A recent post on the Wall Street Journal reported that: war changes the global situation, proposing that the war between Israel and Hamas may not only ignite the fire in the region, but also affect the world in a dramatic manner.The balance of power is similar to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
The Gaza War prompted some members of the Foreign Policy community in Washington to continue to continue the "New Cold War" narrative, integrate it into the national war between Israel and the Palestinian, as well as in a larger background in Israel and Iran.The conflict between the two regions and the agents of their areas.
U.S. Reboning the Middle East plans to be frustrated
Thinking backThe relationship is moving towards normalization. This process may bring a pro-Arabic-Israeli partnership, which aims to curb Iranian and its regional partners in Lebanese.
This diplomatic victory in the United States will severely crack down on Iran's interests, especially because the reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Israel will accompany the security agreement between Washington and Riyadh and will enable Saudi Arabia to implement the nuclear plan.
From the perspective of Hamas, the agreement reached by Saudi Arabia and Israel -very similar to the previous Abraham agreement -will be put on the Palestinian interests in terms of foreign policyThe Palestinian issue realizes Api peace.
After the Iraq and Afghanistan war, the state of "retreat" from the United States from the Middle East and left a strategic vacuum to the region was very arrogant.China has successfully mediate Saudi Arabia and Iran to reach an agreement to end the off -the -art war, which is regarded as a kind of effort to fill the vacuum left by the United States.
From the perspective of geopolitical strategy, the Israel-Saudi Arabia promoted by Washington could have re-established the United States' power in the Middle East at a relatively small price.In this way, the United States can continue to challenge the influence of Russia and China in Europe and Indo -Pacific regions.
In addition, the supporting Saudi-American security agreement with it will make the United States urging Saudi Arabia to help Saudi Arabia to help manage the global energy market and put downward pressure on the price of oil and natural gas due to the rise in Ukrainian war.
Hamas's successful attack on Israel not only harmed the interests of the United States, but also caused a heavy blow to the United States's plan to reshape the Middle East.
The regional structure is becoming more complicated
There are also important points to be considered: Saudi Arabia and other Arab Gulf countries have begun to accept the establishment of establishing with Jewish countriesOne reason is that Israel in their eyes is a military technology power that can compete with Iran.After Hamas launched the attack, Israel lost his deterrence and this view on Israel could also change.
In addition, the Israeli bombing of civilian casualties brought about to Gaza has continued to rise.Due to the pressure from "Arabia", Saudi Arabia and other Sunni Arab countries may re -consider the relationship with Israel and drive away from the United States.
All these trends are undoubtedly good news for Russia and China. They benefit from the loss of the United States. I hope that the Middle East War will force Washington to re -evaluate their strategic ambitions in the Pacific and the Atlantic.
At the same time, Russia has been strengthening relations with Iran.Iran offers drones and other weapons to help Russia fight the Ukrainian war, while China, which relies on PetroChina in Middle East, has been strengthening cooperation with Iran.Both countries invite Iran to join the "BRICS+" club to compete for the geopolitical hegemony of the United States.They should be happy to see Tehran and their partners win a game in conflict with Israel and their partners.
China and Russia also want to win the hearts of the so -called "global south" countries.The Gaza War happened to provide them with such an opportunity.They can expose the "hypocrisy" in the United States, claiming that Americans support the Israelis and Ukrainians who support the "white", but ignore the interests of the "brown" Third World People's Palestine.
Russia is actually closely related to Israel: Israel has a large number of Russian immigrants.Russia listened to the military goals of Israel attacking neighboring Syria.To a certain extent, this explains why Israel's pressure on the United States has not joined the Kiss Ukraine Alliance.
China maintains vibrant cooperation with Israel in the field of science and technology, just like on the Russian issue, the Israelites do not support the anti -China strategy of the United States.
In any case, Russia and China have undoubtedly benefited from the short -term troubles that Israel and the United States have encountered, and as long as they may continue to use these troubles.(Compilation/Zhao Feifei)
