March 20, 2023

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The Russian and Ukraine War has been fighting for more than a year, and the Hague International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant on the Russian President Putin, which invaded Ukraine on the grounds of the war.The court issued an arrest warrant because Russia illegally transferred more than 10,000 Ukrainian children to Russia and violated the Roman Statue.Facing the charges of war, there is also the Russian Children's Rights Specialist Belova.On the same day of the arrest order, Beijing announced that Chinese President Xi Jinping visited Moscow on March 20.The coincidence of the time will inevitably cause people to associate and let Xi Jinping's trip to Russia face greater diplomatic and political pressure.

The Kremlin spokesman Peskov refuted the same day, describing the arrest order "outrageous and unacceptable."However, the United States and Western countries praised the court's approach, arguing that Putin had committed the crime of war and must be punished.Since the start of the war, Ukraine has accused the Russian army offending various war crimes. In addition to taking a large number of Ukrainian children in the occupation area, it has also released any soldiers to kill and rape Ukrainian civilians.

The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant on Putin, which means that the Western world is no longer ready to compromise with Moscow's suspension of war.From the beginning, the West was worried about the expansion of the war and Russia has continuously issued a nuclear threat to provide providing Ukrainian single -soldiers anti -tank weapons and battlefield intelligence and communications. Later, it was upgraded to a long -range precision artillery.The tank began to install the Ukraine forces, and even issued the intention of providing advanced fighters, all showing that the West decided not to let Putin's aggression.The arrest order to Putin is equivalent to pushing Moscow into the corner. Russia's political elite is not expected to solve it through a ceasefire negotiation on the issue of war. It can only be selected between Putin regime and national fate.

Although Russia, the United States, and China have not signed the Roman Statistory and do not recognize the authority of the International Criminal Court, the world's 123 parties to the world have legal obligations to arrest Putin in the country, allowing Russia to further fall into diplomatic isolation.The situation also indirectly allows the relationship between China and Russia to withstand certain moral pressure.

This is the first visit to Xi Jinping's historic break of the leadership system, and once again re -re -elected Chinese President, and it is a high -standard state visit, showing the closeness of China -Russia diplomatic relations.In conjunction with Beijing's previous 12 suggestions on China's position on political resolution of the Ukraine crisis, China seems to intend to publicize this trip as an important measure of Chinese diplomacy and solve the Russian and Ukraine War.The United States and Western society have always been dissatisfied with China and have not publicly opposed Russia's aggression, suspecting that China can just play the role of mediation people.Lithuanian President Sada described China's role on March 14th. It secretly or openly supported Russia. "It is difficult to believe that China can mediate between (Russia and Ukraine)."

At the same time, Western media reports have evidence that Chinese export killing weapons are brought to Russia; the Ukrainian military also claims that it has shot down the Chinese manufacturing drone used by the Russian army on the battlefield.These dense and coordinated actions reflect that the West will weaken Xi Jinping's foreign influence, while continuing to put pressure on China not to support Russia.The United States has repeatedly announced that if China violates the Western world's military ban on Russia, it will face serious consequences.When Xi Jinping meets Putin, it will be more and more difficult to maintain China's neutral attitude to this day.

With the preparation of the West for Ukraine's strategic counterattack, the ride of the Russian and Ukraine in the Udong battlefield is likely to be broken in the near future. In addition, the arrest warrant of the International Criminal Court shows that the West is no longer ready to reach any political compromise with Putin.The game of the United States and China has made Beijing more and more attach great importance to the relationship with Russia. Once Putin is out, the United States and West, which have no worries, will inevitably focus on diplomatic pressure on China.Therefore, Xi Jinping should avoid Putin's failure and prevent the balance of diplomatic balance in the US -China game in advance. When visiting Russia, he will face key choices.How China cope with this major diplomatic challenge will determine the direction of the Russia and Ukraine War and even the geopolitical pattern of the world in the future.