Jin Jianguo: Putins defeat should be the first major event in the world this yea

Jin Jianguo

Putin's launch of the war of invasion is about to enter the second year. Russia, which defeated Putin, is the preferred event in Western countries in 2023. Putin must fail!Putin must fail to be the hope of international order in the 21st century and the national will of Western countries headed by the United States.Conversely, Putin's victory is the dark moment of all mankind. A Putin, who holds nuclear weapons, can play hooligans wantonly, destroy civilization and slaughter the people.Further stimulate the motivation to develop nuclear weapons in the Iranian regime.

Eurasia Group listed "Rogue Russia" as the first political risk in 2023, and Russia represents the world's highest level of geopolitical crisis.In 2023, Pujing's failed to go completely, which is the top priority to get rid of risks worldwide.

First of all, Putin must fail because Europe will no longer accept war.Today's Europe will never allow war in Europe, and the history of Europe for thousands of years is almost a history of war.3000 years ago, the Aegean Civilization was died because of the Troy War. The Greek city -states were prosperous 2500 years ago by the Stimulation of the Hippo War.Alexander destroyed the world's first empire, the Persian Empire.In 290 years, Rome completed the unification of the peninsula after the Bugan War and the Macedonian War.The Roman Holy See launched the nine Eastern Expeditions of the Crusaders for 200 years.

Europe has experienced British -French Centennial War, Thirty -Year War, the Seven -Year War, Napoleonic War, and Two World War.The suffering of the war has learned lessons from the end of World War II, followed the road of peace, developed the economy, and continuously improved the people's wealth.In 2014, the editor -in -chief of Germany, Coutarschev, believes that German society has learned three lessons from history.

The first is that Germany is willing to become a European Germany and is willing to become a democratic partner.It began to look for partners and the United States on the other side of the Atlantic in Europe.The second lesson is to say no to war, and no longer turns earth into hell.He said: "Today's Germany is an economic giant, and it is also increasingly active on the world's political stage. This role makes its people confused ... Keeping a low -key style. This is the third lesson given by World War II:Talking about it, and even self -righteous, it has been abandoned by the Germans. "

This country that has launched two world wars has not accepted the war, and Putin has imposed the war to Europe again, destroying the European security structure. This is why European countries such as Germany and France are determined to defeat Russia. It is also a small country around Ukraine.Try to support Ukraine's powerful motivation to defeat Russia.NATO Secretary -General Stoltenberg said, "We can't let Putin win" are being implemented in the aid of Ukraine in Western countries.The Leaders of the Gutio of the 20th Group confirmed at the Bali Island Summit that today's era must not be the era of war.

Secondly, Putin must fail because he destroyed the international order established after World War II, and it will inevitably be "group beaten" by Western countries led by the United States.The international order established after World War II was the most fair and effective in human history.It has created the most amazing achievements in history, and humans have made great progress in all fields.All countries that have joined this international order worldwide have become beneficiaries to varying degrees.

Western military aid accelerate Putin's defeat

Putin's launching the Russian and Ukraine War is to destroy the international order based on rules.The international order after World War II did not allow the war of aggression against a sovereign state.According to the writer Durant's lesson in history, in the history of human history that has been recorded in the past 3421, calm and quiet are only 268 years.In this sense, the history of human beings is a history of war.The positive significance of the international order after World War II was to deny the laws of the jungle for thousands of years.It is the reason for Putin to mobilize the war as anti -human and anti -civilization, that is, he pursues the laws of the jungle to deprive the existence of a country.

Western countries headed by the United States will never accept a large nuclear country to openly destroy international order. More than 40 countries in the world assist Ukraine. Based on per capita, Estonia is the largest assistant in Ukraine.At present, Western countries' military assistance to Ukraine has shifted to light tanks and heavy tanks, which shows that Western countries hope to accelerate Putin's defeat.Russia's defeat was unexpected than Western countries, and Western countries have not taken Putin's threats of nuclear weapons.They supported Ukraine and determined the inevitable fate of Putin's defeat.

