The party member of the Taiwanese party, Hsinchu Mayor Gao Hong'an, was accused of fraudulent assistance fees last week.Ke Wenzhe, chairman of the people and presidential candidates, supports Gao Hongan and supports her to defend the innocence. After the fermentation, it was accused of the decline in Ke Wenzhe's polls and was chased by the Kuomintang presidential candidate Hou Youyi.
Gao Hong'an is the only local county and city head of the people's party. Before the end of November last year, the "Nine -in -One" election was reported.S $ 19600) Assistant fee.In the next Taipei Local Procuratorate (North Inspection), Gao Hongan also faced overwhelming public opinion attacks.
In the end, Gao Hongan won in the triangle; general analysis, the key to winning is that the public generally believes that official cases have political purposes, and they are also targeted at the weak of the opposition party.
After eight months of investigation, the North Procuratorate prosecuted Gao Hong'an on Monday (August 14) on Monday (August 14) for crime of corruption and forging documents, and suggested to seize public rights.Once the charges are established, her mayor's throne may not be guaranteed.
On the afternoon of that day, Ke Wenzhe opened a reporter and said that he had worked with Gao Hong'an for many years. He believed that she had no corruption attempts and supported her to propose evidence to defend the innocence.This action has led to the great increase in the negative sound of Ke Wenzhe. In addition, he recently made some controversial remarks, and the support of polls has also declined from the peak.
From mid -May to the present, according to statistics, there have been more than 20 polls in the past three months, showing a major chaos; but the overall trend is that Ke Wenzhe's support from about 30 % to 20 % to 20 %, Kuomintang ginsengHou Youyi, who was selected, rose steadily.A few polls showed that Ke Wenzhe ranked second in steady, but most of them showed a shortage of the gap between the two, and even "golden crosses" appeared in mid -August, which was caught up by Hou Youyi.
Associate Professor Du Shengcong, director of the Department of Radio and Television of Ming Chuan University, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that Ke Wenzhe supports Gao Hong'an to impact himself and the people's party. In the end"" ".
He said that the party holders of young people and intellectuals are relatively picky and persistent. They hate blue and green and care about wrong value;A certain proportion of supporters will turn around and leave.
Du Shengcong said that the current political atmosphere compared with the end of last year, it is a different time and space background, including Gao Hong'an is already a local governor. The people are more inclined to believe in justice under the calendar of the north.Regardless of whether the ruling party has similar illegal behaviors or "historical work" or gives people a small sense of obsession, if it is confirmed that it is illegal, the DPP government will definitely not let go.
Comprehensive analysis, if this case is judged before the presidential election vote on January 13, 2024, no matter whether guilty or not, it may arouse the rebound.Contribute the people's party.
Du Shengcong said that Ke Wenzhe must support Gao Hong'an in terms of emotion, but it is not good to continue to fall into this vortex.Nowadays, you can only wait for another black swan incident that is not good for the ruling party to surround Wei to save Zhao and transfer the focus.
Professor and Director of the Department of Advertising at Culture University, Niu Zexun said in an interview with Lianhe Zaobao that the people's party was actually doing topic management to avoid giving people the perception of "the whole party".
When he believes that Ke Wenzhe responded to the case, he felt that he had remained a certain distance and retained. He hoped to transition to the next topic. There was also different concerns in the party.
He said that if the people's party continues to fight on the battlefield of this sensitive issue, it will definitely be detrimental to the overall election of Ke Wenzhe and the people's party.
Analysis: The DPP will not defeat Ke Wenzhe
Niu Zexun analyzed that the DPP's strategy seems to "maintain the balance of power of Kehou", making it difficult for non -green voters to abandon the insurance.Therefore, it is estimated that this issue will not be fully played to avoid causing Ke Wenzhe to be defeated and marginalized, and then the blue -green party duel will not be known.
