Source: Hong Kong 01
Author: Ye Dehao
In the past, European and American media expected that German President Olaf Scholz and US President Joe Biden announced on January 25 that the main battle tank (MBT) that will export their respective main battle to Ukraine will be further reversed "The original position of the weapon's loser is based on defense. "The decision to make a decision for a long time emphasized that its supply of German "Leopard 2" (Leopard 2) was not a separate action in Germany, but the result of "close cooperation" with the allies.(M1 Abrams) decision.
Because "Leopard 2" serves as many NATO countries, with a total of more than 2,300. In addition to providing 14 more advanced "Leopard 2A6" in Germany, other countries will also allow other countries to export their "Leopard 2" to export to export to export to exports to exitUkraine.At present, Poland, Norway, and Portugal are expected to provide 14, 8, and 4 different models of "Leopard 2". Finland and Spain have already indicated that the confession should be provided, and the Netherlands will output it from Germany.18 "Leopard 2".
Overall, according to German officials, Germany's goal is to form the "Leopard 2" tank with two battalions as soon as possible with allies, which is equivalent to more than 80, and the related training of Ukrainian soldiers will soon begin.The new Defense Minister BORIS Pistorius said its goal was to deliver tanks to Ukraine within three to four months.
Compared with "Leopard 2", the 31 M1 in the United States is likely to stay on the paper within this year and fail to send it to the battlefield.Even though Biden denied it, the decision of M1 to lose Ukrai now seems to be just a political calculation that allows Tsugs to agree to the "with the brigade" output main battle tank.
The American M1 "Drunk Man is not wine"?
In fact, a week before Biden announced this decision, when European countries pressured Germany to export "Leopard 2", the US Department of Defense has always publicly denied the approach of "M1 losing black".COLIN KAHL, the Secretary of Defense, was cherished at the time that "we should not supply the systems that they cannot repair, cannot be maintained, and cannot afford to buy in the long run."
M1 uses a spray engine. It is estimated that in the Ukrainian battlefield, its fuel consumption is nearly 50 % higher than the "Leopard 2".Unlike the diesel engine of "Leopard 2", the M1 engine needs to use aviation kerosene. Therefore, "M1 loses black" may increase the complexity of the Ukraine supply and make "help" into "help".Moreover, the spray engine is more difficult to repair. Even the supporters of "M1 losing black" can only be said that Poland next to Ukraine will buy M1. ThereforeM1's ability.
To send the M1 to the Ukrainian battlefield, the United States must provide additional equipment similar to the M88 armored relief vehicle like the supply commitment at this moment, in orderLarge off -road oil vehicles used outside the cement pavement will support the new fuel supply demand on the battlefield.
It is different from the "Leopard 2" that is not only sufficiently applied, maintenance capabilities and related parts on the European continent. The main countries currently using M1 are Egypt and Saudi Arabia., Morocco, Iraq, Australia, etc., are not European countries.It becomes particularly difficult to establish a reliable supply line for M1 in Europe.
The route of weapons from European and American countries has always been a substantial problem for helping Ukraine. It may become the target of Russia's attack in the process. If it is transported by non -Ukrainian personnel, it is more likely to cause NATO national personnel to die and complicate the nature of war.Unlike the Javalin anti -tank missiles, such as the Javalin, the heavy armor such as the tank can only be transported by the railway or ship.If these weapons are not above the European continent, the logistics behind it will be more cumbersome.
And, according to military analysis, M1's armor uses the composition of "Depleted Uranium", which is regarded as the United States' defense secrets and cannot be exported arbitrarily.According to the rules of this "special armor", when the inner layer of the armor is revealed due to the attack, etc., the person who has been reviewed will immediately cover it and start the maintenance operation, or transfer the armor to the maintenance facility.In fact, M1 exported to other countries so far has not used this special armor.In other words, if the US M1 is to supply Ukraine, there may be no "spot", and new or old modifications must be produced.
