Source: Taiwan Industry and Commerce Times

Industrial and Commercial Society

Taiwan Tsai Ing -wen visited the United States on the 29th. Unexpectedly, before going out, Honduras was the first to cut off the official diplomatic relations with Taiwan for 82 years.Tsai Ing -wen passed the diplomatic meeting in New York and Los Angeles in the United States in early April. Whether it will be abroad will still be observed.Hong Duanjie couldn't help but question whether the political influence of the United States in Latin American countries couldn't go back?

From the Presidential Palace announced the "Democratic Partner's Compassion for Democratic Partners" from March 29 to April 7, only visit Guatemala and Belize.EssenceNow that things are contrary to their wishes, Hong Guo first announced that he broke his diplomatic relations."Tsai Ing -wen can meet the high -level party and government high -level party and government in the United States. Instead, it focuses on whether Taiwan will have another wave of" broken tide "this year.

This year is the 200th anniversary of Monroe Doctrine. This representative diplomatic thinking in the United States is that the core idea is that the US government regards Latin America as its own backyard.The United States emphasizes that it will not interfere with the colonies of European countries around the world, nor will they intervene in European affairs; at the same time, it also states to European countries that do not cross the Atlantic Ocean to the Americas and interfere with the affairs of the Americas. Otherwise, the United States will come forward and defend themselvesPolitical and economic rights in the Americas.

In today's 200 years, for Latin American countries with political turmoil and economic downturn, the control of consciousness can also make necessary compromises based on developing the country's economy and improving people's lives.Especially the pink waves of Plus Plumbs in Latin American countries have become the general trend in recent years; from the traditional ABC top three, Argentina (December 2019), Brazil (January 2023), Chile (March 2022), and then again, then againIn addition, the four left presidents including Mexico (December 2018) are in office.Based on domestic production hair (GDP), Brazil's 1.6 trillion dollars, Mexican 1.3 trillion, Argentina's 487.2 billion, and Chile's 30 billion US dollars in economic scale.Starting from infrastructure, industrial upgrading, and even embracing a new era of digital economy, and the "Belt and Road" strategic planning in mainland China provides a new choice different from the United States.

Inventory of the existing regional economic and trade system, the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), is a unique political and economic assets in Mexico.The so -called "Central America Union" founded in 1991. In addition to the Guatemala and Belize, which was visited by Tsai Ing -wen, there were Honduras, Salvador, Nicaragua, Dominica, Costa Rica, and Panama.In South America's largest regional trade agreement, the "Southern Common Market" includes Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Taiwan AIA Paraguay.

On the perspective of "difficulty in separation of political and economic separation and economics and trade", Taiwan will retain Guatemala, Belize, Paraguay and other AIA, which will face a great test.Especially in South America countries, there are currently no countries participating in the “Belt and Road”. Only the largest country Brazil, Colombia, which is “strong” with the US diplomatic relations with the United States, and the only AIA Paraguay in South America in South America.Although Brazilian President Lula was infected with pneumonia and could not go to Beijing to visit Beijing from March 26 to 30 as scheduled, it is undoubtedly the improvement of the economic and trade relations between Brazil and the mainland.The people's "poverty alleviation-transformation-transformation-transformation" has shifted.

In view of 2022, in Mainland China and Southeast Asian countries, it officially launched the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP). The regional economic and trade coexistence and prosperity has been on the right track.Therefore, for most countries in Latin America and Africa, what is needed is not a short -term one -time "subsidy / assistance / investment", but in the medium and long -term construction and development.Especially: traffic infrastructure: railway (high-speed railway) / highway (highway) / airport; water conservancy engineering-dam construction; telecommunications infrastructure / communication network / upgrade application; energy transformation-renewable energy;/ Digital platforms / electric-automatic-control-systems) to improve the efficiency of traditional agriculture and manufacturing; even the training of blue-collar workers, the development of technology white-collar workers, and mutual benefit exchanges between talents and talent cultivation.

For Latin America countries with large land size, population, and large economic scale, the development needs of different levels, different combinations, and different times are in the United States.For "market access" and other economic and trade investment, a more specific commitment is made.For Latin American countries, mainland China leads RCEP as a test of achievements. If the "Belt and Road" can be "talked about by national conditions and local conditions", it does not need to be integrated like Southeast Asian countries for decades to become a "tailor -made tailor -madeOrder the "development model of the" version.This is greatly attractive for AIA in Taiwan, and for the United States, it will be an unprecedented institutional challenge.