In the French election on July 7, the Kuomintang National Alliance, which had already won the parliamentary election with an absolute advantage, may not have thought that he would have encountered Waterloo in the second round of elections.This result also made the party's former chairman Le Pen and leader Baldella very dissatisfied, and blamed the siege of the left -wing alliance, depriving the right -wing governance, saying that he did not respect voters.

The left -wing alliance is very happy. They said, "Our people have clearly rejected the worst situation." "Tonight, the people are victory.", Don't Mac "

Compared with the left -wing alliance and the extreme right -wing alliance, the middle right party led by Macron is a bit mixed.If you are unhappy, but after all, you will block the control of the French Parliament to prevent French society from entering the right to the right, becoming a country with the control of the extremely right -wing forces, and also that the extremely right -wing forces cannot serve as the Prime Minister.If you are happy, it only gets the second seat in the election and has a foil.

Next, the Prime Minister will be recommended by the left -wing alliance. Even if it is better than the Prime Minister of the Right -wing forces, the impact on President Macron's power is obvious.Moreover, the extremely right -wing forces will not give up, and will definitely expand the power more aggressively and compete with the left -wing alliance and the middle and right alliances.This also means that the "Three Kingdoms Age" in France has arrived, and the left, middle schools, and gee -rights will start fierce fighting and struggle.

Although there are still more than two years before the presidential election, Macron is still the French president and the top leader of France before it was held.However, he has more and more constraints in the parliament. Whether the new government can obey command and support his work like the current government, he dare not expect.Atar, who is currently only 34 years old, has submitted his resignation. This is only half a year before he has taken the position of Prime Minister in January this year.

Can Macron be Cao Cao and unify the "three -point world"?Obviously, the possibility is very small.At least, the right -wing forces will not agree, nor will they be commanded; the left -wing alliance will see the situation.The right to the middle of him is obviously not in the state.Therefore, it is quite good to maintain the "three -point world" and the impact of the right -wing forces with the left -wing alliance.

The left -wing alliance is the organization that is temporarily pushed together. The parties are also thoughtful between the parties. It is impossible to be a iron plate.Therefore, it is no possible to expect the left -wing league to have a big interest.If you can block the counterattack of the extremely right -wing forces with the middle camp, you can be satisfied.

Those who can really act as Cao Cao may still be extremely right -wing forces.Don't look at their losses this time, they lose a bit inexplicable, but the energy that has been accumulated is quite large.In this regard, Le Pen, the former chairman of the National Alliance, said very clearly.She said that the failure of the National Alliance was only because of the strategic voting arrangements between the New People's Front and the Mark Long camp.She said the tide is rising.This time it was not high enough, but it was still rising, and victory was actually just postponed.The leader of the National Alliance, Baldella, said that an old world has collapsed, and there is nothing to prevent people who can start to re -start hope. The National Alliance will expand the work in the opposition.

According to the results of the first round of voting, the power of the Right -wing Alliance is already very large. In the future, France is the probability of the extreme right -wing forces.What's more, this is also the storm that Europe is formed.If Trump is elected as the president of the United States, the storm of extremely right -wing forces will come more fiercely, and the influence of the National Alliance in France will be even greater.

In other words, the French Parliament in the future will become more and less peaceful. Any important decision -making of Macron may die in the parliament, at least it will be greatly contained and constrained.If the extremely right -wing alliance can be low -key and more practical, the results of the next parliamentary election are better predicted.What will happen to the presidential election in 2027, it is difficult to say.

(the author is a Chinese financial commentator)