Source: Bloomberg
Author: jacob Gu
The last week before the US election is coming to an end. This article takes this opportunity to briefly resume the policies of China University of China.
China issue
Compared to other issues, the differences between the two candidates on China are the smallest, which also determines that no matter who is elected, it is unlikely that China and the United States will return to Trump for the first time before going on stage.The relationship.
Former President Trump has a complicated attitude towards China, and it is difficult to predict various means. He has launched a trade war against China. He also implemented a strict travel ban on China and other times at the beginning of the crown disease epidemic. At the same time, he also claimed that he also claimed thatIt has a good relationship with Chinese President Xi Jinping, and not long ago, he also praised him for "cleverness."
Trump threatened 60%or even higher tariffs on goods from China.Not long ago, he also said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal that if Beijing moved against Taiwan, he would impose 150%to 200%tariffs on China.
The model of Bloomberg Economic Research shows that the 60%tariffs will make the trade amount of US $ 575 billion (S $ 759.3 billion) between China and the United States to be black.
Trump stated that Chinese cars manufactured in Mexico were sold to the United States, but many times they welcomed Chinese car companies to provide employment opportunities in the United States.Trump also accused China of failing to fulfill the first phase of the economic and trade agreement with him, and said that the first phone call to return to the White House had to call Xi Jinping to promote his performance.
In addition, it is worth noting that his eldest son Donald Trump has recently emphasized that China is the real enemy of the United States.
The opposite of Trump is just the opposite. Harris, who does not have much experience in China, is not much ink on China, but it seems that she does not intend to open up a new front with China.Jennifer Welch, who was the Asian consultant of Harris and now Bloomberg's economic research as chief geopolitical analyst, said that compared with Trump, she may adopt a "more targeted method" on the tariff issue.
Bloomberg Industry research and analysis believes that Harris may continue the tariff policy of Biden.Harris is expected to continue to opposite China on issues such as semiconductor technology, the Taiwan Strait and the tension of the South China Sea.Harris jointly proposed a number of bills involving Hong Kong and Xinjiang's human rights during his tenure.
It is worth noting that Harris chose Tim Waltz with experience in China as his campaign partner.
Taiwan Strait Topics
Trump also performed differently on issues involving Taiwan. He tried the red line of mainland China in 2016 and broke the convention to answer the congratulations on the convention of Taiwan Cai Yingwen.
He also questioned the "one China" policy in the United States for a long time, and wanted to pursue a better trade agreement as a bargaining chip.
John Bolton, who had served as Trump's national security consultant, said in his memoir that the former president liked to point to a pen tip of his pen and said, "This is Taiwan", and then pointed at the elliptical office.The table "says" this is China. "
Trump said to a Republican Senate: "Taiwan is only two feet away from China." "We are 8,000 miles away. If they attack, we will have no way to do it."
Trump also questioned whether the United States should defend Taiwan at the end of June by Bloomberg Business Week in Haihu Manor at the end of June.He hinted that Taiwan would pay a protection fee to the United States, "I mean, how stupid we are? They snatched all our chip business."Trump said, "They are super rich."
Harris's public discussion on Taiwan's issue is extremely limited.Unlike Biden said several times, she would use the US army to defend Taiwan. When she was interviewed by CBS TV in early October, she refused to make a clear statement when asked about the same question.
She said, "I don't want to discuss hypothetical issues", but "we need to ensure maintaining the 'Chinese' policy, but this includes supporting Taiwan's self -defense capabilities, including we need to take measures to ensure the freedom of the Taiwan Strait."
