Leader Tsai Ing -wen's seventh time, also the 29th transit the United States in Taiwan since 1994, is in full swing.As we all know, the most important highlight of this transit is the meeting with the Federal House Speaker Kevin McCarthy when President Tsai returned. This will be the highest level of American politicians in Taiwan.
It is worth noting that the Wall Street Journal and Washington Post have been reported in the past two days. It has been talked about the Bayeng government's military action that the Bayeng administration may have caused Beijing to do a larger military exercise than the island in August last year.Feeling deeply, will the "Cai Maihui" variable?
The logic of Washington is very simple: if Beijing can visit Taiwan in August last year, Pelosi visited Taiwan as an excuse for launching large -scale military exercises, "Cai Maihui" may also be used as an excuse.
Although the United States has repeatedly emphasized that Beijing should not use this as an excuse, no need to make a masterpiece.But the hidden concerns are still there, because of how to react to the hands of Beijing.
And, this is no better than the previous line, there is a bridge between President Tsai and McCarthy.The Wall Street Journal disclosed that as soon as President Tsai arrived in New York, the United States was busy confirming that all schedule was performed in accordance with Taipei to reduce the media exposure as much as possible.
After visiting Taiwan last year, McCarthy, who was still in the wild, threatened to handle it after becoming a speaker.Derek Grossman, a senior defense affairs analyst at the Washington Think Tank "Rand Company", who came to Taiwan, pointed out that it is said that the Tsai government finally persuaded McCarthy to come to Taiwan first, but waited for Tsai Ing -wen to meet again when he visited the United States.It is to make Beijing compare the excuses for martial arts. The second is to help the DPP 2024 presidential election to manufacture Lidu.
It is rumored that before Plusi visited Taiwan last year, the Tsai government tried to dispel with the instructions of Biden's government, causing Peros to be unhappy.McCarthy said Beijing could not interfere where he was going; similarly, Biden could not interfere with the Speaker of the Congress, and could only persuade through Taipei.
Gu Xiongwei said that the politicians who have always considered their own interests in front of the allies are willing to accept the suggestion of the Tsai government, which is gratifying; the side effect is: to change the place where the meeting may make Beijing think that intimidation is effective; more, McCarthy may, McCarthy, McCariaThe possibility of visiting Taiwan has not been ruled out in the future.However, if you don't want to help the Democratic Progressive Party, it is best to wait until the presidential election vote.
Beijing also has its own calculations. Last year's military exercise changed the DPP from the "anti -Chinese -protecting Taiwan" that originally shouted to "Peace -Bao Tai", reflecting the precise judgment of changes in the hearts of the people in the island.Although the "Peace -Baozai" of the Democratic Progressive Party is almost zero, for the votes, no matter how empty words, it is to say, because there are already successful prelude.
