Source: Taiwan Zhongshi News Network
Author: Xu Mian Sheng
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Honduras announced a break with Taiwan on the 25th, and the Taiwan government expressed strong regrets and condemnation.The Taiwanese government spokesman Lin Yanshan said that Hong Guo's diplomatic relations are a series of signs of attacks in mainland China.Taiwan Foreign Minister Wu Zhaoyi announced at a press conference on the 26th that the Hong Kong Hong intercourse and emphasized that the Taiwan government has promoted various cooperation plans in Hongguo for many years.Sorry.
Hong Guo and Taiwan's intercourse showed that the DPP government misjudged the situation. On the one hand, he thought that as long as he provided assistance, he could maintain diplomatic relations. On the other hand, he was convinced that the United States could help Taiwan.Why did Hong Guo decide to break with Taiwan?Why didn't the United States play a role?Will there be a bone effect of broken diplomatic relations in the future?It is worth reviewing and thinking about the Cai government.
On the surface, Hong Guo and Taiwan's intercourse is a financial issue.Because Hong Guo requested a subsidy of US $ 2 billion in Taiwan, he did not receive a positive response, so President Castro instructed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to discuss the establishment of diplomatic relations with mainland China.
But in fact, it is just an excuse to fight for gold aid.The DPP government provides a $ 1.2 billion funding for Lithuania without diplomatic relations. The United States also provides huge aid for Ukraine. If Hong Guo is really because of financial distress, Taiwan and the United States will be able to allocate $ 2 billion in funding.However, after Hong Guo's statement, after the establishment of diplomatic relations with mainland China, President Biden of the United States sent a special envoy Tao De to Hong Guo to discourage it, and the result returned without success.Castro's consideration has surpassed the level of money.
Honduras refuses to discourage Taiwan and the United States, and the corresponding assistance plan should actually have a deeper consideration.The problems of Hong Guo over the years have been overwhelmed. The government has been burnt and urgently needs foreign aid assistance. However, the aid provided by Taiwan and the United States cannot fundamentally solve the problem of Hong Guo.Castro knows that the root cause of all the issues of Hong Guo is poverty, so when he was running for president, he shouted that "Honduras no longer poverty and no longer misery", determined to leave the country from poverty.After governing, the long -term development of the country is not a short -term assistance plan.Seeing that there are many people in mainland China, they can successfully get rid of poverty in 30 years, and naturally want to learn from the successful experience of the mainland.
Castro has threatened before the presidential election in November 2021 that if the winning candidate will establish diplomatic relations with mainland China.At that time, the United States immediately dispatched senior officials from the State Council and the General Administration of International Development to the Hong State to discourage them.As a result, Castro did not immediately fulfill the promise of the campaign after taking office. Therefore, the DPP government believed that the United States could help Taiwan to protect diplomatic relations and continue to adopt the approach of "leaning on the United States and Anti -China", but it has not seen that the international situation has changed.
The United States has always regarded the Latin American region as its backyard and strongly dominates the political development of the region.However, in recent years, Latin American countries have gradually increased their own awareness, especially the rise of the left forces, which has gradually drifted away from the United States.Coupled with the racial, cultural, historical factors and other factors, there is a psychological psychology. When they think that the establishment of diplomatic relations with mainland China is the most in line with national interests, they naturally abandon the beauty of the United States.Panama, Dominica, Salvador and Nicaragua are obvious examples.
Honduras and Taipan intercourse will inevitably cause bone card effects.In addition to the rise of mainland China, it is also an important factor in Taiwan's continuous sinking down.The economic miracles created in Taiwan in the early years have now disappeared, and the attractiveness of the state of diplomatic relations has naturally plummeted.
After Cai Yingwen came to power, "leaning on the United States and Anti -China", overthrowing Ma Ying -jeou's "diplomatic recreation" policy during the administration period.The bargaining chips, only 13 diplomatic relations are also at stake.In the context of the disparity between cross -strait competitiveness, coupled with the changes in the international situation, the Cai government must review the current foreign strategy and try to find a living path, instead of pushing all responsibilities to the mainland government.
(the author is the former ambassador to Taiwan in Taiwan)
