01 Viewpoint
It is located in the south of Russia, adjacent to Turkey, and the East and West one after another.Armenia and Azerbaijan have recently mobilized the large -scale military crossing the army for the Nagorno Karabakh, which have sovereignty disputes;The Asian conflict caused at least 95 people to be killed. Among them, there were many civilians. It became the biggest casualties since the large -scale conflict between the two countries in 2016. It has caused the outside world to worry about a comprehensive war.
The grievances between Armenia and Azerbaijan, which were mentioned more than a century ago from the beginning of Russia's independence.Armenia has used the Gaomasthaya as the home since ancient times, and has been the first Christian country in history.Since the 11th century, the Turkic people came to the west and lived in Caucasus and merged in the locals. They also formed Azerbaijan people who believed in Islam.The religious people of all ethnic groups lived in the mountains until the 18th to 19th centuries of Russia expanded south, and gradually annexed most of the Caucasian regions from Turkey and Persia.
During the First World War, the Tsarist Russia opened the Caucasian front and wanted to expel Turks out of the western Armenia, while Turkey was deeply felt that the Armenians had foreign enemies, and they also launched racial cleaning against the Asian tribe.Similar to the independence of Ukraine in Germany, the Russian revolution overthrows the Tsar queen, and Britain has also assisted the Asian people to be independent.Within the layout.
Russia and Türkiye are actively involved
Stalin itself is a Georgian from Caucasus, which is very sensitive to domestic ethnic minorities. He also suppresses national consciousness in various places with tough means such as migration and dialects.The Nakaka region is the majority of Armenians, but the Soviet Union has assigned it to the jurisdiction of Azerbaijan, and planted the root of Naka's sovereignty disputes.In the 1980s, the Soviet Union's influence on the frontier region greatly reduced the disputes between the Caucasus.The Armenians were dissatisfied with the Nakaka region by Azerbaijan, and therefore broke out for armed conflicts.
In 1991, the Soviet Union was disintegrated and divided into three Caucanium countries in Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia.Waiting for the war, Armenia and Azerbaijan also fought for the sovereignty of Nakaka. In the end, Russia was adjusted to stop fire, but Armenia had dominated the wind, controlled Naka, and supported the local Republic of Artsakh in the local area.
Since then, there have been small conflicts in the border. The largest four -day war that recently facilitated in 2016 has caused about 350 people to be killed.The global new crown epidemic has greatly affected the economy of the two countries. Earlier, oil warfare in Russia and Sandi even reduced oil prices, and also caused the local exchange rates to depend on exported oil to survive.If the politicians of the two countries have continued to resort to nationalism, a round of military conflicts broke out a few months ago, and it is rare to have a rare incident of border refuting fire outside the Nakaka area, and the trend has risen rapidly.
Russia, a brother of Caucasus, has traditionally supported Armenia. Putin has established a good relationship with Azerbaijan in recent years. In order to maintain the stable regional situation, it also adopts a neutral position.However, Turkey, who is Avians and the natural allies of Azerbaijan, strictly resigned to condemn the Asian country to deliberately provoking the manufacturing incident and said that they would fully support Azerbaijan.Some foreign media reported that Ankara secretly was transported into the Syrian soldiers' entry to assist the Azerbaijan army, causing international concern.
Wipe the gun and get the fire will only be more dangerous
You must know that Erdogan has frequently moved in region in recent years, and has been involved in the war between Syria and Libya, and it is intended to revitalize the glory of the former Otman Empire and re -become the new Sudan in the Middle East world.For Erdogan, the Azerbaijan brothers who support the same clan are even more meaning.However, Erdogan supported Syrian opposition to resist the Assad regime supported by Pukin, and sent Syrian mercenaries to enter the war. They all touched the Kakiya nerves and covered the shadow of Russia's Ruoli relationship.
In addition to Erdogan's personal Ottoma, Turkey also depends on Azerbaijan's oil supply, so it has to help help.In order to get rid of Turkey's energy shortage, Turkey has recently been evil with the development of natural gas resources in the eastern Mediterranean countries, and even provoked France to send troops, sending warships to the Mediterranean to support Greece, which worsen the EU -Europe relations.However, the Western dictatorship, White Ross, could not be convinced. It is inevitable that they must involve the disputes between the more remote Asia -Arab countries.
Global major symptoms ordered the economic disadvantages of various countries, and the people's livelihood was zero. Politicians had to encourage nationalism in order to protect themselves, and to create a tense atmosphere to guide the people.Tension.The United States has declined with its global influence.It is said that the Kurdish militants sneaked into the runner -up of Armenia, and the vertical shadow of the local Syrian runner -ups are worried that the Syrian civil war signs signs.
In any case, although the two major Baojia Russia and Turkey in Armenia and Azerbaijan have a lot of differences, the potential interests of the two sides are still very large, and they have always tended to cooperate more than the struggle.situation.However, in the time of this stormy epidemic, the international multilateralist system also faces disintegration. If countries are politicians only advocate national glory and force, the future international situation will only be more tense, guns and fires will only be more dangerous. Military conflicts will be more dangerous. Military conflicts will be more dangerous. Military conflicts willIt will only be more frequent.