Xu Hui
In the past year, the sound of condemnation from the United States has been condemning China to endlessly, and its waves are higher than waves.Inadvertently, China seems to have become the number one enemy in the United States.
At the end of October, the US Minister Mattis said in a think tank in Washington, but provided a new footnote for the number one enemy in China.Matisse said that the United States is currently facing three threats: threats in power, the most urgent threats, and long -term threats in political will.Russia's nuclear weapons constitute the most powerful threat. There are two most urgent security threats. One is extreme organizations, and the other is North Korea's nuclear and missile projects.From the perspective of political will to form a long threat to the United States, China's threat is the biggest.
The threat decided to act, although Matisse was summarized afterwards, it can still be seen that the United States did use this as a guide.The Russian national strength has been greatly declining, but inherited the Soviet mantle, with nuclear weapons and military forces, and is not willing to be regarded as the scope of second -rate countries and contraction forces.Performance of temper.
In this sense, Russia's threat to the United States is the past. Because of the particularity of nuclear weapons itself, this great threat can exist for a long time.Therefore, the United States is not worried that Russia will revive one day.To deal with Russia, the United States will neither tear its faces completely, nor indifferent, and appropriate pressure and sanctions into an ideal choice.
The threat of extreme organizations and North Korea's nuclear guidance projects is to be carried out and must be responded quickly.The extreme organization and terrorist forces that threaten the security of the United States and allies, the United States will not be soft, and it is also one of the national strategies in the United States after the September 11 incident.To deal with the rapid development of nuclear -guided weapons, the Trump administration also showed great forbearance and flexibility.After Trump came to power, he had endured the surgery of China's economic and trade. The purpose was to seek China to help the United States on the North Korean nuclear issue. It was not until the US -DPRK negotiations had eyebrows that the truth was revealed.Putting down his body to go to Singapore to meet Kim Jong -un, Trump's flexibility in the urgent threat was revealed.
Today, the issues of Russia, extreme terrorist forces, and North Korea have gradually stabilized, but China and the United States have no trouble.In the statement of senior US officials, China has unbearable behaviors such as theft of intellectual property, forced technology transfer, hindering free navigation of international waters, and intervention in politics of Western countries.This is not all the problems. The core of China and the United States in the eyes of the United States is that China hopes to establish a new order centered on its own country in the future, and the road that China chooses to run counter to the American road.The United States believes that only if China changes its direction at all can China be avoided by the overall cold war between China and the United States.
Therefore, unlike the moderate pressure on Russia and the flexibility of the North Korean nuclear issue, the United States' strategic choice for China is undoubtedly curbing.To this end, the United States will take various measures to deal with China and force China to return to the orbit where the United States wants, and the first step is the trade war.
If Sino -US trade friction is only a problem of economic and trade, it is not possible to reach an agreement on the negotiating table.The current Sino -US trade negotiations must be based on political and road choices, and the difficulty of reaching reconciliation can be imagined.Even if both sides can reach a framework consensus, they are just virtual and commissioned snakes.In this sense, the Sino -US trade war is bound to be a protracted war, and it will only be suspended and will not end soon.If you look at the Xi special meeting held in Argentina at the end of November, there is no need to have too much hope.
Judging from the current economic scale and political system of China and the United States, China and the United States are likely to become the poles of the world in the future.It is difficult for the United States to force China to choose the road that the United States appreciates by curbing China. Of course, China is even more unable to change the United States. Two opponents that may become the world's future poles still have to learn how to get along.
The author is a researcher at Anbang Think Tank International Relations Center
The article only represents personal point of view
