Source: Taiwan Industry and Commerce Times
At the beginning of this year, the new crown pneumonia's epidemic created the European economy, and it was difficult to slowly recover after the unblocking, but recently in European countries' confirmed cases have increased again, which has caused economists to worryThe four seasons have declined significantly.
Kaitou macro European economist Mlanie Debono said that the epidemic seemed to continue to spread and forced countries to strengthen social distance restrictions, which may cause the European economic recovery to reverse.She believes that no matter what kind of epidemic prevention measures are taken by countries, they will inevitably hinder economic recovery, because recent investigations have found that most Europeans are worried about the infection of viruses.
After the outbreak of the European epidemic in March this year, countries' implementation of border control and city sealing caused industrial activities to stop, causing the euro zone economy to shrink 11.8%in the second quarter.Since the unblocking of various countries in May, there has been a little dawn of the euro zone economy.
At that time, economists expected the euro zone economy to recover in the second half of the year, and now the variables have emerged.
The European Disease Prevention and Control Center (ECDC) announced that there have been 2.9 million new European crown pneumonia diagnostic cases as of September 22, and France and Spain have recently added more than 10,000 new diagnosis cases in recent days.
In order to avoid the outbreak of the epidemic, many countries in Europe have recently announced that a new blockade policy or delay the progress of economic restart.In September, the initial valuation of the comprehensive purchasing manager index of the euro zone fell to 50.1 points, a three -month low.
Carsten Brzeski, chief economist of Ing, said that the euro zone economy has fallen into a second decline, that is, the probability of reappearing again in the fourth quarter has increased significantly.He expects that there will be more local governments to imitate the implementation of Madrid and Lyon's implementation regional blockade.
Chris Williamson, chief economist of IHS Markit, also believes that the risk of recession in the fourth quarter of the euro zone economy is very high.He said: With the arrival of the fourth quarter, countries will implement more social distance restrictions to further hinder economic growth.
In addition to the euro zone, the new round of social distance ban announced on the 22nd also crack down on economic recovery.Cathal Kennedy, a European economist in Canada, said that the British restaurant bar is forced to close early and the British must continue their homes, and it will inevitably impact the service industry again.
