In fact, from a judicial perspective, Trump's appointment of conservative judges does not necessarily cause the result of overthrowing the Luo Dev.There are too many cases of the Supreme Court judgment case that cannot find the dividing line of the so -called left and right political factions.The conservative judges are often supporters, or a few supporters of opinions, or supporters of the Liberal Liberal Justice.
On the evening of Tuesday (September 10), Eastern Time, we saw how the two presidential candidates used exaggerated their achievements and attacking the opponent's policy weaknesses in the debate to win the support of more voters.Trump and Harris's 100 -minute debate, the focus is not the loyal fans of the stance and the two parties, but the swing voters who can hear the ears of the left and right opinions.
For these voters, the emotional response of the candidate at the debate scene, and even the loser speech, has nothing to do with the overall situation.What they values is the policy proposition and specific measures given by critical candidates.Economic inflation, illegal immigration and abortion rights are obviously three core issues. So, how did the two candidates perform the debate on these three major issues in the first face -to -face confrontation?
Economic inflation: empathy or evidence?
The Democratic Party has been in power in recent years, and the high inflation encountered by the US economy has always been a topic of driving.He always compared his strong situation in the US economy when he was in power for four years, which is obviously Trump's most proud argument.
However, in the face of criticism, Harris does not seem to emphasize that the important factor in promoting inflation is that the United States cannot be controlled. For example, the crown disease epidemic has an unprecedented impact on the global supply chain.Copy the impact of the epidemic on the economy.Four years ago, an important factor that Trump lost to Biden was that he did not succeed in dealing with the epidemic.Assuming that Trump is re -elected and the high loss rate and demand for the impact of the epidemic, what are the tips for Trump?Maybe his fiscal stimulus will be more gentle?In fact, the Republican Party of the House of Representatives has repeatedly reduced the scale of economic stimulus proposed by Biden.
Trump has the problem of highlighting the high inflation rate, which responds to the personal experience of "stressful mountains" in the face of high living expenses. Although he uses unreasonable data and exaggerated speaking, it is indeed the common to the voters.It won support during the process.
In contrast, Harris' response seemed too much as a scroll gas and avoiding it.She quoted several Nobel economists to criticize Trump's trade policy that might worsen inflation, which would not help a politician with economic challenges and living pressures with voters.Harris repeated several tax cuts on how to help SMEs and low -income income. It seems that there is a small distance between the economic strategy that a presidential candidate who is looking forward to.
Harris can actually admit that the government must bear certain responsibilities for high inflation, and at the same time pointed out that the Federal Reserve has announced the time window for this year's interest rate reduction.In this way, while showing the responsibility of the current vice president of the government, it can also indirectly indicate that the Federal Reserve's decision -making has been indirectly stated that the current government has gained in control of inflation.
illegal immigration: large -scale repatriation or shaking the pot?
A large number of illegal immigrants flowing from the southern border in the United States are already a difficult issue in the political context of the United States.Trump defeated Hillary in 2016, which to a large extent use the poor performance of the Democratic Party on this issue.Under the influence of major events such as the epidemic and the Ukraine War, Bayeng did not seem to invest enough time and energy to immigrant issues in the first three years of ruling.
Harris pointed out in the debate that the Bayeng government also proposed a new immigration -related bill, but was rejected in the Republican House of Republican House.At this time, what the swing voters want to hear are that as a presidential candidate, what strategies and measures have Harris in solving illegal immigration, rather than shake the pot Trump, accusing him of the intervention and impact of Republican parliament as a bill as a billThe main reason for miscarriage.Obviously, Harris' shaking behavior not only ignored the independence of Republican members in legislation, but also exaggerated the suspicion of Gagan's influence.More importantly, she failed to respond to the low recognition of the Democratic Party on the issue of the Democratic Party on the issue of illegal immigration.
In response to the issue of illegal immigration, Trump always associates illegal immigrants and criminal acts, exaggerating the huge negative impact of illegal immigrants on American social security.This may also be a kind of empathy strategy.But in terms of providing solutions, Trump seems to take it for granted.His solution is large -scale repatriation.According to data from the US Department of Homeland Security, as of 2022, the number of illegal living in the United States was about 11 million.How to repatriate such a large -scale population, even if only one -tenth of them is one -tenth, it is 1 million.How to do it, Trump has no specific explanation.One is a large -scale repatriation that does not have specific measures, and the other is that the bill failed to pass the pan of the pot. Neither of the solution that the voters expected to hear, but the second is the second. In these two bad options, the swinging voters are swinging votersWhich one is more inclined?
abortion right: Constitution is freedom or states to decide on its own?
The issue of abortion rights has plagued American society for half a century.After the Supreme Court, which was appointed by the Republican President, overthrew the judgment of the Luo Devy Case, Trump and the Republican Party became the focus of the Democratic Party.The ruling of the Supreme Court is ultimate, unless the Supreme Court once again overthrow its previous ruling again.In this regard, it seems that Trump and the Republican Party seem to be questioning one of the most basic principles of the US Constitution: the separation of judicial, legislation and administration.The ruling of the Supreme Court has denied that the abortion right is the right to be given by the Constitution. The final ruling of abortion rights is handed over to the legislature at all states.Because of the different people's consciousness of different states, through the legislative procedures of various states, abortion rights will show a diverse trend in the United States.In other words, this big problem has been "divided into".
When Trump mentioned the ruling of the Supreme Court in the debate, he also wanted to praise his role in it.In fact, from a judicial perspective, he appointing a conservative judge does not necessarily cause the result of overthrowing the Luo Dev.There are too many cases of the Supreme Court judgment case that cannot find the dividing line of the so -called left and right political factions.The conservative judges are often supporters, or a few supporters of opinions, or supporters of the Liberal Liberal Justice.
Uncertainty is the charm of the US presidential election
Two candidates face the sprint period that is less than two months later, and there are enough time and opportunities to explain the policy issues that swing the voters' care.The results of the election are also difficult to predict.As a campaign partner for the two, the two vice presidential candidates will also usher in a television debate in early October, which also provides an important time. Let us see on several focus issues and continue to fight for middle school voters.The two vice presidential candidates who have different experiences and personality in politics will perform.
Of course, in addition to the three major issues listed here, swing voters will also care about many other issues, such as trade policies, climate response, diplomatic relations, and energy policies.Interestingly, in these policies, the two factions may have more tendency to converge.For example, the Biden government continues the Trump administration's practices in trade and tariff policies.In terms of energy policy, Harris specifically mentioned in the debate that it should continue to encourage the development of shale gas to ensure the safety of energy supply.This obviously recognizes a specific energy policy that is mainly widely supported by Republican voters.No wonder Trump said ridiculous in the debate that he would send Harris a Maga (to make the United States great again) baseball caps.
The author is an international climate and energy policy observer and a podcast host
