Source: Hong Kong Ming Pao Agency Review
Former US President Trump was sued by the Great Jury of Manhattan, New York, and became the first former president in the history of American history. As Trump has announced his election next year's election, the incident is even more noticeable.
The origin of this case is that Trump is suspected of paying a cover fee to an adult movie actress, which is suspected of being involved in the falsification business record.The crime person is the president. How will the case affect the next year's election? It is difficult to assert now. The only must be that Trump will play a "judicial persecution" card.
Looking at the world, the head of state was prosecuted or even jailed after steps to step down. It was heard when democratic and immature. This incident impacted the American society.However, Trump supporters believe that this is a political witch hunting. Regardless of the end of the case, American society is bound to deepen.
Trump will ask the White House's "cover fee" case like a double -edged sword
On the eve of the 2016 U.S. election, adult film actress, Stormy Daniels, intends to break the news to disclose that he has a sexual relationship with Trump.Trump was accused of providing her with a shell company with a shell company with a $ 130,000 cover fee in the name of an empty shell company to avoid affecting the election.Under U.S. laws, paying for coverage is not illegal, but the election law stipulates that candidates must apply for any amount paid in order to affect the election.However, when the Trump camp reimbursed the relevant expenses, the money was registered as a legal expenditure.The New York Grand Judgment of New York voted this week to prosecute Trump. Specific charges are yet to be announced. According to US media reports, the business records for falsifying the expenditure for reimbursement for reimbursement are reported.
On the eve of the mid -term elections in the mid -November last year, Trump previewed Ding's 2024 presidential election. Unexpectedly, the Republican election was defeated, Trump was frustrated, and the Governor of the Florida Governor De Santis rose up. However, polls in recent months have shown that, Trump's hope in the party was left away from De Santis. After Trump previewed prosecution last month, the leading leader further expanded.Trump emphasizes that he is completely innocent and describes the Democratic black prosecutor Prague, who is responsible for the case.Win the next election.It is worth noting that the Republican elements are also quite consistent, and they have condemned the prosecution out of political motivation.
Politics is too long a day, not to mention one and a half years from the US election next year. Now it is too early to talk about who can win the nomination of Republican candidates.The "judicial persecution" card is obviously effective in political effects.Since Trump stepped down, the dispute around him has never stopped. It is possible to make Trump face a felony prosecution by the chaos of the Parliament of Parliament, which is suspected of inciting the chaos of Congress Mountain in 2021.In comparison, the "cover fee" case may not be at the same level regardless of nature or may be charges.Based on the law, the case has a low chance of affecting Trump's election, and even if he is convicted, he may not be imprisoned.
The 14th Amendment of the United States Constitution is stated that anyone who participates in the rebellion may not be the elected public office. In addition, the Constitution does not prohibit those who are prosecuted or convicted as president.Forgery business records in New York are generally only light crimes. If the prosecution wants to prosecute Trump with a felony prosecution, it must prove that the purpose of the forgery of business records is to cover up another crime.In the past four years, the previous case showed that if the defendant had no criminal record before and the case did not involve violence, even if the "junior felony crime" was performed, it would not necessarily be judged.The Washington Post even believes that in a series of potential lawsuits facing Trump, the "cover fee" case is the weakest. Once the case shows insufficient evidence and the legal status is not strong, it may sit in the "political witch" of TrumpCharges.
Of course, this is not to say that the "cover fee" case must be harmless to Trump's election.Although the "judicial persecution" card helps Trump to launch a hardcore supporter, the case may also cause more gentle voters to believe that he is not suitable for the president.In addition, someone has never tried in the past to deal with two fronts of presidential elections and legal lawsuits, which will be a major test for Trump's election project.In any case, Trump once again asked the White House. The biggest obstacle was that he was strongly relying on populist conservative forces to win nominations for Republican candidates, but he could not strive for extensive support for national support to win the election.The latest polls show that De Santis is victorious, but Trump will lose to Biden, which reflects the problem.
Liberal President shows that the political consequences of justice are difficult to reverse
Looking at the world, the former president was charged with imprisonment after his office was done during his tenure. There were many cases. Some of them were corruption and fraud. The evidence was conclusive.It makes people feel a political strike and operating taste.The American society's views on Trump's "cover fees" are quite different.In the eyes of liberals, Trump has repeatedly abused power since politics, destroying democracy and contempting the rule of law. This time, the prosecution of the Wilderness and Wilderness is precisely to show the rule of law and justice.Another thing.A recent poll of the University of Suipiak in the United States showed that 60 % of the respondents believed that the motivation for Trump's investigation came from politics and law.Regardless of whether this is the case, but this impression is generally unhealthy.
In recent years, the politics of American society has become more and more serious. Many scholars have shouted that American democracy is facing crisis.Trump's "cover fees" case may cause tears to deteriorate into a new stage. Even if prosecutors and judicial organs do things, they will be suspected that American democracy will be further eaten.The Conservative Wall Street Journal stated yesterday that when a former president and the next presidential candidate are charged, some Republican prosecutors may also bury the Democratic Party politician for their fame.It is also concerned about the consequences of increasing the political differentiation of the United States.In the 246th year of the United States, the former president has never tried to be prosecuted by criminal prosecution. Trump was charged with a historic incident. The impact on US politics and society can be quite far -reaching.
