Source: United Daily
Author: Zhang Jing
The Navy of the PLA and the Russian Navy in Mainland China and the Russian Navy from December 21 to 27 in the East China Sea of Zhoushan to East of Taizhou conducted a substitute for "Maritime United 2022" joint military exercise.The public relations speech system was released to the public before the exercise.According to the message issued by the PLA, this joint exercise aims to show the determination of the two sides to strengthen the joint safety threat of maritime and to maintain international and regional peace and stability, and further deepen the comprehensive strategic collaboration partnership between China and Russia.
Due to the south side of the exercise area in this exercise, it is less than 400 kilometers from Taiwan's island, the sea of Diaoyutai, and the Ryukyu Islands, so there are media hype.Training and accusing this exercise will further exacerbate regional tensions.
In addition, some military researchers listed the previous exercise period and drill courses in detail in the past. It was found that the series of exercises had not only conducted drills in many surrounding waters in East Asia, but even went to the Mediterranean and the Baltic Sea.At the same time, in the exercise course, it is concerned about taking into account the threat of traditional security and non -traditional threats, but it is obviously not based on any combat or scheduled combat concept and plan.Verify the military plan as a pre -planning plan.
However, in many social network media and analysis and review websites, some theoreticals deliberately claim that this exercise is not unlimized to point to Taiwan; I hope that through the exercise process, how can they be able to study the future of the Taiwan Strait.It was aid in Russia to fight against Washington and Tokyo to join forces in Taiwan. It was possible to refuse the overseas army intervention and allow the Communist Army to let go of the Taiwan Strait.
In international political and strategic thinking, the distance is not a geographical problem, but it is a psychological problem.At this time, the Liaoning ship formation of the PLA carried out military drills around Ryukyu. It was rendered by the Japanese media guessing news to simulate the Ryukyu Islands.It is really randomly compiled a story about the fastening hat.
Why is it impossible for China and Russia's "Maritime Union 2022" military exercises to point to the Taiwan Strait. Based on the following three factors, readers can understand the absurdity of many analysis and comments. First of allRequest to help fist.If the People's Liberation Army still dares to use the Russian army support to use troops against Taiwan, Beijing will definitely sweep the floor, and it is impossible to be so shameful.Since it is impossible to have this plan, it is even more impossible to exercise according to the idea of combat in Taiwan.
Secondly, for Moscow, although there is a comprehensive strategic collaboration partnership with Beijing, for the response to the situation of the Taiwan Strait, Russia has no military alliance obligations, so it will never catch the nos of the world.Just think that Russia is still fighting with Ukraine, and Beijing has not provided any military assistance from beginning to end. On the other hand, if the PLA wants to martial arts against Taiwan, standing from Russia, it is also unwilling to find nothing, so the two parties are both sides.Military exercises cannot be regarded as exercise as an exercise.
Furthermore is the Sino -Russian maritime joint series of military exercises, and has repeatedly publicly stated that it is not targeted at third countries or third parties.Although many military observers and strategic commentators believe that this statement is essentially three hundred and two hundred and two in this place. However, if you carefully check the previous exercises, both China and Russia will notify the relevant countries in accordance with the agreement, and also announce the seas of the exercise.Related media reports are also considered complete.During the exercise period, the country sent intelligence machine ship tracking and monitoring, and the love search was more commonplace. Therefore, under such a high transparency, this series of exercises have never protested by third parties, which proves that it has no special direction.
Finally, it is to mention that if it is really targeted at Taiwan, why the government has not expressed its position or requires the army to improve its combat reserve.Even if it is alert to keep the external relaxation, it seems that there is no active dispatch of machine ship monitoring, mastering dynamics and intelligence collection.Therefore, the military commentator alone can indeed be blown into the sky, but if there is really hostile concerns, it should show that the actual military is now on, instead of relying on the editor of the media reporter to make a mess in the text.
Ghosts are scary to be scared to death, but people are scary but often scare people; if we face the military dynamics around the Taiwan Strait, I always suspect that the ghosts cannot be all day long. I am afraid that the psychological line is more fragile.It will reduce.I suspect that as long as the military exercise is a military exercise, it is intentional to be bad for me, and it will only let themselves report to the mental hospital as soon as possible!
The author is a senior researcher at the Chinese Strategic Society
