Source: Taiwan United Daily News

The "Strategic and International Research Center" (CSIS) in the U.S. Washington Think Tank recently announced the results of the 2026 deductive performance of the Taiwan Strait Conflict Board. Under the intervention of the United States, Japan and other countries, the aggression operation in mainland China will fail; although the US military "victory is a miserable victory"However, Taiwan is reduced to ruins, and all infrastructure is destroyed.The United States was pushing, one was warning the mainland not to act lightly, and the other was pushing the military sales of Taiwan and affecting Taiwan's national defense strategic deployment.When the people in Taiwan see the ending of "tens of thousands of people's death" and "Taiwan become ruins", will it be proud of this "miserable victory"?

It is worth noting that the "miserable victory" of this soldier is based on two premises: one is that the U.S. military will send troops a few hours after the outbreak of the war.EssenceIf any of the conditions are missing, even the "miserable victory" is not available.In fact, the United States has pushed the Taiwan Straits in the past 18 times, and the United States lost.This time, how can it be a "miserable victory" to conceal several truths, or because assuming that the people of Taiwan will fight and fight like the Ukrainian people, all parties have a lot of doubts about this.

In this case, the "rejection of suspicion theory" proposed by the Vice President Lai Qingde recently was worth thinking about.The reason why Lai Qingde proposed that "the" suspicion and beauty theory "became a social consensus" was mainly for the mayor of New Taipei, Hou Youyi.Hou Youyi, who has always touched cross -strait and diplomatic issues, mentioned in the New Year's Day conversation that "equal, dignified, and friendly exchanges" on both sides of the strait also said that Taiwan must play a key role in globalization.This remark was interpreted as Hou Youyi to release the message to the road to the president, and put forward the position and point of view of the Cai government.

It is because of the "improperly strong nation's pawn" because of Hou Youyi, who regards him as a potential opponent of the presidential election, and immediately label him with "suspicion theory". He believes that if this is fermented, Taiwan will be dangerous.In fact, Lai Qingde is a more dangerous thing to wait for the "improperly powerful country chess pieces" and "suspicion theory".For decades, the United States has been a solid allies in Taiwan, which is unquestionable.However, in the international situation, the United States will impose its own interests above others due to the characteristics of some leaders or the needs of national competition. This kind of situation is common.At this time, as a small place, of course, you must not consider your own national style, autonomous status and Taiwan's interests; the thinking of "improperly powerful country" is of course a necessary position.

On the other hand, Lai Qingde If he believes that Hou Youyi's position is "suspicion of beauty". Is it that Lai Qingde believes that "Taiwan is a chess piece in the United States" is a matter of justice.In this way, we can't understand where Lai Qingde put Taiwan's national patterns and sovereignty.Not only that, Lai Qingde's reason is actually quite ridiculous. He said that the reason why Taiwan's democratization can be completed is because the United States helps "suppress the autocratic Kuomintang" in the future to succeed.In addition to showing that the United States "intervene in Taiwan's internal affairs", the United States is also regarded as the "patron saint" behind the DPP.I wonder if the U.S. government heard this, is there any defense?

On the framework of the US soldiers, Lai Qingde's theory of refuting the "suspicion theory" was even more frivolous and lost.On the occasion of the great nations of the United States and mainland China, the soldiers of the US think tanks are completely based on the layout and interests of the United States.The United States, not Taiwan.Ask Lai Qingde: Are you willing to accept a Taiwan Strait War that has no role in Taiwan?Are you willing to make Taiwan a chess piece for two strongs?Are you willing to accept the result of Taiwan to become "ruins"?

Suppose Lai Qingde's answers are "willing", but he is about to become the chairman of the DPP, and he must first ask the people's wishes!Taiwan has just announced the extension of military service. In addition to the pressure of the United States, this is even more importantly.Now the US soldiers push the prospects of Taiwan as "the ruins of the tragic victory". Lai Qingde also said "unkeriter beauty", and his leadership is doubtful.