Source: Taiwan United Daily
Author: Yang Taishun
President's power is holding, and the interest chase of the interests of the chase, which makes the president a trend of the world.However, the president of the candidate has a fixed term. When the term of office is about to expire and cannot be re -elected, the dependent ones will inevitably start to turn on the possible successor.Although the president was still in office at this time, it was often embarrassed that power was not as good as the past.Western scholars call this a "duck effect", and it is difficult to take advantage of the dilemma.
The limited term of the government's head is an important design of the democratic system. The effect of the ducks produced is the natural response of human nature.For more than two hundred years in the United States, there are few exceptions. Taiwan has only gone through four candidates, and media people have also observed that this effect is vivid. Of course, Cai Yingwen, the current leader of the leader, can't escape this curse.
Faced with the fate of duck, those who have always had two possible choices: one is to follow the trend, and the other is to consolidate the power of power.In the former, although the president with little elaboration can no longer turn over the clouds, but because of no continuous pressure, it can use the remaining term to promote the policy that dare not touch in the past.For example, in the second term, Obama resumed diplomatic relations with Cuba. It was not afraid of the rebound of conservative voters.However, the power of the losing duck, of course, also caused the policy to promote more resistance. For example, the gun control bill proposed by Obama was tragic.But in any case, dare to show the courage to carry out policy reform should be able to win historical positioning.
Alternative ducks are attempts to use the power that is still in control, committed to consolidating their political influence, and even calculating personal interests after retirement.Because of this kind of natural tendency to challenge humanity, President Music Duck must exchange loyalty to the attachment with greater interests, and even sacrifice national interests and democracy.Why is this, the prestige of the second term is often inferior to the first term, and greed rumors are even more arrogant.
Leader Tsai Ing -wen has only been in the term of less than two years.On this occasion, the Executive Yuan made a general resignation due to the defeat of the nine -in -one defeat. Because of the direction of the personnel decision policy, we have the opportunity to observe whether President Tsai belongs to the first category of the ideal ducks, or the second category or the second category., Leaders who are only in order to consolidate personal rights?
It is said that the process of observing the reorganization of the cabinet seems to repeatedly verify that the president's focus on governance is consolidated by consolidating the power.For example, before consulting Chen Jianren's pavilion, the president and Su Zhenchang who resigned and resigned to the Pioneers of the Cabinet to agreed with the personnel of the cabinet.The idea.The president has so relocated to President Su, and he does not want the politicians that he has been operating for many years. Do not stand on his opposite side in the next two years.But do you do n’t know that the constitution stipulates that the personnel of the cabinet are determined by the new cabinet, so that the new dean is the commander of the new dean, how can the new dean feel like?
In addition, the new trend of the Democratic Progressive Party's largest faction and the main parliament of the subordinate faction, separated from the Xintang, is obviously the result of faction compromise.Since the personnel arrangement of the factional compromise, the policy direction or defeat review has become a form.For example, plagiarism is the main reason for the DPP's defeat, but Chen Jianren involved plagiarism. Zheng Wencan was even canceled because of this, but it did not prevent them from being separated from the cabinet.In addition, the national security threats, energy shortages, agricultural marketing, and climate change are all major challenges faced by Taiwan in the next two years, but it is difficult to show the government's determination to face problems.
Lai Qingde on behalf of the Democratic Progressive Party to run for 2024 presidential positions, it seems that it is a foregone conclusion, but the successful case of successor has undoubtedly threatened President Yuya.The cabinet's total resignation and reorganization process may be deserted, and perhaps the new Sun made the newcomer mess with the newcomer.
Professor of the Institute of Political Research of Culture University
