As we all know, North Korea has become a substantive nuclear country.For more than 30 years from 1992 to 2023, North Korea responded to the "abandoned negotiations" of the outside world through turns, and actually obtained the time to develop nuclear weapons.From October 9, 2006 to September 3, 2017, a total of six nuclear trials were conducted, and now the seventh is the seventh.In addition, North Korea has also tested a variety of short -range and intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM), Submarine ballistic missiles (SLBM), etc., which successfully achieved the high development of nuclear weapons and missiles.After successfully conducting the sixth hydrogen bomb nuclear test and the intercontinental missile test of the Mars-15 of Mars in 2017, North Korea announced the "complete national nuclear armed forces."
The Kim Jong -un system is more concentrated in the nuclear martial arts and missiles. In 2012, it clearly stipulated that North Korea was a "nuclear country" in the constitution.For U.S. President Trump's military measures and sanctions on North Korea, coupled with the pressure of sanctions from the international community, Kim Jong -un seemed to respond with a peaceful posture in the 2018 New Year's congratulatory words.Through three north -south summit talks held in 2018, the 4.27 Korean Peninsula Peace, Prosperous, and Unified Panmunte State Declaration September Pyongyang Joint Declaration and 9.19 North -South military agreement.At the Singapore summit, he issued a joint statement with the United States 6.12 in the United States, and held a DPRK -US summit in Hanoi, Vietnam in February 2019, but did not achieve any results.However, North Korea completely ignored the goodwill of South Korea and the efforts of the international community, so the cooling situation around the North Korean nuclear negotiation is being long -term.
North Korea eventually formulated the nuclear weapons method that can be used at will in 2022, showing the road that is actually the opposite of the announcement of abandonment of nuclear abandonment to domestic and foreign.It can be said that while North Korea has gradually increased the threshold for negotiation without nuclearization, in turn, it has reduced its own nuclear use threshold to deal with nuclear negotiations, especially for the United States.Standard policies, but the United States has not accepted it.
Because the United States does not feel the will of North Korea's "completely nuclearization", although North Korea claims that nuclear weapons are the "self -defense means" in dealing with the United States' hostile policy, they still have repeatedly threatened that they may attack South Korea.And announced that as a actual nuclear country, it will not accept any negotiation and persuasion from any country.It is also for this reason that the government of South Korean President Yin Xiyue believes that the high -speed and large -scale development of North Korea and missiles not only pose a serious threat to the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia region.
North Korea's move is very strategic. The basic intention of supporting nuclear support is to oppress South Korea and control the United States.North Korea is obsessed with the high development of nuclear weapons, and there are comprehensive consideration behind it, including the consolidation of the system of system and the consolidation of the hereditary regime, the strengthening of the leadership capabilities of Kim Jong -un, the unity of the people, the promotion of the US dialogue, and the dominance of the South Korea -North Korea relations.The problem is that in the past 30 years of nuclearization negotiations, the essence of nuclearization is no longer the focus, and even "marginalized"; non -nuclear discussions have disappeared, and North Korea wants to dominate the status of nuclear countries.
North Korea's proposal regardless of the "unconditional dialogue" of the Bayeng government, instead of conducting a dialogue on the grounds of not creating a dialogue atmosphere, he was keen to test more than 100 missiles and develop tactical nuclear weapons.The underwriting of self -defense methods has a national status, threatening South Korea, even the United States and the world.
From this point of view, in order to solve the problem of the North Korean nuclear, new contact and consensus are needed.Of course, North Korea's nuclear support is not the responsibility of a specific country, but in order to solve the new negotiation of the North Korean nuclear issue, the role of North Korea's largest guardian country in China is very important.
First of all, it is necessary for China to propose a substantial Nuclear solution.It is a very casual explanation that North Korea's inertia understanding of North Korea's inertial understanding of the hair nuclear weapons is a very casual understanding.You know, the North Korean nuclear not only leads to international unsafe, but also to put pressure on the world in order to use nuclear weapons to unify the South Korean Peninsula.Therefore, "North Korea with nuclear" is a clear and clear victim who hinders international peace.
Secondly, the North Korea claimed to stop nuclear guidance tests in exchange for the "double suspension" of South Korea and the United States to interrupt the joint military exercise.Declaration of peace and diplomacy solution will only deepen China's impression of helping the North Korean nuclear development and continue to send an error signal to North Korea.At present, as long as the intercontinental missile in North Korea changes the direction, it will include China in the range, which is obviously an international issue.
Third, at least so far, China has never exerted real pressure on it based on the traditional thinking of "North Korea as a strategic asset".In the process, it is not the same as waiting for the other party and waiting for peace to seek peace after the results.A North Korea without self -control is tantamount to continuously conveying China to North Korea's strategic reasons, and will never abandon its information.
Fourth, while China emphasizes "core interests", it emphasizes the strategic equilibrium between strong powers.Therefore, ignoring the security interests of South Korea directly troubled by the threat of North Korea and strengthening the cooperation between the South Korean and American alliances and the South Korean triangle of Korea and the United States, they are also regarded as a strategy of containing China.But for South Korea, the essence of these problems should be in North Korea to support the nuclear.
North Korea's nuclear issue has entered a dangerous "red zone".North Korea has announced unintentional abandonment of nuclear. In this case, China has always emphasized the self -control between North Korea and South Korea and the United States, which is tantamount to being very irresponsible and watching.North Korea's nuclear support will lead to the "nuclear Domino" phenomenon of neighboring countries, which will break the "strategic balance" emphasized by China.In addition, China is a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, a country with international responsibility to prevent nuclear diffusion, and Russia is no exception.It is necessary for China to know that the deterioration of the North Korean nuclear situation may become a problem that seriously hinders China's national interests.Of course, South Korea and America's changes in North Korea's policy are important, but if China can correctly treat the North Korean nuclear issue and change its understanding of North Korea, the cooperation between South Korea and China, which is close to the essence of the North Korea, is also possible.
The author is a professor at the University of Foreign Language and Foreign Language and President of the Northeast Asia Future Cooperation Forum