Author: Delun, Quanye

Source: Hong Kong 01

In the context of Sino -US confrontation, the recent tensions in the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea and other regions have attracted the most attention to the attention. It seems that the Korean Peninsula, which was once regarded as the East Asian gunpowder barrel, seemed to be ignored.However, at the 75th anniversary celebration of the Workers' Party recently held, it revealed unusual: North Korea officials not only rarely held a large -scale military parade in the early morning, but the highest leader Kim Jong -un also burst into tears during his speech, and failed to improve the people.Apology in living.What information does North Korea reveal?The latest trends of the Nuclear Nuclear issue of the public's vision for a long time, how will its latest trends affect the East Asian region under the game of China and the United States?Hong Kong 01 interviewed Jin Qiangyi, a professor at the Department of International Political Department of Yanbian University and director of the International Political Research Institute of the Korean Peninsula Research Institute.

01: There was a common statement before that there were several gunpowder barrels between China and the United States. The Korean Peninsula was one, the Taiwan Strait was one, and the South China Sea was also one.Judging from the current situation, it seems that the Taiwan Strait is the most dangerous. The South China Sea is the second, and the Korean Peninsula has become the most unprecedented gunpowder barrel.How will it affect the situation of the entire Northeast Asia in the Taiwan Strait in the Taiwan Strait?

Jin Qiangyi: Whether it is the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea, if the conflict between China and the United States occur, Northeast Asia will not be better, it may cause greater conflict.

South Korea and Japan are the American allies, whether they are in the Taiwan Strait, and the South China Sea. If there is a conflict between China and the United States, what attitude does Japan and South Korea take?In addition, whether the US military deployment in the Asia -Pacific is based on these two allies and Australia as the foundation, this is important.For example, if the U.S. military stationed in South Korea, if the U.S. military in Japan participates in the Taiwan Strait, China will directly regard South Korea and Japan as its own hostile country. At this time, contradictions will easily spread.

South Korea now does not seem to be willing to get involved in the Taiwan Strait crisis, but Japan seems to be different from South Korea.In this way, if the situation of the Taiwan Strait cannot be controlled, it is equivalent to controlling Northeast Asia. Northeast Asia will be messy for a period of time.

01: How do you interpret the strategic linkage of Chinese officials in different areas of the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea, and Northeast Asia?China now feels that the outside world will fight in the Taiwan Strait, which makes the entire East Asian full of uncertainty.

Jin Qiangyi: Yes, there are too many uncertain factors now, but in China, should you consider such a question: Now that it is no longer in the 1950s and 1960s, the development of globalization has made the world have become related to each otheroverall.Many people in China are talking about the Taiwan Strait issue. In their eyes, it seems that there is no big deal for the unity of Taiwan forces in the mainland. There will be no problems. I dare not agree with this view.

The use of force in the Taiwan Strait is too harmful to China.From the perspective of China, the best way is to control the Taiwan Strait issue, avoid forming uncertain conflicts, and then slowly resolve it.How long has the Taiwan issue that has appeared, and there is no eyebrows now. Now I suddenly want to solve it all day, which is unlikely.

Whether the mainland can attract the people of Taiwan from the policy is very important. Will the mainland make a strategy in this regard in the future? I don’t know, but I think it should be formed.of.In addition, if the issue of Hong Kong and Macau can have a relatively satisfactory result, so that the experiments of one country and the two systems are persuasive, and it will be a bit better to complete the unity. This is a question related to each other.