Yu Zeyuan: What is the effect of military exercise in mainland China?

After the end of the PLA Army in Mainland China, Chinese Prime Minister Li Qiang arrived in Shouho on May 26 (Sunday) to attend the China -Japan -South Korea Leaders' Meeting.The U.S. Department of Defense announced on May 24 that During the Shangri -La dialogue between Singapore .Sino -Japanese and Korean leaders restarted the meeting and the China -US Defense Ministers' meetings showed that the Taiwan Strait military crisis caused by the "two countries" caused by the new president of Taiwan's new president Lai Qingde temporarily came to an end.

For the military exercise of the PLA, the US President Biden reiterated on May 25 to reiterate the United States to firmly maintain the peace and stability of the Taiwan Strait.The U.S. State Department also expressed deep concern on military exercises on the same day, saying that Beijing used the Taiwan regime to carry out military provocation, bringing the risk of upgrading the situation, and urging Beijing to maintain restraint.

The state of the United States is basically expected, and does not use fierce words similar to "defending Taiwan".The United States actively announced that the US -China Defense Director would meet at the Shangri -La Summit, indicating that the United States has received a clear response from China. Senior exchanges between the U.S. -China military have not been affected by the military exercise of the PLA.

The effect of this military exercise in Taiwan has its own interpretation on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.The overall performance of Taiwan's side is calm, and the official will always emphasize that the main military acts to destroy the peace of the two sides of the strait, hoping that the international forces such as the United States and Japan will intervene;Try to avoid conflicts with the liberation warships and marine police vessels close to Taiwan ’s island; mainstream public opinion in Taiwan has long been weird, and has not worried too much about the main military performance. The stock market is basically stable.//www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20240524-3713132 "R = Nofollow Target = _blank> Military exercises seem to have not caused much shocks in Taiwanese society .

Mainland China officially evaluates the significance of military exercise.Wu Qian, a spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense, said that this operation was full of arrogance in the "Taiwan independence", and the intervention intervention of external forces was completely reasonable and reasonable, and it was necessary."Once the" Taiwan independence "provoked, our countermeasures advanced, until the realization of the motherland was fully unified."

Although the military exercise of Taiwan has not caused panic in Taiwan this time, from a military perspective, Military exercises do show the ability to block and crack down on Taiwan's ability to block Taiwan steadily .

Military scholar Du Wenlong said on the official media CCTV that the PLA's military exercises surrounded the three heavy punch, namely the shipping machine collaboration, assault on the sea, and attack on land.

The scope of the coordination of ship machines is on the east side of the island of Taiwan. Through the surface formation and joint assaults, the coordinated test of the ship's aircraft is inspected.The ability to destroy the injury has reached a high level; the assault on the sea is precise positioning and tracking of the target of the maritime mobile target, and the use of different weapons and equipment to conduct a combination of far, medium, high, and low combinations.Other weapons and equipment conduct a combined three -dimensional strike.

Some netizens released the old photos of the mainland during the Taiwan Navy in 1996.At that time, due to the backward equipment, the PLA had to use civilian vessels to load artillery to cross the sea.In this arms exercise in Taiwan, the PLA dispatched advanced equipment such as the "Big Gate Artifact" F-20, the "Bomb truck" J-16, and the large landing ship 071.

In fact, since 1996, the PLA has been unable to control the eastern part of the Taiwan Island, and the front of the people will cross the sea.Crossing advantages. "Moreover, the military exercise in Taiwan was launched immediately on the day of the announcement, and there was no need to spend time to gather the forces of various military as before, indicating that the PLA had the ability to advance, siege and block Taiwan.

At the same time, the power of the mainland maritime police also joined this squeeze exercise and conducted drills in the waters near Hualien near Taiwan and the waters near Hualien, Taiwan.This shows that in the state of non -war, if the mainland thinks it is necessary, the maritime police ship can also use the maritime police ship to check and seize the transportation cargo in and out of the island.

The United States' attitude towards the military exercise in mainland China in 1996 and this enclosure also reflects that the PLA's strength is long.In March 1996, the PLA held a exercise for Lee Teng -hui to visit the United States. The United States immediately sent two aircraft carrier battle groups to approach the Taiwan Strait. At that time, the Secretary of State Warren Christopher also publicly warned that if the mainland decided to use the force against Taiwan, "the United States will give China to China," the United States will give China to China.Bring serious consequences. "

In 1996, the ability and measures of the PLA to besieged Taiwan are now incompetent, and they have initially have the strength to refuse external military forces to directly assist Taiwan.In addition to verbally supporting Taiwan, the United States has no intention or power to send aircraft carrier formations to directly interfere with the situation in the Taiwan Strait as in 1996.This is also an important reason why the PLA says that the enclosure is a fence.

In 2022, Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, visited Taiwan. Mainland China has held three actual exercises in Taiwan. The Taiwan Strait and the international community seem to have accepted this reality.It can be expected that in the future, if the mainland believes that Taiwan and the United States will challenge the "one China" bottom line in the future, similar siege exercises will be staged.

Of course, the enhancement of the PLA's ability to siege does not mean that the mainland will quickly move against Taiwan.For Chinese leaders, the primary tasks at the moment are not to regain Taiwan, but to develop economy and maintain domestic stability, and strive to basically modernize in 2035.

Although Lai Qingde's "two countries" challenged the bottom line of the mainland, it may not exceed the expected mainland because the outside world knew that Lai Qingde was a pragmatic "Taiwan independence" worker.Mainland leaders will not lose their strategic determination because of Lai Qingde's "Taiwan independence" remarks, which will make cross -strait relations impact the overall development situation.In the future, unless Taiwan and the United States have jointly launched the mainland's unbearable action, cross -strait relations will still maintain vulnerability and peace in the shock.