The result of polarization is like the unfortunate injury or even serious injury of athletes in competitive sports. It is part of sports, and "polarization" is also part of political operation and development.The rational thinking and attitude should be asked a few more "why" from the polarization results of the election?
As soon as the results of the European Parliament's election came out, the world was almost shocked.About 50%of the voters with about 370 million voters in Europe have voted.The middle and right -wing parties will occupy the first pattern of the European Parliament and the second seats. It has not changed significantly, which caused the two results to cause world vibration and attention.
The first is the increase in votes of extreme right -wing parties. For example, the seats of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) Party groups increased from 69 to 73; the recognition and democratic (ID) party group of the extreme right wing increased from 49 to 58The seat.Although the increase is limited, the "rise" itself is noticeable.
The second is that among some important member states in the European Union, the votes of the extremely right -wing party have increased significantly.For example, the National Alliance of the French Right Wing Political Party led by Le Pen won 31.5%of the votes, more than doubled more than the Revolutionary Party;) 14.1%; the extremely right -wing Austrian Liberal Party received 25.7%of the votes, and also surpassed the Governance of 24.7%of the Austrian People's Party.Among the current EU 27, the support rate of extremely right -wing political parties with 16 countries exceeds 20%. Seven countries such as Italy and the Netherlands are led or participated in the government.
Although the final result of this election is yet to be announced, the self -confidence of Le Pen's "ready to govern" shows that the extremely right -wing party is more active and more discourse in the European political ecology.Reality.
Extremely political forces protrude, and the results of the polarization elections are worthy of in -depth thinking.
Voters' reversal is not worth a fuss
The polarized organization, known as "extreme" and "populism", is due to the polarized thinking and actions that they are pursuing.Not only the right wing, the same is true of other polarization organizations, including some extreme left -wing parties that have been declining in recent years. In the early years, people also caused people to vibrate, such as the German Green Party.In 1993, the two German Green Party merged and entered 11 state councils in 16 states across the country, and obtained 49 seats in the federal elections.Five years later, in the 1998 election, the German Green Party won an unprecedented victory, and has long held important positions such as the Federal Government Foreign Minister in a "traffic alliance".Unfortunately, at the moment, in this European Parliament election, the Green Party only received 12%of the votes, far below 20.5%in 2019.The Green Party / European Free League in the European Parliament also fell from 72 to 58 seats.
In France, in the early years, the Trotsky believers Jean – Luc Mélenchon, and his "La France Insoumise", 18 to 24 in the two elections of the two elections in 2017 and 2022 in 2017 and 2022.Among the year -old voters, more than one -third of the support rate.The same is true of Greek's radical left -wing alliance. After renamed the Left Alliance Party in 2012, it became the second largest party in the parliament.In 2014, the radical left party "we can" established in Spain, and 100,000 people joined in less than a month; for the first time participating in parliamentary elections, it won millions of votes.These political parties were also prosperous at that time, and their decline at the moment also showed that the tide and tide in the political ecology were not abnormal.
The reversal of the rotation of political parties in the election and the political preferences of voters in the election is not worthy of fuss.In 2007, the right -wing ruling alliance led by the French traditional right -wing on behalf of Sarkozy had a seat of up to 313 seats in Parliament. In 2012, the parliamentary election was lost 194, leaving only 119 seats.At that time, the left -wing Socialist Party led by Oranda, the leader of the Dacheng Sarko, declined from 280 seats to poor 29 seats by the 2017 parliamentary election.As for the French President Macron who was forced to announce the election after this election, the current dilemma and the second round of voting in the 2017 election defeated Le Pen with a support rate of about 65.5%.It feels that it should not only be today.
Therefore, the result of polarization elections is like the unfortunate injury or even serious injury of athletes in competitive sports. It is part of sports, and "polarization" is also part of political operation and development.The rational thinking and attitude should be asked a few more "why" from the polarization results of the election?
Of course, the reason is definitely many aspects, domestic and international, personal and organization, and even some sudden and accidental factors.However, all these factors are the most common and most direct, and the most basic and most substantial that everyone can see is the change of public opinion, or the tilt of legitimacy balance.
The rise and fall of polarized political parties in the past, as well as the elections of this European Parliament.Faced with the profound changes in the internal and external environment of the European and foreign in the past five years, voters of various countries, especially younger generations represented by generations, have been in economic weak, rising prices, Russia -Uwine war, crown disease epidemic conditions, and immigrants, climate, energy, geographyIn the siege of issues such as politics and other issues, the normal response is to gradually breed the disappointment of traditional political parties.political party.The "gambling" mentality such as "old medicines does not use new medicines", in the past, present, and future, will not go far away.
In other words, no matter what political organizations or politicians, examine public opinion, grasp public opinion, and cannot just keep it on the mouth.In this reason, many polarized organizations have gained their minds.For example, at the end of last year, Macron was restricted by the Paris Climate Agreement. When the fuel price was adjusted to the "yellow vest" campaign, Le Pen played it, not only to further amend the radical route on the same sex rights, France Brexit and other issues.Introduce more topics into the economy and people's livelihood that French people are more concerned about, and strive to "go to demons".In contrast, the Green Party Alliance failed to continue the excellent record in this election. The seats were less than 20 seats, and the ratio of parliamentarians fell from 10%to 7%.Adaptation, especially the demands of farmers' dissatisfaction and requiring to change excessive environmental protection claims, are not related.
Can't look at the rebellious move with habitual thinking
In fact, in this world of contradictions and frequent chaos today, the changes in resolving contradictions and rational streamlined chaos have become the most basic expectations of ordinary voters and easy to understand public opinion.The party and leaders, for the signal issued by the election polarization, the thinking that cannot be used to it is just considered a certain accident, as a rebellious move by voters;You can ignore public opinion and constant changing amulets.Observe the changes in the times from the election results, understand the demands of voters, face the real problems, and think about the change of changes. It should be a basic political attitude.
Further to say that the European Right -wing parties can attract more attention, and it is directly related to their tendency to continuously tend to "delays" in recent years.In Europe, the extreme right -wing political parties who are eager to be on the higher level, or ease their radical policy claims, or decoup up with the extreme claims within the party, are no longer individual phenomena; they are closer to voters' demands and put forward a more specific economy to put forward a more specific economy.The people's livelihood claims that it has become a common method of trying to change the extreme image.Whether these methods are changed or only one strategy, of course, we must continue to observe.But the concept of observing and grasping public opinion from elections is at least good, and can also be used for reference for different political forces. Therefore, the polarization result of the election is also a kind of public opinion.Knowing this truth, you don't need too much wisdom, as long as you follow common sense.
The author is a professor at Shanxi Academy of Administration
