Source: United News Network

Author: Yang Yongming

Recently, from the balloon incident, President Biden's national information, to the US Department of Commerce announced the total amount of Sino -US trade last year, we saw a phenomenon: the Chinese and American New Cold War government's confrontation has been unveiled, but private economic and trade dependence has continued to deepen.

Bynden ordered a shot to the balloon, which seemed to protect the sovereignty of the United States.

On February 9th, the US House of Representatives consistently condemned the Chinese balloon infringement of the US sovereign proposal with 419: 0, and asked the White House to provide more information on the incident.Then, the United States reported the balloon incident to the allies that it was not a single incident, but a large -scale reconnaissance plan of the PLA.

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This balloon incident was close to repeating the U-2 reconnaissance aircraft in May 1960 by the Soviet Union. At that time, the US Space General Administration said that it was a meteorological aircraft, and the Soviet Union then displayed the U-2 aircraft wreckage.One year later, the third Berlin crisis broke out in the United States and the Soviet Union, and the Berlin Wall was also built into a symbol of the Cold War.

After all, the balloon flew over the American screen, and was clearly seen by the media through the media. It shows that the balloon incident has become an important milestone in the New Cold War between China and the United States.Said China's threat and show a tough position.The balloon crisis burned anti -Chinese politics, and officially unveiled the prelude to the new cold war in the United States and China!

However, on the same day of Paiden's publishing of the State Consultation, the US Department of Commerce released last year's trade data.Among them, the trade amount of goods in the United States and China reached US $ 690.6 billion, a record high after three years; the United States increased by 8%to US $ 382.9 billion to the United States, second only to the US $ 419.4 billion of the record deficit in 2018.In other words, the trade war has been in a circle, and China and the United States have returned to the pre -sanctions relationship, and even the total trade volume reached a new high.

In fact, last year in mainland China, there was still a rigorous clearance policy, and the US government deliberately put pressure on the sources of decentralized supply chain to other Asian countries. In addition, the US imports from China from ChinaWith an average of 20%punitive high tariffs, it can enter the US market. It can be seen that the demand and competitiveness of Chinese goods in the United States can be seen.

However, the United States imported products from China last year slightly lower than the US $ 553 billion imported from the European Union, making China no longer the largest trading partner in the United States.Influenced by scientific and technological warfare, the trade amount of scientific and technological products and electronic processing trade products in mainland China has been significantly reduced.

This year, there are more new challenges. Last year, the United States will be implemented this year through the "chip and science law" and the "inflation reduction method".This scientific and technological protective bill accused of "small courtyard high walls" shows that the US government will significantly subsidize domestic semiconductor and key industries, while expanding export control and trade sanctions on Chinese scientific and technological products.

The world economy generally slows down this year, and the economy of mainland China and Southeast Asia has been given expectations. Zhang Zhongmou believes that globalization and free trade are on the verge of death.The barriers to challenge; however, on the other hand, the world economic pattern is facing reorganization, the expansion of the BRICS organizations, the expansion of the SCO, and even the may appear in South America. These global southern cooperation is closely related to the Chinese economy.It is impossible to decompose, and the economic and trade dependence relationship between China and the United States will continue to deepen.

Therefore, although the balloon is shot down and falls, the relationship between China and the United States cannot continue to fall straight. Otherwise, if China -US conflicts expand, the economic level will deteriorate the global economy, and the US people's livelihood economy will also face impact. As for the strategic security level,If the Russian and Ukraine War expanded after the beginning of the spring, it would be difficult for the United States to take into account the security changes of the Taiwan Strait.

In the balloon incident, Biden emphasized several times that the United States "will compete with China, but not seeking conflict with China." He also said that hitting the balloon will not change US -China relations, and that Brinscin will be at the right time.We will wait and see to re -arrange the previous delayed visit.

The author is a lecture professor at the Academy of Social Sciences of the Cultural University and Deputy Secretary -General before the National Security Association