Current affairs perspective
The Cold War ended with the disintegration of the Soviet Union, and there was only one of the two superpowers of the United States and the Soviet Union.The United States looks around the world without opponents, and can't help but get up from the male. The next international policy focus has shifted to how to maintain its position as the only superpower in the world.After the Cold War, the United States launched and participated in a huge Persian Gulf War, Kosovo War and Afghanistan war.The subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 and the subsequent European sovereign debt crisis, and the crown disease epidemic, all caused a lot of blows to its economy.
During this period, China's economy has been steadily growing, and currently the GDP (GDP) has reached 70%of the US GDP.Under the influence of the crown disease epidemic, countries have different methods of response, and the results are reflected in the degree of control of the epidemic and the impact on the economy.China has done a good job in the prevention and control of the epidemic and the restoration of the economy, and it will be the few major economies that are still growing under the cloud of epidemic.After this epidemic, the economic gap between China and the United States will be further reduced.Economically, the two -most powerful world structure is initially elegant.
Although China has repeatedly claimed that it is a peaceful development and unintentionally replaced the United States' position in the world. China wants to realize the rejuvenation of its own nation and pay more attention to the well -being of its own citizens. HoweverChina's itself said that China goes to the center of the world stage.
After the Cold War, the United States, as the only world superpower, has long occupied the center of the world stage.China is also moving towards the center of the world stage. Even if the unintentional challenge and the replacement of the United States in the world in the world, the spotlight that originally hit the center of the stage is only based on the United States. Now it is also based on China.It's so dazzling.
China and the United States have already fallen into the trap of Xunxida.As a great country in the United States, in order to maintain its current position in the center of the world stage, it is best to make China decline and once and for all to avoid China's threat to its status.If China cannot decline, it is necessary to strengthen its growth as much as possible, while suppressing China's growth as much as possible to extend its current international status as much as possible.
The United States requires China to purchase American agricultural products through the trade war to reduce the trade surplus of the United States.However, this only benefits the United States, does not damage China, or the degree of damage to China is very light, because China originally wanted to import agricultural products.The result of trade negotiations is only to turn agricultural products that China originally purchased from Brazil, Canada, Australia and other places to the United States.
By suppressing Chinese high -tech companies such as ZTE, Huawei, Chinese Internet companies such as Tiktok and WeChat, and prohibiting exports to China in the high -tech field. On the one handThe election needs, the toughness of China is politically correct in the current United States.However, from the perspective of the division of labor between China and the United States in the industrial chain, the United States occupies a high science and technology system, and China occupies production and markets.
If technology does not pass production, it cannot become a product; if the product does not have a market, it will not be profitable.If technology leaves blood transfusion, it will wither; even if the United States cuts off technological exchanges with China, although the process will be difficult, China will eventually develop its own high -tech.From this point of view, the United States technology needs Chinese production and markets, more than that in China needs American technology.
This is why the US president is encouraged to move back to the United States, but there are few US Yingmers, because moving back to the United States will make their products cost higher, bring high inflation to the United States, and at the same time losing the price competitiveness in the international market; plus exportsIn China, another layer of tariffs must be added to make its products lose the Chinese market.Therefore, moving back to the United States from China does not meet its interests.The decoupling of China and the United States is more of a campaign language.
Earlier the United States banned companies using US devices to provide chips to Huawei. The latest news is that American companies such as Intel and Super Weim (AMD) have obtained a permission to continue to supply to Huawei.The previous ban, through special approved permits, obtained the same results as the previous Sino -US trade negotiations.Huawei originally purchased from non -US suppliers such as TSMC and SMIC, and now can only purchase chips from American companies.The ban did not decompose the Sino -US trade, but the hooks that China and other countries were removed were hung on the hooks of American companies.The economy of China and the United States has not been decoupled, but the connection has been strengthened.
The improvement of division of labor cooperation is the common sense of economics.Sino -US economic cooperation is conducive to the development of each other's economy.The cooperation between the two strong powers, especially the United States forced China to decompose with other countries, and strengthen the development of each other when it is linked to the United States, which is easier to accelerate the development of each other and enlarge the gap with other countries.However, this also objectively accelerates the formation of the two strong world patterns.
The author is an electronic engineer
