Huang Jiezheng: Unified independence is still far away and fighting in front of you

Source: Zhongshi News Network

Author: Huang Jiezheng

At the end of the end of 2022, only one year left from the 16th presidential election voting of the 16th presidential election of the Republic of China. The focus of the voters will quickly enter the national security issue. I look forward to the selection of a helm to lead their team.Help Taiwan over the next few years.

Cross -strait relations have always been the primary factor affecting voting in the presidential elections in Taiwan over the past 30 years, but each election is not a decision to vote for unified or independent citizens, but to be good or bad for cross -strait relations or urgent progress.Slowly collective regulation.

In the past, the people of Taiwan did not express or protest to Beijing. Most of them adopted relatively cheap options. The keyboard had the function of relieving qi, and the votes had a resistance to rejection.However, the next presidential election, the security situation of Taiwan faced is completely different, and the cost we need to pay has suddenly risen, and it is becoming more real.In the past, many polls have repeatedly showed that Beijing will not have a general mentality of the people of Taiwan's martial arts, and is now facing strict tests.

Taiwanese voters need to show their wisdom again, recognize the voting of the presidential election one year later, should not be regarded as a statement of unified independence, because the end of the two sides of the strait will not come immediately; it is facing the choice of risk of war, because the election is elected, because the election is elected, because the elections are electedThe results are vital interests.

In the Nine -in -1 election recently, the call of the "anti -China -China" failed to form a key factor in guiding voting. In addition to the focus of local elections, it was not a national security issue.And the influence of high -intensity enclosure in mainland China."Baotai" is still the consensus goal of most voters, and whether "anti -China" is still the only option that is good for Taiwan has experienced different previous thoughts.

In recent years, the Taiwan Strait has become a high -risk area in war. Although the geographical location is at the forefront of strategic competition between China and the United States, and the wrestling platform of military confrontation, it is also due to the expansion of the two sides of the strait, mutual trust, communication channels, and lack of cooling mechanisms.The people of Taiwan were then pushed under the huge shadow of "going to fight".

The international community ’s pessimistic psychology of the Taiwan Strait’ s military conflict, the United States is worried about the collective anxiety of the Chinese mainland ’s“ dare to bright sword ”, and naturally stress whether Taiwan’ s self -defense is determined to show self -defense.Budget, to construct asymmetric combat power, provide military sales loans, expand weapons and ammunition reserves, extend the voluntary service period, reform the reserve system, build a land defense force, strengthen the toughness of the society, etc.Essence

The suggestions of the above -mentioned foreign governments and friends, even if Taiwan is fully closed, it takes several years of unremitting efforts to look forward to the meaningful and substantial progress of national defense combat power.Taking the extension of the military service period to one year as an example, the service male born in 1994, if he graduated from high school to continue to be promoted, after the graduation of the Republic of China in 116, he began to enter the camp for service.Risk of 2027.

During the term of the next president from 2024 to 2028, it will span a number of levels such as Xi Jinping's 3rd term of the Mainland Government General Secretary Xi Jinping's 3rd term, the people's PLA established for 100 years, and the ability of the mainland military for comprehensive military committee.However, in just a few years, we may not be able to build the strength of the war.

After the 823 artillery war in Taiwan, there have been 64 years without war. The people have obtained the impression of the war from Hollywood movies in the past.Be wary, but still embrace war and maintain a highly anticipated psychology.

After the mid -term elections in the United States, they were relatively proactively seeking bilateral relations in the United States and China to cool down, and a number of bilateral high -level meetings began to recover. The leaders of many countries in the world also held bilateral meetings with Xi Jinping with the opportunity of the G20 to give the overall international community at the end of 2020 at the end of 2020.Create a short -term and slow situation.

President Bayeng said after the "Westing Summit" that he did not think that Beijing would move against Taiwan in the short term. Campbell, a coordinator of the National Security Association, also said that the competition between China and the United States should be ease within the short and medium term.We should also seize the opportunity, go with world power, try our best to reduce the risk of war in the Taiwan Strait, replace the "dialogue between dialogue between the Taiwan Strait, and replace the evil" as a necessary way to fight for the peace and stability of the Taiwan Strait.

Unification is still far away. In front of the war, strive for time, and perseverance, we must make the most favorable choices for ourselves.

(The author is an associate professor at the Institute of Strategy of Tamkang University, Chairman of the China Strategy and Bingqi Research Association)