Han Qianwei

Despite the long time after Toyi Yiwei has been the Prime Minister of Japan, the new cabinet has gradually launched or announced some policies.By preliminary summary of these policies, it will help the outside world to better judge Japan's follow -up trends.

As far as the political positioning of the Cabinet Cabinet is concerned, at least at present, it has the significant characteristics of inheriting Abe's cabinet and balanced Liberal Democratic Party.As far as the cabinet personnel are concerned, there are eight cabinets in the new cabinet of the new cabinet in the new cabinet, and three members of Abe's cabinet are transferred to other positions.Among them, the chief official of the new cabinet Kato Kato Katsui is both Abe's relatives and a colleague of Yoshiyuki.In addition, four people in the cabinet have served as the cabinet under Abe, and now they have entered the cabinet again.

Not only that, Guan Yiwei also shows the characteristics of balanced factions in the appointment of the Liberal Democratic Party's key positions.This may be related to his own unprecedented persons and requires support in the party.

For example, the second -order leader's second -order Junbo stays as the chairman of the second -order Junbo, and the President of the Political Tune, Shimura Bowen belongs to Abe's Hosada School, the general office of the General Affairs Sato Moves from the Matto School.The chairman Moriyama Yu is from the Ishihara faction.At the same time, according to external observations, Tan Yiwei also took care of the factions and non -factions of Kishida Wenxiong, Shi Pan Mao, who was the president of the president, also took care of each other.

Personnel arrangement is the execution carrier of the political route.The personnel structure between the Cabinet and the Liberal Democratic Party not only shows the significant inheritance of the new cabinet on the Abe regime, but also suggests that the new president will continue to be restricted by the party valve.Of course, in the context of the impact of the epidemic, inheriting the former dynasty is conducive to maintaining the stability of the situation and the continuity of the policy; at the same time, it also has a considerable public opinion foundation.

However, it also caused some kind of doubt in the outside world, whether the cabinet is a transitional regime, or only the shadow and tail of the Abe regime?However, as far as Sugi Yowei announced that the appointment of administrative reform ministers, ministers of digital responsibility, and new digital halls, he was obviously intended to pursue long -term governance and his historical positioning.According to the relevant surveys of the Kyodo News Agency, Asahi Shimbun and Daily News, the cabinet also received a high support rate of about 64%.

The number is also higher than the 62%support at the establishment of Abe's cabinet in 2012.In this century's Japanese cabinet, the support rate of the cabinet was only lower than Koizumi Cabinet and Hatoyama Cabinet.In this way, the cabinet seems to have a good beginning; however, after all, the cabinet was established under the special situation of Abe's resignation, and has not experienced the test of the parliamentary elections, the effect of governance and public opinion.Therefore, whether the cabinet can last and show its own characteristics is unknown, depending on its ruling performance and internal and external situations in the next year.This is also the biggest trial of the ruling team of the Sugi.

As far as the internal affairs and economy are concerned, on the evening of September 16, at the press conference of the Prime Minister after serving as the Prime Minister, September 16 stated that he would inherit the various policies of Abe's cabinet.In general, controlling the epidemic and recovery economy will be the priority of the new cabinet.Specifically, the improvement of the testing and medical system, and the development and inoculation of the new crown vaccine will be the focus of the work of the new cabinet.At the same time, Japan will also strengthen cooperation with the international community, especially in China.

In the economic field, the work trends of the new cabinet are worthy of special attention.

I. Tan Yiwei said that he will inherit Abe's economics, continue to implement currency loose and positive fiscal policies, and carry out necessary reforms and strive to prosper the local economy.In addition, it will promote the globalization and digitalization of the Japanese economy, further increase consumption tax, and revitalize the tourism industry.

2. On the evening of September 25, Yiyi Yiwei expressed close communication with Chinese President Xi Jinping on the phone to ensure that the regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement was signed during the year, accelerating the promotion of the China -Japan -South Korea's free trade zone negotiations, and jointly maintained the region togetherThe industrial chain supply chain is stable.The sustainable development of China, Japan and South Korea's coordinated relations will definitely have a profound impact on the situation in East Asia, but how to promote it, it is necessary to carefully study.

3. Since the crown disease epidemic, many people in the political community in Japan believe that excessive dependence on the Chinese economy may not be good for Japan at some special moments.To this end, the cabinet may further adjust the Japanese industry chain and encourage some Japanese companies to return to Japan from China or go to other countries.

Judging from some related reports, the Japanese economic community is showing a conflict that attaches importance to the Chinese market and try to reduce the risk of operating in China.This mentality will also affect the China Cabinet's policy of China.Therefore, the cabinet may further strengthen the Japanese economic security work mechanism with the National Security Agency as the core to further emphasize its economic security issues.

In terms of diplomacy and security, it seems that Prime Minister Sugi is enhancing his sense of diplomacy to eliminate the impression of the outside world's bad diplomacy.On September 12, in the election debate of the President of the Liberal Democratic Party, Tan Yiwei expressed his hope to promote the relationship with neighboring Asian countries including China and South Korea.In his inauguration speech on September 16, Tan Yiwei stated that he would adhere to the national interests, promote the free and open Indo -Pacific strategy, and hope to establish a solid diplomatic relationship with neighboring countries including China and Russia.

As of September 27, Tan Yiwei has been on the phone with US President, Australian Prime Minister, South Korean President, and President of China.According to the reports of all parties, from the perspective of the Diplomacy of the China -US -Japan Delta, the Cabinet will still take the United States and Japan alliance as the base axis, attach importance to the Indo -Pacific strategy, and to distract their national interests in China and the United States.

From the perspective of Japan's side, there are two points worth noting.

I. In the later stages of Abe's administration, Sino -Japanese relations have improved significantly, and from the recent speeches of Yoshimi, Sino -Japanese relations still maintain a good development momentum.However, there are still considerable differences and distrust in history, security and territorial issues.From the perspective of recent years, Japan will still pay attention to the attitude of the United States in terms of politics, ideology and security issues in China.

2. In terms of relations in the United States and Japan, the Trump administration emphasizes that the United States priority has undergone significant changes in the attitude of international organizations, free trade and allies.EssenceThe upcoming American election may face new variables in US -Japanese relations.But in general, the base shaft of the United States and Japan alliances will not change.This has been confirmed in the call between Tan Yiwei and Trump.

In general, at this stage, Japan has some demands and dissatisfaction with China and the United States.Therefore, the Cabinet will work hard to balance Sino -US relations and disperse national interests between China and the United States to reduce the risk of development in Japan.Roughly judged that Japan will continue to pay attention to the exchanges between China and Japan in the low political fields such as economy, science and technology, society, and culture, and will continue to pay attention to the attitude of the United States in terms of political and security issues.

The author is a doctoral student in Tsinghua University

Tan Yiwei said that he will inherit Abe's economics, continue to implement currency loose and positive fiscal policies, and carry out necessary reforms and strive to prosper the local economy.In addition, it will promote the globalization and digitalization of the Japanese economy, further increase consumption tax, and revitalize the tourism industry.