Source: Ming Pao

Ming Pao Society Review

Taiwan ’s diplomatic relations in Central America, Honduras’ s foreign minister, went to Beijing to discuss the establishment of diplomatic relations in Beijing. As of yesterday, it has not yet released news.However, from China, it has stated that he would like to see the ambassador to Hong Jianjian and Taiwan, and Taiwan is likely to lose another diplomatic country.When Zhonghong, when the Cai Yingwen, Taiwan, was chosen to visit Hong's near -neighboring Dangangmara and Belize on Wednesday, it was only announced that the establishment of diplomatic relations was announced.As Taiwan Foreign Minister Wu Zhaozheng said, the time point is not a coincidence, but a carefully arranged.For Taiwan, there is one less state of diplomatic relations, which is not great in essence, but the symbolic significance is not small, and the amount of quantitative changes will eventually lead to qualitative changes.Moreover, Central America is the "backyard" of the United States. This is another frustration after Taiwan ’s diplomatic stability“ outsourcing ”in Taiwan’ s diplomatic relations.

Once the Taibang diplomatic country is cleared

President cannot transit the United States

Since Tsai Ing -wen came to power in 2016, Taiwan has lost 8 diplomatic relations. If Honduras has been established for more than 80 years, there are only 13 diplomatic relations, of which Asia has been "clear", reflecting the principle of adhering to the principle of China One China.It is the trend of the international general trend.According to public opinion, as long as the "substantial diplomacy" with the United States remains unchanged, the number of diplomatic relations has little impact on Taiwan.However, for the "Taiwan independence" forces, a "sovereign independent country", the number of diplomatic relations is only the same as the "Abuhaz Republic" that is separated from Georgia, which makes it "international status".Even from the perspective of diplomacy against the United States, Taiwan's visit to the United States mostly "transit" in the name of "visiting" in the name of Central and South America. Once the local diplomatic relations are "clear", even the "transit" American excuses are gone.

In recent years, with the upgrading of the game between China and the United States, the United States has also begun to directly involve cross -strait diplomatic warfare.In August 2018, Salvador, the American country, abandoned Taipei and transferred to Beijing to establish diplomatic relations with Beijing. Officials from the American Council publicly stated that "deeply disappointed", saying that they would review relations with Sa.The local ambassador to the United States also said that the move will affect the relationship between the United States and the Sausa government.In September 2019, after the Pacific Ocean's Taiwan diplomatic relations Solomon Islands and Kiribas were transferred to Beijing with Beijing, the US Congress Foreign Affairs Committee passed the "Taipei Act" to convey strong information to various countries: if it supports mainland China to adopt China to adopt ChinaIt will face the consequences of harming Taiwan's actions.At that time, some comments pointed out that Taiwan had maintained the work of diplomatic relations and "outsourcing" to the United States.

In fact, the United States did try its best to "hoop pots" for Taiwan Hong diplomatic relations.In September of the previous year, Xiomara Castro, the current President of Honduras, previewed during the election that he would "immediately open his diplomatic relations with mainland China" after he was elected.The first female president in the national calendar.In the inauguration ceremony in January last year, the US Vice President Harris attended and announced the launch of a strategic dialogue between the two countries; Taiwan sent Vice President Lai Qingde to congratulate, and promised to give 50 million US dollars for assistance within 4 years.If the senior delegation visits Hong, he promises to provide a few assistance.According to external analysis, these may be part of the reason why the Hong State government postponed diplomatic steering.

Maintain stability in the United States Contracting Taiwan State

The situation is stronger than people, but not unwilling to

However, the "hoop pot" of the United States still failed this time, which was both impossible and unwilling.The so -called "cannot" is related to the "pink wave" in Latin America in recent years. The local left -wing parties have come to power. These political awareness of political parties has strong awareness and advocates "Latin America integration" to maintain a distance from the United States.Castro's Liberty Reconstruction Party (Libre) is the same left as Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, and Nicaragua.After she came to power, she first resumed relations with the government of Venezuela, and no longer acknowledged the opposition "president".The Ninth America Summit held in Los Angeles last June, because the United States refused to invite Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua -Guoguo to attend, she and Mexico President and other Ge Ge Summit.Therefore, the pressure on the United States will be counterproductive for such left -wing governments.

It is said that "unwilling" means that the United States "hoop pot" for Taiwan is just out of private interest and will never sacrifice its own interests.Washington will not destroy the relationship between Taiwan's diplomatic relations and destroy their relationship with their backyard countries.Some comments in the United States pointed out that major Latin American countries have diplomatic relations with China. Most of them have obtained economic benefits in the past 20 years. Based on this international reality, they are looking forward to poor countries with diplomatic relations with Taiwan.It is not fair to them.Taiwan's two other diplomatic relations between China and South America Paraguay and Guatemala will also be elected in April and June. At that time, the number of Taiwan diplomatic relations may be reduced again. Therefore, Taiwan played a "diplomatic war destined to lose in Latin America"" ".Therefore, the United States is not serious about "pressure" in Honduras this time.After Castro claimed that it had instructed Foreign Ministers to deal with the establishment of diplomatic relations with China on the 14th, Christopher J. Dodd, a special consultant to American American affairs, when he visited Honduras a few days ago, he only expressed his respect for Castle.Luo's decision, "Many countries have made this decision before, and the world is changing every day."

Honduras last year's per capita GDP Per Capita was only 2831 US dollars, and three -quarters of the country lived poverty.This diplomacy is of course the biggest cause of the economy.In recent years, Hong Guo is neighboring Costa Rica, Panama, Salvador, and Nicaragua. Because of establishing diplomatic relations with China, it has obtained economic benefits and has a demonstration effect.The development of the economy is inseparable from infrastructure. China's infrastructure capabilities are alone worldwide. Chinese capital has built a hydropower station in Hong State. The country also intends to build a second and third stones, with the required funds of 2 billion US dollars.Hong Guo also plans to build a 400 -kilometer "transnational railway" between its Atlantic and Pacific ports, and this infrastructure ability cannot be provided by Taiwan and even the United States.