Perspective of current Affairs
The Moscow Summit in Russia and China recently is the most noticeable to have the impact on the Russian and Ukraine War.From Russian President Putin praised China's "neutral stance" for the war, it shows that Beijing has no intention of giving up economic and trade interests with Europe and the United States, and directly assist in Moscow in military reserve.Unless Russia and Ukraine have changed, the deadlock in the war is difficult to change in the visible future.
Perhaps it is a coincidence of history, and now it is the 20th anniversary of the Bush administration launched the Iraq war.The New York Times reviewed a review, which mentioned that Bush's "error" in a speech last year in a lecture was mentioned.And Brutal Invasion of Iraq "implies that this" error "is the consequence of Bush's subconscious recognition of the Iraq war.
This is in stark contrast to the momentum and self -confidence of Bush 20 years ago.At that time, not only the two old NATO alliances opposed France and Germany, but also to watch the Bush in the north of Canada, which belonging to the Anglo Saxon "Five Eye Alliance,", but Bush still insisted on launching the Iraqi war.A few years ago, a historian wrote on the Washington Post, claiming that this was the starting point of the end of the "Pax American" (also known as the "peace under the United States"), which represented the world hegemony of the United States.
But the "American governing the world", which reached its peak after the Cold War, was also the confidence of the Bush government unilateralist decision -making: the first Gulf War showed the extremely powerful power of the high -tech weapons of the Pentagon, and it was almost unprecedentedly re -elected.Under Greenspan, chairman of the Five -Year Period of the Federal Reserve, the developed US economy is a model of uniqueness.
In addition, as a "rebirth Christian", Bush Bush himself has a strong sense of historical mission. After successfully defeating the Saddam regime, he gave a speech and announced that it would promote the democratic process of the Middle East and other places.The center of the policy has caused the conservatives, especially the new conservative forces, and even regard the Iranian regime as the next military strike goal.
Fast to the moment, in addition to the major life casualties suffered by Iraq and the country retreat, this war is a historic mistake in the United States' heavy losses.Today, the United States condemned Russia to invade Ukraine, but lacks appealing to moral scars in the Third World.
The historic wrong decision of theThe Bush administration is based on the short -sightedness of the international and the United States' own situation.The Iraq war not only finally led to the "anti -terrorist war" that he launched, and the Taliban regime was re -ended with the Afghan Taliban regime. Green Pan was also accused of being one of the main crimes of the global financial crisis a few years later.The serious social division brought.
Do not forget the past, the teacher of the future.The decision -making of the Russian and Ukraine of the Russia and Ukraine one year ago obviously brought Putin to imitate the historical mission of Peter the Great, and the personal beliefs of "Russians and Ukraines are the same nation".Although the end of the war is still difficult to determine, the deadlock that is still unable to break after Russia's "some military mobilization" in Russia, obviously far beyond Putin's original "special military operation", exposing his short -term misjudgment of the international and domestic situation.
Internationally, French President Macron described "NATO is experiencing brain death" a few years ago and was once strongly rendered by all walks of life.Seeing, it has undoubtedly affected Putin's war decision.Unexpectedly, the Russian -U -U -U -U -Wars war contributed to the unprecedented unity and expansion of NATO, as well as the efficiency of the U.S. aid of the advanced weapons of the Ukraine.Before the war, the long -term dependence of Germany, especially Germany, had failed to stop these countries from turning their faces, and joined the sanctions against Russia and a large number of military aid Ukraine.
Another misjudgment of Putin is the actual situation of Russia's own armed forces. The image of "the world's second military power" has plummeted.The large number of criminals of Wagner's private mercenary group have caused the number of Russian prison prisoners to decline significantly, exposing the poor and inferiority of Russian military resources.
In short, both the Iraq war and the Russian and Ukraine War also reflect the short -sighted misjudgment of the war decision -making to internal and external situations, as well as the impermanence of the situation promoted by the war itself.History was so repeated in just 20 years, which made people relive the lesson of the Tang Dynasty writer Du Mu in the Afang Palace.Lessons, it also makes future generations regain the descendants. "
The author is engaged in scientific research in North America