Society: The impact of McCarthys visit to Taiwan, the challenge of the new Guoan

Source: Taiwan United Daily News

The cabinet reorganization, the Guoan team also adjusted simultaneously.The first challenge for the new Guoan team was the impact of the US House of Representatives McCarthy.According to media reports, the US Department of Defense is planning for McCarthy's visit this spring, including possible Taiwan trip. The parties have been expected to have been expected to happen now.

Look at the political calculation of McCarthy first.McCarthy was elected as the Speaker. It can be said to be hard -working. He planned to operate his own forces in all. The anti -Chinese mainland is his best bargaining chip. Not only did he quickly set up a special committee of mainland China Affairs in the House of Representatives, but he also visited Taiwan.They are all raising the incident, creating crisis, and winning support.He didn't care about visiting Taiwan's cross -strait, and even what harm to the Bayeng government. What he wanted was his own magnesium light and influence.

Although the Bayeng government was unwilling to see the turbulence of the Taiwan Strait's situation due to the visit to Taiwan, it was helpless.Before the predecessor of Biden, Pelosi did not throw the White House, let alone the new speaker of different parties?In fact, the White House spokesman has stated that it will not be obstructed.

As for mainland China, the Mainland Military Military launched a military exercise after visiting Taiwan last August and pushed the situation of the Taiwan Strait to a new dangerous edge. It is called the fourth Taiwan Strait crisis.This time McCarthy's visit to Taiwan, Hong Kong media quoted the analysis of mainland military experts that the mainland military would adopt a "more comprehensive and shocking way of action" and "pushing anti -Taiwan independence military operations to a new height."

However, this time the speaker's visit to Taiwan is different from the last time, and the impact on the Taiwan Strait will also be different.

For the Bayeon government in the United States, McCarthy is the speaker of the host party's parliament. With the upper limit of the House of Representatives Ge Ge's debt, the special committee of the investigation of Biden will be established.Pelosi was very different when visiting.Although due to respect for the legislature, Biden will instruct the military to prepare for pre -preparations, but it does not think that this is a strategy to force the Biden government to enter a positive conflict with Beijing.

For Taiwan, the Tsai government is now a bit dilemma. If McCarthy is warmly welcome, it may offend the Bayeng government, but if not welcome, it will offend the Republican Party of the House of Representatives.

Before Perlis visited Taiwan last year, according to media reports, Xiao Meiqin, the representative of the United States, hinted at the White House and instructed to the President's Office.I had to agree.And since the Speaker of the House only came last August, is it necessary to be so densely visited now?Compared to the price paid last year, is it lost after the evaluation?

For the mainland, I had a strong response to Pelosi to visit Taiwan before. It is because she and Biden are both Democratic Party.Face.Now the Republican Speaker wants to visit Taiwan. Beijing can be understood that this is to make the White House ugly. Although it is unacceptable, whether there must be a stronger response, including mainland scholars also have different views.

U.S. Secretary of State Brills will visit Beijing on February 5th and 6th. This is what Washington and Beijing are looking forward to. I hope that through this visit, the consensus of the Bali worship will be implemented in November last year. ChinaBoth mainland and the United States do not want to have extraordinary branches at the moment, nor do they want the Republican Party Speaker to plan Taiwan's trip to damage the atmosphere.

Haynes, the director of the National Intelligence, said recently that Beijing is still willing to use peaceful means instead of seizing Taiwan.The question is, how to ensure that Beijing does not change priority?It seems that this is not a priority consideration for McCarthy's visit to Taiwan.The newly established China Mainland Affairs Special Committee even intends to come to Taiwan to hold a hearing in March to assist in defense Taiwan, but does not respect Taiwan's sovereignty and add variables to the stability of the Taiwan Strait.

At this international sensitive moment, the Tsai government must notice that the situation is different.In fact, the last visit to the Speaker did not bring diplomatic dividends for Taiwan, but instead allowed the risk of alert war war in Taiwan.One of the national security challenges to be dealt with, don't care about it.