Zhang Mingrui: Taiwan is running on the road to the second geopolitical damage

Source: Zhongshi News Network

Author: Zhang Mingrui

TSMC was in the US Movement Machinery Ceremony, and Biden was overjoyed and shouted "Made in the United States".It should have been happy to recognize the achievements of the democratization of the supply chain, but when the founder of TSMC, Zhang Zhongmou, said, "27 years have passed.The words of death ... ".

The end of the Cold War in 1990, based on information network technology in 1995, drove financial globalization. Under the attraction of free trade and profits, multinational companies stand up, allowing international political economics to rise again.Edward N. Luttwak's geographical economic characteristics, the economic situation created by its Western countries, also enjoyed the glory of "stable growth, low inflation, high employment rate".

Good times are not very frequent, but these grand occasions are blocked by a new round of geopolitics in the United States.The international political development dominated by the Geophytics Institute, as German Prime Minister Tsurtz said: "European and American countries can enjoy the best economy in the world, and they have never returned."Zhang Zhongmou just expressed more directly that the political pressure from TSMC from the US -made factory was a political decision.

The connection between geopolitics and war

Why is geopolitics that makes people feel scared!What is it?Even geopolitical scholars are difficult to define exactly because it has different appearances in different times, and can even be dressed in different languages.Popularly speaking, geopolitics is "geographical factors of the distribution of international political power."Expansion must have conflicts of interest, conflicts must have opponents resist, and have the intensity of resistance or rising to war.

Geopolital players, master a "global political map" vision, such as NATO 2022 strategic concept, which clearly states that NATO is under the "Europe -European -Atlantic" alliance center, to the Balkans, Black Sea, Middle East, south to south to south to to the south to south to the south to the south to the south.In central Africa, "expand the power circle to the East Indo -Pacific region.This understands that before that, NATO has expanded five mobile frontiers in mainland Europe.

Kissinger and Milsheimer both confirmed that the Russian and Ukraine War was the product of geopolitics. Merkel directly said the Minsk agreement in 2014, but it was just a "slow schedule", because the problem was not in the problem that there was no problemSolution has not resolved the reality of NATO expansion and Russia's resistance.

In the 1970s, Taiwan's tragic epic poem by geopolitical damage

Geopolitics is a kind of "active action" that can harm sovereignty over a country if necessary.Although the great power is the main force of geopolitics, in the face of the competitive power, the assembly of the alliance is still required to gather the alliance for the alliance.Non -friendly creation alliance. "The power portrayal of the power of "call it immediately, the lingering right" is revealed.

For small countries that have been pulled into the league by the big country, under pure utilitarianism, they can often only play tool resources, including the role of "war agent, power agent, policy agent or strategic agent".Blood transfusion from the "central country" as a tariff for confrontation.

Taiwan is a good example.When it comes to Taiwan in Taiwan, it is argued that Taiwan's geographical strategy is very important. In fact, this concept comes from the Cold War period. Kenan borrowed the theory of Starkeman's edge.policy.Taiwan is located in the center of the first island chain and is the gateway to the United States. The geographical location is highlighted.

Don't forget that geopolitics is at the time of the background and variable.In 1969, Kissinger, based on US foreign policy and central issues, warned the US government that the United States should be separated from idealism, instead facing realism and national interests, and using power balance as foreign decision -making thinking.History proves that the Nixon government has accepted the concept of "balanced power", which has introduced the China -Soviet policy.

In 1970, Mainland China learned the intention of the United States. In April of the same year, through the Table Tennis Friendship Tournament, as a test of each other, the United Nations 2758 resolution occurred in October the following year.Double representative system ".In fact, the Nixon government publicly supported the Chinese Federation and replaced the permanent council seats one month before the vote, and the political effect has long been spread.

Then, Nixon visited China in 1972. In 1979, China and the United States established diplomatic relations between China and the United States, and also accepted three conditions: interruption, destruction (common defense treaty) and withdrawal (US military in Taiwan).At this point, Taiwan has lost the embarrassing situation of international legal person status and limited sovereignty.

There are Taiwanese scholars argue. In 1971, Taiwan withdrawn from the United Nations was an impulse under the idea of the Han thief.However, the truth is caused by the geographical policy that the United States promotes the balance of power. Kissinger's foreign policy in Chapter 28 of its diplomatic diplomacy, in the triangular diplomatic text of Nixon, explains the main reason why the US foreign policy is adjusted."The era when the United States is almost completely dominated by the world stage is also close to the end ... ... the policy must be re -evaluated and adjusted."Yes, the United States has faced the global strategy of national strength and unable to support anti -Soviet.

The policies and extension of classic geopolitical thoughts and extensions are all from the national center. For the United States, the United States not only allows the United States to leave the Vietnamese war mud, reduce the strategic burden, but also indirectly contribute to the disintegration of the Soviet Union, creating the United States that has created the United StatesSuper strong, and Kissinger himself also won the "Nobel Peace Prize", and the policy effect was full.But this effect is at the expense of Taiwan's political status.This also confirms that in the struggle between the great powers, only the goal, not the geographical significance of the actor.

Taiwan is facing the storm of the second geopolitics

The United States abandon Taiwan in geopolitics, and Taiwan has worked hard to make economic structure adjustments. In 1987, the TSMC professional foundry led by the Taiwan government was officially established. Under the leadership of Zhang Zhongmou, TSMC also hopes to embark on top of the top.The fabric leader, now the high -quality technical ability of TSMC has triggered his sin effect.Robert O. Work, Vice Minister of Defense, once said, "Our chip ability has been from two generations to two generations, and only 110 miles are separated in the middle, which is the distance from mainland China to Taipei."Zhang Zhongmou said that the deepening of geopolitical and political situation is too close to China and too far from the United States.

TSMC is just a corner of the iceberg that is affected by geopolitics. The geopolitical transformation promoted by the United States clearly determines that China is the only country that has a comprehensive ability and the United States.focus.Simply summarize the political arrangements of the United States to Taiwan, including the diplomatic assistance of parliament; the strategic guidance of national defense and military strategy; now it is also reported that the United States has discussed with the Executive Yuan and the Legislative Yuan., Increasingly considering Taiwan's subjectivity.

I don't know what the purpose of the United States to get involved in Taiwan's internal affairs is?But we understand that the US -China power in the Western Pacific competes, and even the United States does not have the victory.William Fox (William Fox) pointed out that "regional power enjoys a large country in its region because their influence on the conflict of power in the region is huge."This is also the reason why the United States actively weaves the Indo -Pacific Quartet mechanism, the AUKUS Alliance, and the NATO East East to correspond to China. The United States is no longer feasible.

The leverage used by the United States is to compare the Ukraine crisis to Taiwan.The essence of geopolitics is conflict and war.It is difficult for Taiwan to avoid falling into the war trap.The first geopolitical adjustment of the United States has caused Taiwan to lose its status of international legal persons. Now facing China's geopolitical adjustment, does Taiwan still need to pay the United States a more tragic price?