Zhuo Nansheng: In the Chaos Political Bureau

Looking at the past remarks of the nine people, especially the words and deeds since the election, it is not difficult to see that they are competing to propose a radical troop plan and a hawk diplomatic strategy, especially for new generations.

Compared with the Election of the President of the Liberal Democratic Party in 2021, the competition this time is similar to the following.

First, during the 2021 campaign, except for the Fifth Liberal Democratic Party's Fifth Valve Kishida School, the leader Kishida Yoshiko was elected, other small and small factions did not officially send candidates, nor did they compulsory members to vote for any candidate.The reason why the largest valve Abe (Old Sima School) and the second largest valve Masheng School did not formally recommend candidates. The reason is very simple.The second line has no plans to decentralize the power or subordinates.Because once the candidate is officially launched, the sent valves may not be their own rivers and mountains.

Second, because of his inconvenience or unable to go out, Shinzo Abe first supported the so -called non -factional official house chief, Guan Yiwei as the prime minister in 2018.The Abe, the post -shaking of the female eagle politician Gao City, the president of the party, became the president of the party.After the first round of voting in Gaoshi, Abe had to support Kishida Wenxiong. Although it was Masheng, he was not recommended by Aso.

For Abe, Toyi Yiwei, Takashi Miao or Kishida Wenxiong, is all transitional agents, all of which can not help obey his command stick.

As for the Makoto Taro, the Shaoyang Taro, who was sent by the same valve in 2021, decided to run.But as a valve, it was not supported at the time.From this perspective, the Masheng School, as the only unscrupulous valve to date, officially showed that supporting Kumano's emergence seems to be a major change.However, the observer also noticed that when Masheng supported Kono's out of horse, he also left an intriguing sentence: Although the Mason officially recommended Kono to run, the members of the sent valve can be freely voted.This way Mason's talk is actually in disguise to recover the support for Kono.The parties are not very optimistic about Kono, which is good at 2021, one of the factors may be here.

Third, because of the two major valves of the two elders in the party, the two major valves in the party are firmly controlled by the party and government. When Shi Paomao (64 years old at the time), at the presidential election in 2021, the former environment wasMinister Koizumi Koizumi (40 years old) supported Kono Taro (58 years old) to form a horse, forming the Xiaoshi River Alliance, trying to use generation alternate theory as the banner, challenging the Kishida Wenxiong and behind the old old.

Learn the characteristics of the President of the Liberal Democratic Party in 2021, and we look back at the face of many candidates who participated in the competition today, and we will find the following changes.

First, the three young and strong politicians "Xiao Shihe", which was advertised for generations, has shifted from allies to competitors.They went to the battlefield, coupled with the late Prime Minister Shinzo Shinzo San supported. In the first round of the presidential election election in 2021, it followed Kishida and Kono.Those who love hype and have the highest support in public opinion tests.

Although the Japanese media announced that the four competitors were leading the support of public opinion tests, they did not forget to point out that this did not mean that they had a high choice opportunity, but the major media still focused on the four people.

It is not necessary to say that the support rate of public opinion is not necessarily linked to the presidential election results, which is right.Because the participating test tests did not actually have the right to vote.According to the Liberal Democratic Party's rules, the first round of voting for the president was a member of the 367 Liberal Democratic Party Parliament, and the voting of party members and party members was discounted to 367 "local votes", a total of 734 votes.In the case of getting more than half of the support votes, the second round of voting must be held.According to relevant regulations, the second round of voters, the 367 votes of parliamentarians remain unchanged, and "local tickets" changed from 367 votes to 47 votes representing Daofu County.In other words, in the second round of voting, the Liberal Democratic Parliament is far more directed by the president than the "local votes".

This shows that if the presidential candidate is only popular among party members and party friends, it may not be possible to maintain an advantage in the second round of voting, let alone voting with the Liberal Democratic Party, which is irrelevant to the Liberal Democratic Party, is arbitrarily selected by the media, and sampling investigations will be surveyed by the media.Public opinion support rate.

"Military Fans" movement is concerned

From this perspective, Shi Po Mao, a long -aged defense minister, who is still unwilling to defeat. Although the support rate of public opinion in the media is often leading, it is still unknown whether it can be paid as expected.Shi Po, who has always advocated the constitutional amendment of the whole army, is the so -called "policy communication" and "military fans". I have a strong self -confidence.But this is exactly where his weakness lies.In the Japanese society that attaches great importance to coordination and team spirit, the talents who are proud, too inspirational and confident are not necessarily popular and affirmed.Similarly, Kono Kono, who has heresy and durian in the party, also faces the same problem.

Perhaps this is the reason that many Japanese media have focused their attention on Koizumi Kojiro.But in all fairness, in addition to the so -called handsomeness rendered by the young (43) and the media, Koizumi is a former Prime Minister Koizumi Chunichiro's second son.No wonder many critics believe that he is too early to go out at this moment.When he published a candidate conversation at the press conference of the Japanese Journalists Club, he did not talk about national affairs. Instead, he detailed the story of his parents' early divorce and his first gathering with his biological mother.Come to "lack of generals of generals".

Talking about his former Prime Minister's father of the Yasukuni Shrine, Xiaoquan Chunichiro, six years and six years.power".As a result, in the political performance of one side played and the other side shouted, both of the Liberal Democratic Party's reform factions and resistance factions won the victory in the election. No one could remember the focus of the political situation at that time.

At this point, the skill of "Koizumi Theater" shifts to the sight cannot be said to be superb.But after the theater closing, people couldn't help asking the following questions: What exactly does Koizumi's political reform bring to Japan?Regarding this, it is full of "golden collection". The most appropriate comments of Ozawa Ichiro, who had been in Japanese politics, is "no right wing."As a result, the Koh Kite drifted up with the wind and fell to the ground with the wind.Perhaps it is to break the dull political air at this moment. Some people look forward to Chunichiro's second son that set off Koizumi again, but for Japan, which is going downhill, is this really a savvy choice?

"New Generation" and "Prime Minister of Female" have nothing to do with political reform

As for Gao Shi Miao, which focuses on "becoming the first prime minister in Japan", has no Abe's support, and has weakened a lot.

Gao Shi Miao was born in Panasonic's Panasonic Politics and Economics, which was aimed at cultivating conservative politicians. It was founded by the owner of Panasonic Enterprise Group, who was welded as the god of business and is known for its production appliances, and established 7 billion yen in his old age.After his death, he was supported by the Honorary President of the Kyoki Group with the spirit of advocating the spirit of Yangming and the unity of the knowledge and action.When Gao City first entered politics, the right -wing color and edge were revealed everywhere, and they never interrupted their worship of the Yasukuni Shrine.

Looking at the past remarks of the nine people, especially the words and deeds since the election, it is not difficult to see that they are competing to propose a radical troop plan and a hawk diplomatic strategy, especially the new generation of politicians.From this perspective, the new generation or "female prime minister's debut" is regarded as the driving force or program of Japanese political reform. ObviouslyCan't withstand verification and analysis.