Source: Taiwan United News Network

Author: Song Yanhui

The third day of the New Year is the opening date of the 118th Congress of the United States.However, none of the three rounds of voting of the Speaker elected by the House of Representatives received 218 votes of the election threshold, and Congress could not start operation smoothly.

The end of the US midterm election last November, the Republican Party won, and won 222 members of the House of Representatives, becoming a majority party; the Democratic Party, which was originally a major party, received 213 seats and became a minority party in the House of Representatives.Based on this, Perosi, the Democratic Party of the former Congress of the House, stepped down and was renamed by the Republican members of the Republican members.

After the election of the

period, many domestic political critics believe that the Republican leader of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy may win the Speaker of the House of Representatives.Some political analysts in Taiwan are also worried that once McCarthy is elected as speaker, the tension of the Taiwan Strait may rise again.

McCarthy has publicly supported the Democratic Speaker Perosi to visit Taiwan in the past, and said that if he served as a speaker, he would be happy to visit Taiwan.John Kirby, a spokesman for the White House National Security Conference (NSC), said in late November last year that if the new Speaker of the House of Representatives wants to visit Taiwan, the US government will not obstruct it.

On November 24 last year, when the Legislative Council's Foreign Affairs and National Defense Commission invited the National Security Director Chen Mingtong, Foreign Minister Wu Zhaozheng, and Qiu Cao, deputy chairman of the MAC, made a report and inquiry.What are the preliminary evaluation.Chen Mingtong said that McCarthy had indeed stated that if he was elected as the President of the House of Representatives to visit Taiwan, but whether he visited Taiwan, "Taiwan and the United States must have negotiation."

The Republican members of the 118th Congress House of Representatives were nominated for the Speaker of the Speaker.McCarthy, from California and served as a minority party leader of the former House of Representatives, was nominated in the three rounds of elections, and 203 votes were obtained in the first and second round votes, but one vote was reduced in the third round.Get 202 votes.In the first round, voting in Asia Lisana, a member of the Central Asia, Andy.Andy Biggs is also nominated, but only 10 votes.In the second and third rounds, the nominated Ohio member Jim.Jim Jordan received 19 and 20 votes, but Jim.Jordan said he was not interested in the throne.

Will McCarthy ascend to the throne of the Speaker?If you are elected, will you really visit Taiwan?If the leader Tsai Ing -wen and the ruling party considers the momentum of the presidential election next year, will he actively plan to invite him?

At present, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives has been in stitch, and the development of McCarthy's three rounds of voting has been lost, increasing the uncertainty of the Speaker's throne.In the first three -round voting of McCarthy's throne, it was 218 votes from the election threshold, and there was a gap between 15 to 16 votes.Despite the failure three times, McCarthy said that he would never withdraw from the election.He also said that it was very close to the election, as long as he won 11 votes, and the former President Trump also reiterated his support for him for his support.

The mainstream media in the United States claimed that this election was a dispute between the Speaker of the Central Academy of the House.In 1923, the House of Representatives voted nine votes to choose a new speaker.Since the Speaker has not been elected, the newly elected members of the election cannot be sworn in, and Congress cannot operate.

It is worth noting that the election of the Speaker of the US Congress does not necessarily have to have more than half of all the members, that is, less than 218 votes can also be elected.If a member does not vote, or "Vote" Present "), half of the total number of members can also be elected.Former Pelosi Speaker was re -elected with 216 votes.Nevertheless, analysts believe that if the election is dragged and then, it will be unfavorable to McCarthy.

The election of the Speaker of the House of Representatives is the US internal affairs, and Taiwan has no room for speaking.However, from the perspective of the Taiwan Strait's crisis, this election is not a bad thing if McCarthy is not elected.