Ukrainian war: Russia was unexpectedly lost

Source: Voice of Germany Chinese website

Author: Roman Gonchaarenko

About a year ago, when Russia gathered the army at the Ukrainian border, many Western experts and politicians believed that once invasion, Kiev will fall within a few days.Russia obviously also thinks that it will be able to make a quick decision.Although the Russian army advanced to the suburbs of the capital in the first few days of the war, it was stopped by the Ukrainian army and forced to retreat.Russian President Putin did not directly acknowledge the misjudgment of the battle, but he had made his country prepare for a long -term war in early December.

After Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, a number of predictions against the situation were not realized.Many people expect Russia to destroy Ukraine Air Force and Air Defense Force soon, and then obtain complete air control.This assumption may be based on the Donbass Coal Field War that occurred in eastern Ukraine in 2014. This Russia denied the war in the first few months after the outbreak, Ukraine lost many aircraft and helicopters.It was put into use again.The Ukrainian Air Force suffered a severe frustration.

The situation of invasion of Ukraine is completely different.The Russian Ministry of Defense issued a report published in Moscow on February 28 that Russia has air control over Ukraine, but it turns out that this statement is not true.Although the Russian Air Force is obviously better than the Ukrainian Air Force in terms of quantity and technology -this is still a fact, although the military airport has been attacked by many rockets, and the front -line battlefield has been repeatedly attacked by artillery, Ukraine still has an intact combat aircraft and helicopter.Its air defense system is also becoming stronger.

According to Ukrainian sources, Russia has lost hundreds of aircraft and helicopters since the war, and this information cannot be independently confirmed.However, the Western intelligence department also pointed out that the Russian Air Force had a heavy loss.The Russian army was limited in the frontline activities, and she dared not go deep into the inland.Russia is increasingly using drones and missiles, but Ukraine Air Defense Forces have become more and more effectively intercepted.Kiev attributed all this to the West's assistance to Ukraine.

As far as sea strength is concerned, Russia is also significantly better than Ukraine.In 2021, Moscow conducted troops landing training twice in the Crimea region that was annexed, which caused people's concerns -Russia may launch an offensive in southern Ukraine, and use warships, including armored soldiers, including armored soldiers.Log in.So far, the above situation has not yet happened, and professionals have also ruled out this possibility."Amphibious landing is very dangerous," Germany told Germany by Germany. ""This requires to ensure the possibility of significant advantages." He pointed out that Russia obviously had the possibility of login, but did not find the right opportunity, nor found "no protective beaches."

At the beginning of the invasion, Russia gathered warships near Odessa.At that time, the Russian army successfully occupied the snake island with important strategic significance in southwestern Oda.But at the end of June, Ukraine successfully drove it through accurate shells.

So far, the Russian Black Sea Fleet has proven to be one of the largest losers in the war.In April this year, its flagship "Moscow" missile cruiser was sunk by Ukrainian missiles.Earlier, the landing ship of the "Salatov" sank after being hit by the Ukrainian missile at the port of Acell, Haibiljiang.As a result, the Black Sea Fleet's warship and the coast controlled by Kiev opened a farther distance.The Black Sea Fleet is no longer safe at the base of Sevastopol -Ukraine uses the drone to attack the base headquarters and ships.However, the Black Sea Fleet did not stop across this, and its warships were constantly attacking Ukraine with cruise missiles -but could only launch attacks from a farther distance.

In addition, before the invasion, people are worried that Russia will paralyze Ukraine through large -scale hacking attacks.These concerns are not unparalleled -Ukraine has continued to suffer digital attacks for many years.About one week before Russia's invasion, a large -scale hacker attack occurred on February 15th, and Ferdorov, Ukraine Digital Transformation, described it as "the largest DDOS attack in Ukrainian history (distributed refusal service attack)".The DDOS attack is overwhelming the target server or its surrounding infrastructure through large -scale Internet traffic to make the target server overload.Both Ukraine's banks and the Ministry of National Defense were affected by attacks.The day before the invasion, the Ukrainian government agencies and parliament were also attacked by hackers, which is said to be Russia.

Dan Dana seems to be fully prepared.Although there were also hackers, different from previous years, these attacks did not work very much.In fact, some key infrastructure, such as the grid, is not being hacked, but because it is destroyed by the Rockets.

In this way, the West has helped Ukraine to strengthen its network defense for many years.For example, a few days before the invasion, the European Union required Ukraine and deployed the network rapid response team (CRRT) to support Ukraine.At present, Russia seems to be as stagnant as it is on the military battlefield on the digital battlefield.But Western experts predict that more and more hackers will occur in winter.