After seeing the obstacles of "m1 losing black", everyone in the eyes knew that Bayeng disregarded the opposition of the Ministry of National Defense and proposed to supply 31 M1 tanks in Ukraine.There is a reason to export "Leopard 2" to Ukraine.The biggest practical impact of "M1" is actually "Leopard 2" that will appear on the Ukrainian battlefield.
NATO decides "fast battle and speed"?
"Leopard 2" is slightly better than M1 in terms of speed and cannon. Its armor may be weak, but it is still better than Ukraine and even Russia's Soviet tank design.There is an explosion -proof door, which reduces the risk of devastating explosions caused by the opponent's attack from the top.At the same time, the stability of artillery stability of NATO standard tanks such as "Leopard 2" is also higher than that of Soviet tanks, which will help increase the criteria for turning on the artillery while walking.
Although the first batch of "Leopard 2" at this moment and not on the 300 main war tanks proposed by Ukraine earlier, Europe is not short of "Leopard 2".Some analysts also pointed out that German military enterprises can actually reach the output of one -day Leopard 2.In the future, it is not difficult to improve supply.At the same time, according to the evaluation of the British Institute of Strategy (IISS), if Ukraine has 100 "Leopard 2", it is enough to have an impact on the battlefield.
Of course, how much help for the "Leopard 2" is to the Urpical Army depends on its ability to combat combat in the future.The U.S. military has provided targeted training to U -military personnel at the moment its German base.
Although the "M1 tank" losing black is only a method of covering the eye, NATO has made a "main battle tank losing black" as a whole, in fact, it has shown that it has helped Ukraine.determination.
"F-16 loses black" sounds
In addition to the main battle tank, Ukraine has always asked the West to provide a fourth-generation fighter like F-16.After the decision to output the main battle tanks in Germany and the United States, Ukraine President Volodymyr ZELENSKY and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba, respectively, and NATO Secretary -General Jens StolTenberg) And Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau said to power, mentioning the problem of losing the fighter.
Recently, the discussion of "F-16 loses black" has indeed begun to see the newspapers one after another, and it has the momentum of "tank losers" from the previous month or two.The Dutch Foreign Minister Wopke Hoekstra first pointed out last week that he had a "open attitude" to the supply of F-16. Later, Prime Minister Mark Rutte clarified that there was no plan.(At present, the Netherlands is replacing its F-16 team with F-35.)
By this week, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Air Force also told the Ukrainian media that some Ukrainian pilots have come to the United States.good.He estimates that the training process may take six months.However, the U.S. Department of Defense and the US Air Force stated that there were no relevant news announcement, and it was unknown that there were any Ukraine.The pilot is training in the United States.
On January 25, a British media quoted the F-16 manufacturer Lockheed Martin chief operating commander, saying that the company would increase production.
Although the German Chancellor Chortz announced on the 25th that "Leopard 2 lost black" on the 25th, it was clear that Germany would not output fighters against Ukraine, but Germany was not a country using F-16.
Is the next step of "F-16 Losing Black" in Europe and the United States?
From the perspective of the Russian and Ukraine's trail of the Russian and Ukraine that has been fighting for nearly a year, there are too many examples of various weapons in Europe and the United States from "saying no" to "saying" -after all, the NATO main battle tank loses Ukraine half a year agoEvery night.Although the United States had rejected Poland to transport the MiG-29 (MIG-29) Soviet fighter aircraft at the beginning of the war, and then the US's official position may have changed today.
Similarly, as the complexity of the European and American wharf weapons increases, new supply of equipment such as "PatrioT) air defense missile systems also requires long -term training to come in handy.Preparing "F-16 Loster" early, it can indeed allow European and American countries to be able to affect the Russian and Ukraine War more quickly and more flexibly in the future.
In the end, whether European and American countries will step on the former red line, and it is unknown at this moment like the main battle tank losses.But it is certain that "F-16 loses black" is no longer outside the scope of people's imagination.