The Russian and Ukraine War not only made the world see that the US military equipment was far better than the Russian equipment, but also the level of informationization of the Russian and Ukraine war determined the battlefield victory.The essence of this victory is the dictatorship of democracy.Putin's defeat provides cases for democracy and autocracy.The victory and defeat of the Russian and Ukraine War is related to the reputation of European security and global democracy. The foundation of this reputation is the power of democracy.The power of democracy lies in the power of institutional and culture, and the power of the people inspired by the system and culture.

On December 18, 2022, the New York Times published a long report to introduce a detailed introduction to a war that is called "walking in the park" (compilation: means that it is easy and easy to do), how it evolves into Russia's disaster.The report revealed a series of shocking mistakes. These mistakes came from the extreme isolation of Putin, obsessed with their legacy, and believed in their talents.

Putin's falling into the self -expansion and anti -Western fanaticism, which led him to make a major decision to invade Ukraine in almost completely isolated, and even some of the closest consultants did not know the invasion plan.A person's decision can determine the fate of a country. This is the advantage of the authoritarian authority that the dictator appreciates, and this "advantage" is exactly no democratic country.

Finally, Putin must fail to be determined by the national will of Ukraine.The world of Ukrainian people bravely resisted the invaders.Why?One of the reasons for Putin's war is to deny the existence of the Ukrainian nation, and it is precisely the sense of national identity in Ukraine and becoming a powerful driving force for Russia's invasion.Putin's interpretation of history is equivalent to wiking the right to survive in the Ukrainian nation. Ukraine's strong sense of national identity has been greatly stimulated and transformed into the national will.

In 2018, a study of Rand Corporation pointed out: "There is no doubt that the will of fighting is the most important factor in war." U.S. military equipment is not as practical as a fire stick in the hands of Afghan government, but the people in UkraineIn it, he can play the second military power of the world.This explains the reason for the defeat of Russia, and also explains that the ending of the Russian and Ukraine War must be that Ukraine recovers all the territory. Russia accepted the results of the war in the defeat book, and in the end, it would also bear huge war compensation.

The war of more than 10 months shows that the only language that Russia can understand is the military strength of the Ukrainian people's fighting will. Without the military strength of Ukraine, how could the Russian army defeat and die more than 100,000 or more than 100,000 or more.troops?

In 1903, the Lavov scholar Mikhaillo Herrishevsky published an article on the traditional plan of Russia's history and the reasonable organization of East Slavic history. He insisted that Ukraine history is not a large province of Russian story.Ukraine is not Russia.He believes that Ukraine's national history can be traced back to 1,000 years ago.Many Ukrainians imagine their country through the framework established by Herruvsky.They believe that Ukraine is not only a short -term independent Republic, but also the successor of the kingdom, the princesses, and other forms of countries in the past 1,000 years.Ukraine has a cultural, language and religious tradition different from neighboring countries.This narrative has become the basis of contemporary Ukrainian school courses, citizen education and official history.

Russia, as the colonial forces of exploitation, assimilation, and humiliation, have always been the lingering nightmare of Ukraine.Ukraine's national identity is to completely defeat Putin's spiritual power.Putin's crimes committed by Ukraine will only be transformed into the will of the Ukrainian people.The Russian and Ukraine War Promote UkraineThe clan is looking forward to integrating into Western society, and Western countries have worked hard to help Ukraine. The combination of these two determines Putin's defeat.

Ukrainian President Zelei Kisky pointed out in the annual National Love Counseling: "Because of our unity, Ukraine has achieved almost no one in the world. Ukraine has become one of the world's leaders."Returning to the global stage" "No one in the West will be afraid of Russia, and will never be afraid."Zelei Sky's bold words are the national spirit written by the Ukraine people with blood and life.

The author is a commentator in Shanghai, China

The victory of the Russian and Ukraine War is related to the reputation of European security and global democracy. The foundation of this reputation is the power of democracy.The power of democracy lies in the power of institutional and culture, and the power of the people inspired by the system and culture.