The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences suggested that China set the growth rate of GDP in 2023 to more than 5%, and the deficit rate increase to about 3%.
According to the 21st Century Business Herald, the "2023 Economic Blue Book Release and the China Economic Situation Report Meeting" sponsored by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences was held in Beijing on Tuesday (December 13). The former dean of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Xie Fuzhan, chairman of the Presidium of the Ministry of Student, said that the long -term development of China's economy has not changed, and the large -scale market advantages are still prominent. The industrial chain supply chain system is complete, and macroeconomic policy has space. In additionEconomic growth of more than 5%is very necessary and conditional.
Li Xuelong, Director of the Institute of Economics, Technology and Economics, Institute of Social Sciences.He introduced that China's economy is expected to grow by about 5.1%in 2023, showing a significant recovery trend, and the overall economic operation will improve.It is recommended that the GDP growth rate of 2023 is set above 5%, and during the actual execution process, it can strive to achieve a higher growth rate.
The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences also recommends set the deficit rate to about 3%in 2023. Moderate the scope of the application of special debt to maintain the steady growth of the total amount of credit in the real economy., Make up for the shortcomings.Among them, a stable monetary policy must be accurate and powerful to create a stable monetary financial environment for the real economy.
Cai Yan, the former vice president of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and chief expert of the National High -end Think Tank of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said at the report that the Chinese economy will return to normal in 2023, but it may be a new normal.If the Chinese population reaches its peak in 2022, it will enter a brand new era in 2023, calling the population of the population.
Cai Yan said that the negative growth of China's labor age population has been negative in 2011. China is a slow period of negative growth in the working age population, which gives a buffer to prepare.However, when the total population reaches its peak, the decline in the labor age population will be accelerated, which may double the impact on labor, human capital, capital return, and productivity in the future.