Source: Taiwan United Daily

Author: Zhang Jing

Recently, media reports have reported that Tsai Ing -wen, Taiwan, scheduled to visit Guatemala and Belissi from the end of March to early April. When he transit the United States, he will meet with McCarthy of the US House of Representatives.This is true, but it is emphasized that the meeting does not mean that it will exclude the visit to Taiwan in the future.

Based on the visit of Perlis, the former Speaker of the House of Representatives in the United States in early August last year, it subsequently triggered the tension of the Taiwan Strait. Therefore, it was reported that McCarthy might visit at the beginning of this year, and it immediately became the focus of the international community.When McCarthy himself subsequently met the media, he expressed that although he had the willingness to visit Taiwan, he did not start planning the schedule. Therefore, it was time for the parties to pay attention to the temporary discouragement.

Now that Tsai Ing -wen may meet with McCarthy when he transit the United States, it will naturally cause Taipei and Washington politics again; although the media reports McCarthy himself that the meeting will have nothing to do with whether it will visit Taiwan, and it is toughly reiterated that Mainland China cannot.Ordering where he can go, or even when it can go, but obviously, when McCarthy decides his trip, Beijing has become an unavoidable factor for the entire itinerary planning formula.

In the face of Tsai Ing -wen and McCarthy may meet, I obviously have to think about the faults and losses of the gains and losses of this political activity.First of all, from the media reports that McCarthy may visit Taiwan, and now the peak circuit has transformed into a meeting when Tsai Ing -wen visits the transit. Obviously, Beijing has played a considerable role in the entire political calculation.

Especially McCarthy also has a special attitude towards Beijing. It also confirms whether coordination can be transactions, meetings, and whether the visit can be done. Basically, the entire consideration must be surrounded by Beijing.In Beijing, Beijing also expressed his position unambiguously. Mao Ning, a spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the mainland, said through a routine press conference, saying that "China seriously cares about Cai Yingwen's plan to transit the United States."See, it is obviously not completely believed that the media recounted the content of the report, so a single knife went straight to the US government to make a statement.

Secondly, it is necessary to mention the senior officials of the Green Camp Guoan to handle foreign affairs. It is often based on how to do it to provoke Beijing's emotions and let it rebound in anger to consolidate the foundation of Taiwan's internal public opinion, especially in various elections to stimulate Beijing to stimulate BeijingPick up the emotional process and carry out political mobilization tickets to operate the political box office.

If the Green Camp high -level still thinks so much, I must question. Since the visit of Perosi last year, mainland China sent PLA aircraft and ships to the island of Taiwan, which allowed the Green Camp to make the Green Camp at the end of last year.The public vice election has won. If it is intended to use the anti -China -China Taiwanese card to perform political operations. For the election of the green camp candidates for the election of the central public officials next year, can it be able to create a political niche to help get the votes?It is just a record of President Tsai's personal political performance, adding a record before step -down?

Looking back, how many political prestige can be obtained for McCarthy himself?Especially from the original intention of visiting Taiwan, the transition to retreat is the second, to receive Tsai Ing -wen in the United States. Compared with Pelosi's actual visit to Taiwan, wouldn't the overall momentum and specifications lose?Although the media alleged that McCarthy was not loosened and emphasized that the meeting had nothing to do with the visit to Taiwan, but this statement was three hundred and two hundreds of silver here, or they must insist on opening their eyes to say vernacular, so as not to be pierced through western mirrors?

In the end, I still have to sigh that when all media theory of political theory explores and analyzes this itinerary, I think of its political effects and how Beijing responds, but there is no political observers and strategic analysts.What is the addition of Taipei and Washington's substantial relationship?Is it true that this can be remembered in terms of affairs, but for pragmatic diplomacy, am I might be going to take back a big duck egg?

Faced with the difficult diplomatic environment, politicians can not only consider the present, but also consider whether they can find niche and outbound for the future.Although the frying short -term can obtain a short exposure and create a momentum, it is helpful for the long -term future of the country.The relationship between Taipei and Washington is not easy to operate, and it has made breakthroughs on the surface, but it may be obtained from accumulating capital for many years; whether political leaders want to be exhausted, this is not only political wisdom, but also political morality!

The author is a senior researcher at the Taiwan Chinese Strategy Society