Source: Zhongshi News Network
Author: Zhou Tianwei
Monmouth completed an opinion survey last month, showing that the Republican Party's most satisfied 2024 presidential candidate, the top five in turn is Florida Governor Desamis, former President Special Special SpecialTrump, Senator Cruz, Senator Rubio and Black Ambassador.
My preliminary judgment is that the five leading five will eventually be nominated by the Republican Party; if it is accidentally nominated, the Republican Party will be defeated unless 2024 will occur in a crisis.
Thinking is like this.Regarding Disantez's fame, it was foreseeable in the late spring and early summer of last year.However, only two presidents in the United States are Catholics, and both are democratic parties.De Santez is the Italian Catholics. The descent is not a strong ethnic group. If he wants to be nominated by the Republican Party, he must first win the Christian blessing school. However, the gospel is currently the backing of Trump.In addition, it will be a great test whether Desangis can be attractive to independent voters across the country.
Although Cruz, Rubio, and Heili are basically in line with the Republican public opinion, how their common obstacles show a mild intermediate image, otherwise even if they are nominated, the election will still lose.The Republican Party defeated twice in 2020 and 2022, and has formed lessons internally.
The sixth is the former Vice President Pence, while former Secretary of State Pompeo followed closely.Pence's problem is that the satisfaction of the party's satisfaction with dissatisfaction is flattened, and there are too many people who oppose him.Pompeo is positive, but his image is not easy to get the election.
Finally talk about Trump.The opportunity of Trump first depends on the integration of the party. If there are too many opponents within the party and the strength is scattered, Trump will stand out, just like 2016.Trump's opportunity restricted each other with President Biden.The White House's view is that as long as Trump is out, Biden can defeat him, so although Biden is old, there is still reason to declare re -election.
The problem is that Trump and Biden are now investigating the special prosecutor of the Ministry of Justice.This survey may also constitute a crisis of survival for Biden, because it will involve his son, Hangte, and himself.focus on.The predicament of this snow is not unlikely because the Democratic Party is trying to curb him for re -election.Bayeng was in Trump. In fact, he did not occupy a moral high ground at all, but the media covered him well, but Zhao Menggui and Zhao Mengzhi.
Another is worth talking about, PETER Thiel, who is a political actionist and worth $ 4 billion (S $ 5.281 billion).The famous Silicon Valley venture capitalist is now the Republican Gold Lord.He was born in a German, so it was impossible to be the president of the United States.
Til looked at American politics alone. Last month he gave a speech at the President Library of Reagan. When it comes to the cold war era, who can unite the priests, generals, and millionaires.Together?It is the Soviet Union.At this moment, the common enemy, the Republican Party may have to look at the Communist Party again, that is, the mainland government.
He turned his words and turned to the Kuomintang.He believes that the Republican Party must not follow the Kuomintang's way. "The Republican Party and the Kuomintang history are both right right parties in the history of pro -military, but the Kuomintang has gradually become a subsidiary of the mainland government in the past 20 years.Think of the precepts, you must not fight against the mainland government. "
This is Til's evaluation.The problem is obviously not whether the Kuomintang is correct, but in the specific existence of the perception. Til is not the only gold master who holds this view of the Kuomintang.This also means that in the face of the third consecutive anti -Chinese presidential election, if the Kuomintang discusses weakness, it is difficult to do well in the United States.
