Source: Zhongshi Electronic News
Author: Tang Shaocheng
The results of the presidential election of the President Paraguay, Taiwan, were released. Benia, a candidate for the "Red Party" of the ruling party of Youtai, temporarily lifted the alarm of Taiwan and Pakistan. The Tsai government was relieved.It is hoped that the friendship between the two countries will continue to deepen.However, even the Democratic Progressive Party felt that the future of Taibang was difficult to be optimistic, and it continued to advocate the dual recognition of impossible cross -strait diplomatic relations.
In this general election, whether to maintain diplomatic relations with Taiwan has become one of the focus of offense and defense of the country.The ruling party Youtai, after being elected by the presidential candidate of the opposition party, will break diplomatic relations with Taiwan and establish diplomatic relations with mainland China. Now the ruling party candidate is successfully re -elected as the president and promised to continue the diplomatic relations with Taiwan.As a result, the outside world believes that Taiwan ’s friendship is still difficult to be optimistic in the future.Therefore, Zheng Yunpeng, the director of the Democratic Progressive Party Legislative Yuan, advocated that if Paraguay recognizes the People's Republic of China, it can also recognize Taiwan and the Republic of China at the same time.This sounds like providing a solution for Paraguay's possible future steering, but this view can be described as seeking fish, which also shows the ignorance of the ruling party.
In fact, this is the so -called "double recognition".Before the unity, Germany and the current South Korea have similar situations, especially both Germany and two Korea have also entered the United Nations.But this is not just that both parties must reach an agreement, and the United Nations Five Chang must also support it.Nowadays, the officials and senior management on both sides of the strait have no contact, and the Taiwan Strait is even in danger. At this time, the ruling party proposed this concept, and even with extreme bruises and ridicule.The relief of the two sides of the strait.
But this dual recognition model is already a kind of determined by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.In late March, Taiwan and Honduras broke the diplomatic relations, and it was the ninth intercourse in Tsai Ing -wen.Earlier, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated that "welcomes Argentina to communicate with China and Taiwan at the same time." Is this equivalent to accepting "double recognition"?Foreign Minister Wu Zhaozheng did not explicitly deny it at the time, and said that various conditions were not ruled out in the future.But in this way, is it encouraged to encourage the establishment of diplomatic relations with the only 13 diplomatic relations with the other side?
Judging according to the current international situation, unless cross -strait agreements are reached, the so -called "double recognition" is possible.Yi Yan, the current main decision maker is Beijing.Even during the Ma Ying -jeou period, the mainland only used "a little security" to appease the Taiwan diplomatic relations with unexpected diplomatic transfer. As a result, only Gambia broke her diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 2013, but it was not until 2016 to resume diplomatic relations with the mainland.The unilateral behavior, cross -strait relations are basically stable, and the Malaysian government has maintained the state of diplomatic relations, but did not talk about dual recognition.In terms of international organizations, Beijing is restricted by invitation to prevent the consequences of the possible consequences of the rotation of political parties in the future, and has not seen dual representatives.
The United States does not support Taiwan independence, whether the policy of two China and China and one China is still loose, and it is still worth observing, but some people do support the formal recognition of Taiwan, including Polton, a former US national security consultant who is visiting Taiwan, but thisIt is just the weak and non -mainstream opinions in the United States, but this "double recognition" remark may still encourage the Tsai government and let the Cai government that was broken to the fear of the Cai government as a life -saving straw.Try to talk.
In fact, if the Cai government does not think about how to correct the wrong cross -strait policy, the dual recognition of diplomacy is just a whimsical unilateral idea.Today, the crisis that Paraguay may be broken in diplomatic relations today. In the future, there will be pressure that is continuously broken. The cure is not cured. No matter how hard diplomats work hard, it is futile.
The author is a professor of the National University of Political Science
