Shortly after the end of the US mid -term election in 2022, Trump announced a high -profile election for the next US president.In any case, the possibility of returning to the White House for a former President of the White House for a former US president like Trump.Can Trump come back?If he really returns to the president's throne, how will he cope with the current difficult situations?
If Trump returns to the White House, his top priority should be the Russian and Ukraine War -if the war has not yet subsided.With Trump's personality, worldview, and style of acting, he is likely to start a head of state and talk directly with Putin.Because both Toper are political strong, they can be described as a pity.In Trump's thoughts, Russia's importance is stronger than Ukraine, so he has a probability that he will compromise Ukrainian compromise and negotiate with Russia by threatening to reduce the amount of assistance and weapons, etc.
In fact, today's Europe and other countries in Europe have occasionally expressed the intention of persuading Ukraine and Russia to negotiate. However, due to political correctness, it still has to make a statement of supporting Ukraine to continue fighting.However, for Trump, who is doing, he will not be restrained by these politics, and he is not impatient to chew and cover the words of the diplomatic language.Special announcement of the policies he conceived.
For North Korea, which is still constantly tossing, Trump certainly hopes to give a concession to discard the nuclear in the end.But he failed to make Kim Jong -un at that time in the negotiations. Will Kim Jong -un raised today?I am afraid it may not be.Although North Korea may sell him a face, it can ease the relationship between the North Korea and the United States, at least it will not make the Korean Peninsula easily conflict.
Economic In terms of economy, after several years, some multinational industrial chains have been transferred to Vietnam and other countries, but in the eyes of Trump, which pays attention to Liaoning, even the allies must be careless, of course, it will not be easily let go of Vietnam.EssenceTrump is likely to hold Vietnamese's braids, such as dumping goods or non -original origin in the third country.For the European allies, Trump, who is economically or military, is unwilling to invest too much.In this way, European countries have to be blessed and self -reliant, and it is difficult for the European and American alliances to maintain action coordination.
Even in China, Trump may not be popular everywhere.What he promised to return the industry back to the United States is destined to be unrealized because of violations of economic laws.Although under the efforts of Biden, the TSMC has finally started to start the TSMC factory in the United States, but how the results remain to be observed.Trump has repeatedly pressured China to import American agricultural products, and today the results are just unsatisfactory.It is difficult for him to maintain the image of wiseness and martial arts in terms of economy, let alone make the United States stronger again.
Although the Republican Party has achieved partial victory in the midterm elections, whether Trump can return to the White House is still unreasonable.Because the hearts of voters are always easy to change, and the trend of the times has not changed.Trump was able to win the objective conditions of the White House that year, so he could not guarantee that he could still achieve this today.What is more important than individual is the trend of the times. Although individuals can create the current situation, the current situation is the power to truly create heroes.Time is stronger than people.Today, the situation of strategic competition between China and the United States has been initially formed. Any new US president has to make limited policy choices in this general situation.
Even if Trump can return to the White House, what can he propose than Biden's policies?Russia still causes headaches in the United States, and North Korea, Iran, etc. are still constantly making the United States uncomfortable.
More importantly, the scientific and technological revolution cannot wait. The productivity of the world under the existing technology reaches the apex. Without increment, the stock games of various countries are destined to increase.The international order and international pattern are facing a major turning point. Trump's "US priority" is destined to not be able to become the correct answer in this era.There is no way back, the world calls for new ideas to welcome the new tomorrow.
The author is an associate researcher at the Southeast Asian Research Institute of Guangxi Academy of Social Sciences
