy Association in Paris, the Xi Pu Club at the APEC Summit, and the Xi Special Conference at the G20 Summit will be staged.The collaboration is connected.Although the United States is the most powerful for the time being, it is difficult to get it, because Europe and Japan have their own calculations; the contradictions between the United States and Russia are difficult to relieve at all, and China and Russia have a realistic need.The strategic imagination of the United States' separation Sino -Russian relations, and even the United Russia -made China is probably difficult to achieve.