Remember that about five years ago, when Hou Youyi first represented the Kuomintang for the first time, when Su Zhenchang, the Democratic Progressive Party was running for the mayor of New Taipei, Tang Xianglong, who was known as the godfather of the blue army, was named Hou as the strongest atypical candidate of the Kuomintang.people.The basis of Tang Xianglong's argument is that in the Kuomintang, like Hou Youyi grew up in the countryside, there is no origin of the province, and a non -social and political elite origin, and it is not a member of the party members of the army.Candidates; it can even be said that among the Kuomintang candidates who are directly under the jurisdiction, there are never people who have conditions like Hou Youyi.
Therefore, in the two consecutive New Taipei Mayor's election campaign, Hou Youyi played very easily, and almost could not say that he did not have the power to blow off.Fall in the flowers.Although there is a political environment here, on the one hand, the voter structure of New Taipei City is blue than green, and on the other hand, because the people are dissatisfied with the DPP governing the central government.
But more importantly, the atypical Kuomintang like Hou Youyi, in addition to getting the votes of the Blue Camp in New Taipei City, also has the ability to open up the middle and light green ticket sources during the election process.Essence
Interestingly, the conditions of the atypical Kuomintang are also the same reason for the Presidential election in 2024, but it will become a deep reason for the weakness of Hou Youyi polls.
Different from the election of the mayor directly under the jurisdiction. When the voters see the conditions of the presidential candidate, in addition to the talent pool provided by the administrative ability and the talent provided by the party, the charm and qualifications of the presidential candidate will also be an important comprehensive factors consideringAfter all, the selected president should represent Taiwan for several years!
How to transform the image of civil servants?
But in terms of personality charm, Hou Youyi's image is not very clear.According to the truth, he should be able to give people a capable and close to the grassroots image of a tough guy, just like the "South American Left President" settled by his campaign office director Jin Jicong.The problem is that since Hou Youyi has served as political appointment, he has always given people an image of civil servants who fulfill his duties. Even the political slogan of governance only requires municipal government officials to "do good things".In other words, under the geographical politics of fierce competition in the United States and China, a "civil servant" who has a vague policy direction, but can the "civil servants" who observe the laws and do things really lead Taiwan to move forward?This is probably why many voters have doubts about him so far.
The charm is not good, then rely on qualifications!However, in terms of academic qualifications, Hou Youyi is more disadvantaged than candidates on several other countertops.Because Lai Qingde or Ke Wenzhe graduated from the National Taiwan University Medical College, Lai Qingde also had a master's degree in public health from Harvard University.Hou Youyi's only match is about Guo Taiming. The problem is that Terry Guo has entered the White House and has a close interaction with former US President Trump.
In this way, if it is on the ability to deal with diplomacy, Hou Youyi's trust to voters will be the lowest.
In the more popular Taiwanese society, if you want to run for the presidential vocational school, Hou Youyi, who is not as good as others, must confirm his candidates for his own politicians as soon as possible to allow the elites in the Kuomintang to be an agent and formulate some high levels.Professional policy.
The disadvantage of education can be made up, but the atypical qualifications that support the masses with traditional Kuomintang support the masses are fatal.Without the origin of the military's military, the crowd of the deep blue people always doubt his national positioning, is it the Republic of China or the independence?Therefore, obviously, the supporting people around the South Korean Yu, which have been selected by the president four years ago, have never been dispelled. Even after South Korea ’s Yu appeal to call for unity, these ticket sources may still flow to Guo Taiming, who also want to choose the president.
not blue, no green, no intermediate
Hou Youyi is not a typical of the social and political elites. As a result, the high education in the blue camp and the so -called "knowledge blue" group of white -collar workers. Many people do not trust him.It is considered to be a blue -in -blue Ke Wenzhe.
Not to mention some intermediate votes that may choose Hou Youyi, it is also easy to be attracted by the political positioning of the people's party that surpasses blue and green, and concentrates to support Ke Wenzhe.This is also the reason why Ke Wenzhe's polls have long been higher than his party.
As for Hou's ability to open up the light green ticket source, after Lai Qingde, who was in the DPP, he was no longer so light.After all, different from local elections. At the level of presidential elections, the factors of national identity will become greater.Although Hou Youyi has the local grass -roots background of the son of the meat stalls in Chiayi, if it is compared to Lai Qingde, who is known as "Taiwan independence,", the voting intention of the light green sector is self -evident.
The weakness of the above -mentioned blue is not blue, green is not green, and the position is not enough to position the middle. Hou Youyi's polls have a rare downturn, even the Kuomintang's polls are higher than him.This is rare in the presidential presidential election, because it is usually the support of the presidential candidate with its own prestige to pull up the support of the party.
It is still half a year before the presidential election on January 14, 2024. Hou Youyi's campaign team must create an image of Hou Youyi, which supports the masses with the traditional Kuomintang as soon as possible, and consolidate internal support to change the current maximum is currently.The poll of the wild party candidate is located in the embarrassing situation of the third child.
But no matter how the final polls are lifted, Hou Youyi and the Kuomintang Party Central Committee, who are still frightened at the current election campaign, should start thinking carefully and how to cooperate after the wild camp.After all, as far as the political reality is concerned, the successful integration before election can Taiwan have the possibility of rotation of the party; in case of the loss, only cooperation in the wild camp can only have enough power to balance the ruling party.
To be honest, if the current situation in the wild continues, we can already congratulate the DPP's "President" successfully successively!
The author is a columnist in Malaysia and Taiwan
